Oh good another sweeping analysis piece based on early exits that are even more massively misleading than normal early exits.
Honestly it is depressing when people who should or do know that these are so massively fucked up this year quote them anyway to support whatever argument/bias they hold dear.
Though I do thing the Nates and other poll whisperers could do more to explain why they are especially bad this year and what, if any, amount of back polling can be done to arrive at better data.
Typically the “exit poll” data is only ~trustworthy in mid December. In 2020, massive amounts of Americans voted in different ways than before, with huge schisms in method of voting by party, race, state, locale. The “early exits” are suspect.
Take issuers and readers beware.
Take issuers and readers beware.
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