A great blog post by the EU's top diplomat on Europe's strategic autonomy. There are a couple areas I don't agree with though. This quote here: "no one advocates the development of a fully autonomous European force outside NATO". President Macron is a big advocate for an EU Army.
Frankly, I don't see how an EU Army and NATO can coexist. This seems problematic, especially with a Biden administration coming soon. I also don't agree with the Astanisation segment either. 👇
"In conflicts like Nagorno-Karabakh, Libya and Syria, we're witnessing a form of “Astanisation” of regional conflicts (reference to the Astana format on Syria) which leads to the exclusion of Europe from the settlement of regional conflicts in favour of Russia and Turkey."
The EU and many other international organizations use small group formats and achieve positive results. Libya was a perfect opportunity for the EU to benefit from this format. I had hoped to see member states like Italy or Malta take part in a small group.
I am certain that Turkey would be happy to work with EU member states in Libya to help establish western values like democracy and human rights in the war torn country.
And also, whether it be Libya or Syria, the progress that Turkey has helped achieve has had a positive impact on creating a space for dialogue under the umbrella of the UN. So this Astanisation has worked in unison with international organizations.
The EU does need a major overhaul in the coming years if it wants to maintain relevance. Strategic autonomy is important for the union but it needs more cohesion amongst member states and a homogeneous centralized decision making authority.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Yusuf Erim

Yusuf Erim Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @YusufErim79

22 Feb
Thursday's clash between Turkish/Rebel troops and Regime/Russian forces in #Idlib taught us many things:

1) a small unit of Turkish troops made quick work of the SAA, basically taking control of Nayrab in 60-90 minutes. Turkey lost 2 soldiers while over 150 SAA were neutralized.
2) escalation is incremental. If Russia needed to deploy an airstrike in Nayrab - it was a last resort. Turkey has now seen how weak the SAA is and the extent Russia will support Assad.
3) Russia's hoping the airstrike will be a message/deterrence, create negative Turkish public sentiment and trigger opposition to Turkey's upcoming operation. The Kremlin knows this isn't sustainable action as it will severe ties with Ankara and garner int'l support for Turkey.
Read 12 tweets
9 Jan
Yesterday's Libya ceasefire deal clearly displays that Turkey's presence in the north African country is a peacekeeping mission and not an aggressive intervention. The ball is now in Hafter's court - will he honor the deal amd move towards a political solution process... 1/2
... or live up to his Warlord title. Reactions from Egypt and the UAE will be interesting to follow. Expecting Sisi and MbZ to hail a ceasefire as a major breakthrough on the surface but behind closed doors both must be fuming as Turkey has now cemented itself as the major actor.
The ceasefire puts Hafter in a precarious position, honor it and fall short of dictatorial ambitions, break the ceasefire and risk the ire of Erdogan and Putin as well as a larger Turkish troop presence.

The EU probably has mixed feelings. 1) Happy on one side for a ceasefire.
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!