I see this argument a lot but, while there were obviously more pro-Biden ex-GOP groups than there had been pro-Clinton ex-GOP groups, Biden didn't try to separate Trump from the rest of the GOP as Clinton did.
I think people conflate two things Biden said - that "four years of Trump will be seen as an aberration" and that there'd be an "epiphany" after Trump lost - with the sort of stuff Clinton did, outright saying that Trump was not a normal Republican. buzzfeednews.com/article/rubycr…
The Clinton approach, which was bad in 2016, would have made zero sense in 2020 - you'd had four years of once-skeptical Rs marrying their fortunes and identities to Trump. But Biden didn't really use it. Trump won a lot of states and districts w/ very little ticket splitting.
Where could Biden have done more? You might suggest a place like Nebraska's 2nd district, where he ended up running way ahead of a liberal Dem House nominee. But... Biden went out of his way to endorse her, *because* he was winning the seat! omaha.com/news/state-and…

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More from @daveweigel

1 Dec
When I talked to incoming NRSC chair Rick Scott last month, he suggested the election contests would be over by Thanksgiving week and that voters would have a month to focus on the Senate runoffs. Small problem with this... (1/2)
What if Trump just keeps endorsing election contests? The new goalpost is December 14, when the electoral college votes... but the election isn't certified in Congress until January 6, the day after the runoffs. And some Trump allies say they'll be contesting it. (2/2)
Rs keep letting Trump play out the string here, but he keeps finding more string. Which you'd think they'd have figured out after four years of working with him.
Read 5 tweets
24 Nov
Also says Biden and Harris "refused to say what they would do if they got elected." You have to be very bubbled to think that. B/H had a platform and series of plans that Trump attacked during the campaign! Trump, meanwhile, had no platform.
This has been an ironic theme in pro-Trump media. The viewer didn't hear much about Biden/Harris's agenda bc coverage on these channels focused on Biden dodging or saying no to wedge issues. (Or on "Biden has dementia" and Hunter laptop stuff.)
It's a very weird take on things because the agenda matters! Industries and lobbyists are adjusting to the policy changes they're expecting from a Biden admin. They don't carer that he blew off "court packing" questions or whatever.
Read 4 tweets
20 Nov
According to Pennsylvania record, 250,780 registered Dems requested but didn't return absentee ballots, compared to 167,470 Republicans. Like every election conspiracy theory, this is explainable unless you're dishonest.

electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…

John Solomon is wildly dishonest and keeps getting fired for it, which is important context here.
This story's also just sloppy. Matt Braynard is introduced, correctly, as a former Trump official. But the reference to his project gets the name wrong (Voter Integrity FUND - story says "project") and leaves out that he founded it *this month.* whyy.org/articles/forme…
Read 5 tweets
19 Nov
My impression’s been that they are 100% confident that it won’t work, and that they’re better off with this as a “Trump flails around” story than a “parties clash over results, who’s right?” story
By sitting back and letting lawyers handle it they've gone 28-1 in court (and the one Trump victory, if upheld, wouldn't affect the PA count), watched Rs rip each others' faces off in Georgia, watched an attempt to throw out Detroit's vote backfire on GOP/go viral.
Are they overconfident? Election officials say they aren't - see Benson in MI who sees no impediment to certifying the vote. Maybe on Earth-2 Biden is flying to Detroit to make the Wayne County stuff more infamous. But their instinct is: Don't swing at everything.
Read 4 tweets
13 Nov
The question on the “defund the police” stuff is: Do Democrats continue quickly associating themselves with protest movements? They did so throughout the Trump years, and several times they ended up thinking protesters led them into a ditch. 1/2
They aligned themselves with protests against Trump’s zero tolerance border policies, then blanched when activists came up with “abolish ICE.” Same thing with BLM protests, which were popular — activists came up with “defund the police” and Rs launched it back at them. 2/2
*I should say “they were popular and then...” This player out very IRL in DC, where the mayor painted BLACK LIVES MATTER on 16th street and activists painted “Defund the Police” next to it.
Read 4 tweets
13 Nov
Real vote audit hours, who up
I’m in Forsyth County, which went big for Trump but where Biden ran ahead of most modern Dem nominees. Two Voter Review Panelists at each table, R and D, reading out the presidential vote on each ballot.
There are a few observers behind the caution tape, alternating between watching the count and having a conversation about restaurants in Memphis.
Read 6 tweets

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