17/10/20 #Scexit Poll update. Remember headline results of +50% LeaveUK normally EXCLUDE undecideds/DKs. Many polls only use a sample subset & leading/soft questions. SNP internal target? 60% polling for 1yr. Even with the benefit of ALL DKs? Never even achieved 4 a month #SNPOut
Yes, they've led in recent polls, but it's nothing to really crow about due to Brexit Remainers still protesting & the less well-informed mesmerised by the Daily Sturgeon Show. Come the post-Covid new year & the Holyrood election let's see how polling goes...
Normal charts updated....1
2
3
& 4.
Text enlarged.
Try 5 😏
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Some cracking letters (thread)- The whole (economic) truth & nothing but the (economic) truth: Nationalists press those of us who support the U.K. to ‘defend’ it - sod off, it’s up 2 the economically uninformed nationalists 2 try 2sell us their bitter pill of divisive austerity-
The Folly of Federalism: Further division & #Scext by a thousand cuts- #JustSayNo-
Scottish National Investment Bank: More nationalist bollox that’s as political as the hustings-
Photographer who moved from England to Scotland says SNP Westminster leader 'tried to stir up hatred' with Tweet alleging lockdown breach | Hey! @HumzaYousaf! You seen Blackford stirring up hate? pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/highla…
Trans teen in “legal action” over gender clinic wait - One psychotherapist, who wanted to remain anonymous, said she believed the long waiting times could be "a positive". bbc.co.uk/news/health-55…
@theSNP Nationalists (& in particular @JohnMasonMSP), there is a reason @AndrewWilson, your Growth Commission Report author & @NicolaSturgeon’s economic advisor, played down an iScot’s membership of the EU as merely “an aspiration” he knew it was perhaps decades away, here’s why;
I do find the timing of Andrews comments interesting in light if the impending, sure to be a Plan B ball, SNP conference looming 😏 somehow aspirations are always tempered pre conference to settle down the troops 😏
7/9/20 Polling update. Don’t forget headline results of +50% LeaveUK (or thereabouts) EXCLUDE undecideds. Many polls now only use a subset of respondents & soft questions. SNP internal target is +60% polling for 12 mnths, even given the benefit of ALL DKs, nowhere near 😏 #SNPOut
It’s evident that even with ALL the DK’s awarded LeaveUK hasn’t even approached their target other than in 4 polls. Bear in mind polls have a +/-3% accuracy & DKs normally stick with the status quo as happened in 2014.
The recent bluster from Nats & their politicians about a surge & having a consistent lead in the polls is absolute nonsense - they’d have to hit 52% EXCLUDING DKs consistently for months 2 claim real progress. The press have talked a few polls up for sensationalism. No real lead.