Two observations on public awareness of the Brexit debate and their impact on what can be done. (Thread)
1) The public - even an expert legal public - is not aware just how broad FTAs have become. /2
This includes enormously qualified outstanding lawyers - including judges in apex courts. International law already is a specialized field, international trade law is a specialty within a specialty. /3
The effect of this is negative: as EU-UK is the first time many people notice, the scope of it is a shock. No amount of "read USMCA, read UK-Japan, read CPTPP" will change that. /4
And the fact that EU-UK because of the amount of trade, the size of the actors and the geographic closeness raises the level-playing field issue that is rampant world-wide to another level does nothing to help. /5
2) As to the concrete Brexit debate some of it seems to be stuck in 2017. Including demands of extending EU law ("dynamic alignment") and powers of the ECJ that, with the lowering of expectations, seem to no longer form part of the demands.
This actually creates an opening. As some seem to expect the EU demands the UK follow EU law everywhere, the fact that this won't be in the FTA (as it's not even in the EU demands anymore) creates an opening.

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More from @hhesterm

6 Dec
I feel I owe an apology to the Guardian and to @danielboffey . Not because I think I'm wrong - the wording of the clause is in the thread, I think I characterize it correctly - but because journalists do a tough job here and I was too harsh /1
This is technical stuff. Journalists have to rely on what they get and what they hear. If they get briefed a certain way, that's what they have. None of them have ever gone into the business to report on the difference between dynamic alignment and ratchet clauses.
And so I apologize. The description of the ratchet clause in the article is wrong - I stand by what I wrote factually, but that's bound to happen in today's world of how journalists are briefed and it's not embarrassing.
Read 4 tweets
6 Dec
The Guardian embarrassingly gets the EU demands on level-playing field wrong.
At this stage, that is quite embarrassing. So - what is this about? (Thread)
Let's start with what's in the article: "The talks are now going to the wire on the so-called “ratchet clause”"
So what is the ratchet clause? According to the article?
@danielboffey writes: "under which the UK government would have to follow EU environmental, social and labour standards as they develop over time or face tariffs on British exports."
That is WRONG. What is the ratchet clause?
Read 9 tweets
4 Dec
Sovereignty as a dual-use weapon. A very short thread. Sovereignty is again much talked about regarding the EU-UK deal. /1
But (as previously discussed) sovereignty is a poor fit for detail (and detail is not really published nor do a lot of people do that sort of thing). E.g. enforcement is about sovereignty, yes, but every FTA and indeed many other agreements have enforcement provisions. /2
So "sovereignty" is short-hand for "we want less in that regard" (because "we want none" would mean that the UK would have to get out of the WTO and all of its new FTAs, so I don't think anyone means "we want none").
Read 5 tweets
2 Dec
Why go for full approval v emergency procedures? A short thread
From the public health perspective the issue is one of confidence. We can only stop the pandemic if enough people have faith in the vaccine - that has been widely reported.
Not taking shortcuts is an argument here. Emergency procedures do take shortcuts.
That's not an easy decision.
Read 4 tweets
2 Dec
The weird debate about drug approval and Brexit that is currently going is interesting for several regulatory aspects (thread)
1) The headlines "first in the race" show the enormous pressure on a regulatory regime set up to be independent and evaluate thoroughly.
If this were a race in which being first is the most important thing, Russia would have won. A reminder: this is not the point of approval.
Fortunately I have faith in the MHRA. I believe they work well. The best way to destroy them, though, is to start regarding drug approval as a race in which the first one wins.
Read 8 tweets
30 Nov
Some home truths about the time left to negotiate an EU-UK FTA if we want one in place by January. Or in short: Why we're reaching the end of the road. (Thread)
Any deal - to come into force - must either be ratified or enter into force provisionally. @GeorginaEWright has written a very good overview, so I can focus on "as fast as possible". instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/ratifying…
Ratification takes time. So let's go with provisional application. How does that work?
Read 28 tweets

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