Pulling together all the info we have on Florida's new requirement that labs report cycle thresholds for COVID tests:



1/10
Here is the full document on the FDOH site:

flhealthsource.gov/files/Laborato…

2/10
Article for sharing:

alachuachronicle.com/florida-depart…

3/10
More info on PCR tests and cycle thresholds:

rationalground.com/why-mass-pcr-t…

4/10
I don't expect this information to be public, but I would love to be wrong about that.

5/10
And this is based on a conversation with a single lab, but my understanding is that PCR instruments run doubling cycles and check after each cycle whether the amount of material has surpassed a level of detection. When it does, that number is stored in the machine.

6/10
That number is then compared to a reference scale to determine whether the sample is positive. For example, many tests have an "inconclusive" range, and they run the test again if the result is in that range.

7/10
In most cases, that number is not reported with the +/- result and is eventually wiped. This memo requires labs to start reporting it to FDOH. As explained in the Rational Ground article above, results with a lower number of cycles are more likely to be infectious.

8/10
It is unclear what FDOH will do with this information, but it is widely understood that setting the threshold for a positive test too high (as is currently the case) results in quarantining people who are not contagious.

9/10
So this may be the first step toward setting a new threshold for quarantining and contact tracing.

10/10

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More from @jhaskinscabrera

6 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/6/20

Florida reported a net of 93 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 41 different days, going back to August 15.

Changes by month: August (+9), September (+8), November (+56), December (+20)

#RationalGround

1/7
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 78
Minimum age: 34
Maximum age: 97
86% are 65 or older

2/7
Additions by date:

12/5 - 1
12/4 - 2
12/3 - 6
12/2 - 3
12/1 - 8
11/30 - 5
11/29 - 6
11/28 - 2
11/27 - 4
11/26 - 3
11/25 - 7
11/24 - 2
11/23 - 2
11/22 - 4
11/21 - 1
11/20 - 3
11/19 - 2
11/18 - 2
11/17 - 3
11/16 - 2
11/15 - 1
11/13 - 2
11/11 - 1
11/10 - 1
11/9 - 1
(cont.)

3/7
Read 7 tweets
6 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/5/20

Florida reported a net of 90 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 43 different days, going back to August 17.

Changes by month: August (+16), September (+13), November (+41-3), December (+23)

#RationalGround

1/7
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 78.5
Minimum age: 41
Maximum age: 103
80% are 65 or older

2/7
Additions and removals by date:

12/4 - 5
12/3 - 10
12/2 - 5
12/1 - 3
11/30 - 3
11/29 - 4
11/28 - 1
11/27 - 4
11/26 - removed 2
11/25 - 4
11/24 - 5
11/23 - 1
11/21 - 2
11/20 - 3
11/19 - 2
11/18 - 4
11/15 - removed 1
11/13 - 1
11/11 - 1
11/9 - 1
11/8 - 2
11/7 - 1
(cont.)

3/7
Read 7 tweets
4 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/4/20

Florida reported a net of 120 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 27 different days, going back to July 31.

Changes by month: July (-1), November (+92), December (+26)

#RationalGround

1/6
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79
Minimum age: 30
Maximum age: 102
88% are 65 or older

2/6
Additions and removals by date:

12/3 - 9
12/2 - 17
12/1 - 3
11/30 - 2
11/29 - 7
11/28 - 10
11/27 - 15
11/26 - 7
11/25 - 10
11/24 - 2
11/23 - 7
11/22 - 5
11/21 - 4
11/20 - 3
11/19 - 3
11/18 - 1
11/17 - 3
11/16 - 2
11/15 - 1
11/14 - 2
11/13 - 3
11/10 - 1
11/9 - 1
(cont.)

3/6
Read 6 tweets
3 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/3/20

Florida reported a net of 98 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 36 different days, going back to July 12.

Changes by month: July (+1-1), August (+4), September (+6), October (-1), November (+77-3), December (+15)

#RationalGround

1/7 Image
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79
Minimum age: 24
Maximum age: 99
89% are 65 or older

2/7 Image
Additions and removals by date:

12/2 - 8
12/1 - 7
11/30 - 4
11/29 - 2
11/28 - 7
11/27 - 8
11/26 - 2
11/25 - 7
11/24 - 10
11/23 - 7
11/21 - 5
11/20 - 3
11/19 - removed 2
11/18 - 3
11/15 - 2
11/14 - 3
11/13 - 2
11/12 - 1
11/11 - removed 1
11/10 - 1
11/8 - 4
11/6 - 2
(cont.)

3/7 Image
Read 7 tweets
3 Dec
NYT has a tool to show where you fall in the COVID vaccine priorities. (My county's population is 269k.) Although I'm 56 years old, I'm behind "2.4M young adults" and "4.0M children." Since my risk is low, I probably won't get the vaccine, anyway, but this tool is garbage. Image
Image
Image
Read 6 tweets
2 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/2/20

Florida reported a net of 97 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 39 different days, going back to August 1.

Changes by month: August (+6-1), September (+7), October (-1), November (+83-1), December (+4)

#RationalGround

1/7
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 77
Minimum age: 38
Maximum age: 96
87% are 65 or older

2/7
Additions and removals by date:

12/1 - 4
11/30 - 6
11/29 - 3
11/28 - 8
11/27 - 4
11/26 - 9
11/25 - 4
11/24 - 5
11/23 - 2
11/22 - 6
11/20 - 1
11/19 - 9
11/18 - 5
11/17 - removed 1
11/16 - 3
11/15 - 3
11/14 - 2
11/13 - 2
11/12 - 2
11/11 - 2
11/10 - 1
11/7 - 2
11/5 - 1
(cont.)

3/7
Read 7 tweets

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