Here's my @JoeBiden foreign policy "to do" list in the first year.
Day One: rejoin the Paris climate agreement. THREAD.
2. Extend the New START Treaty for five years.
3. Reenter the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA). Once done, devise and implement a new comprehensive strategy for containing Iranian influence in the region and promoting democracy inside Iran.
4. Convene a heads of state summit with NATO & the EU, affirming U.S. commitment to containing (& at times engaging) Russia & strengthening ties between democratic allies and partners.Tackling the ideological component of competition between democracy & autocracy must be central
5. Hold a similar summit of democracies in Asia, with the Quad at its core. Signal a new U.S. commitment to contain and engage China in cooperation with our democratic allies and friends. Affirm the SQ regarding Taiwan.
6. Convene the promised Democracy Summit to which all small d democrats (human rights activists, scholars, independent media, etc) should be invited not just governments. Produce deliverables -- a new Global Fund for Democracy; new norms for tech -- not just a photo up.
7. All the while in the first year, fundamentally reorganize the USG to enhance diplomacy, more effectively use our government media & public diplomacy resources, and better support democracy and sustainable development around the world. Give climate policy a much bigger role
8. Attend December 2021 White House and State Department holiday receptions safely. Rest. END THREAD.
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"President Biden’s first day on the job in January will generate enormous joy, positive anticipation, and relief for American allies and everyone around the world who values democracy." THREAD 1/
"Reversing negative trajectories regarding American leadership will be a tremendous accomplishment. Still, it will not be enough. In the time since Biden last served in government, the world has changed." 2/
"His administration, in turn, will not only have to recalibrate polices but also implement internal reforms of the institutions responsible for the way we interact with the outside world, so that those institutions can successfully address new challenges." 3/
In one sentence @JoeBiden makes clear his foreign policy worldview: “America is back, ready to lead the world, not retreat from it, once again sit at the head of the table, ready to confront our adversaries and not reject our allies, ready to stand up for our values.” THREAD 1/
In the U.S., two cleavage issues have shaped foreign policy debates since the founding our Republic: internationalism vs isolation and liberalism vs realism. 2/
In the last several decades, this debate is not BETWEEN political parties, but within them. If you can imagine a 2 X 2 matrix, there are Democrats and Republicans in all 4 quadrants. 3/
Ambassadors @RNicholasBurns , Marc Grossman, and Marcie Reis have written a terrific report for how to revitalize American diplomacy called, A U.S. Diplomatic Service for the 21st Century . Download here: belfercenter.org/publication/us… . THREAD 1/
Among many pragmatic and doable reforms, they recommend “funding for a 15 percent increase in Foreign Service personnel levels to create a training float like that maintained by the U.S. military.” 2/
They call for “an increase of 2,000 positions over three years . After the 15 percent increase in positions is achieved, launch a four-year commitment to increase the size of the Foreign Service by another 1,400-1,800 positions to fill current and projected staffing gaps.” 3/
I wrote a book on democracy promotion in 2009. My argument there was that paradoxically the US almost never invades a country to promote democracy (Panama is an exception), but then almost never leaves a country without trying to install democracy (1st Iraq war is an exception)
Why did Russia's relations with the West shift from cooperation a few decades ago to a new era of confrontation today? THREAD 1/
Some explanations focus narrowly on changes in the balance of power in the international system, or trace historic parallels and cultural continuities in Russian international behavior. 2/
For a complete understanding of Russian foreign policy today, individuals, ideas, and institutions—President Vladimir Putin, Putinism, and autocracy—must be added to the analysis. 3/