Ok. Things are bad enough to make me check the COVID-19 case counts in Cumberland in the morning something I haven't done since May.
Here is your naïve projection of COVID-19 cases in Cumberland county assuming the daily rate of increase in infections in the last seven days holds at 2.7% through April. 
At the rate of increase in infections in the last seven days the naïve projections implies about HALF of Cumberland County’s population will have been infected by COVID-19 by the end of March.
As of November 26th Deaths in Cumberland represented 2.8% of reported cases. The naïve projection implies an additional 3,387 deaths in the County.
These projections are almost certainly too high, as it seems implausible for the rate of increase in infections to sustain the current increase for a prolonged period.
Still policy makers best not tempt fate and encourage social distancing, washing of hands and wearing of masks in public.
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