1/ Alistair Campbell @campbellclaret is entirely right that Labour has let the Brexit right get into their heads. In spite of Corbyn & hopelessly inept Labour and LibDem campaigns 2nd referendum parties gained a clear majority of the popular vote in 2019.
theneweuropean.co.uk/brexit-news/we…
2/ Had Starmer been leading Labour and had it conducted a reasonable campaign then it might have boosted its vote by 4-6% at the Tories' expense, putting it at around 37% vs the Tories on 38.5%.
3/ Had Labour and the LibDems cooperated in key seats - much easier with Starmer as Labour leader than Corbyn who was toxic to the moderate Tory voters the LibDems needed to capture we would almost certainly have had another hung Parliament & quite possibly Starmer in Number 10.
4/ The Brexit right are far from invincible. Their ascendancy has been made possible by the incompetence of the opposition. Had the opposition been competently led and capable of some basic cooperation we would now be in a very different place.
5/ And I've been looking at things as they might have been in December 2019. It is clear that since then support for Brexit has diminished, and doubtless it will fall by a few more percent in the coming months. Brexit is a fading cause.
6/ I hope people read this thread and Campbell's article, because so many people have slipped into the entirely false conclusion that Brexit is the political force which we dare not challenge.
7/ It is often said that it would be fatal for Labour to oppose Brexit. In addition to my arguments above, it should be noted that there is zero empirical evidence for this claim. Not for one day since the referendum has Labour made the case against Brexit.

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More from @nickreeves9876

4 Dec
Brexit was built on the politics of fear. Fear destroys rational thinking, & elicits primitive emotions which drive people to identify an enemy, and seek safety in a tribe behind strong defences. The tax-dodging Brexit billionaire press then told people that the EU was the enemy.
Having said that, a fear-inciting propaganda only works when people already feel insecure and uneasy. Many of the main Brexit backing areas are suffering from post-industrial decline and the crumbling of communities and social structures. People feel neglected.
Those, white native folk feel that in our rush to end discrimination against minorities they have been ignored, while the economic and social world their families inhabited for generations disintegrates leaving them adrift in a new alien reality.
Read 8 tweets
3 Dec
Starmer signals Labour may vote for the trade deal.

He risks tying Labour's fortunes to a lousy deal whose effects will further erode the shrinking pro-Brexit minority.

And how can he credibly criticise a deal he has voted for? Labour should abstain.
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
My big worry is that after many months of silence on Brexit, voting for a deal will be a signal that Starmer intends to turn a blind eye to Brexit after January 1st, no matter how severe the consequences. Everything will be subordinated to winning back the red wall.
Once Brexit is in the bag the enthusiasm behind it will deflate very fast Support for Brexit was always about being against something. Many people will lose enthusiasm, a smaller number will cease to support it altogether. Meanwhile anger against Brexit may well increase.
Read 4 tweets
2 Dec
If @Keir_Starmer makes Labour vote for a deal he will tie himself and Labour to the deal and all its adverse consequences, and Labour will once again be treating loyal Labour voting Remainers as doormats while sucking up to Tory voting red wall Brexiters.
theguardian.com/politics/2020/…
Given that Starmer is engaged in a battle with Corbynist die-hards, it seems an act of tactical idiocy to act in a way which will disillusion or enrage many of Labour's Remainers most of whom are his natural allies against the Corbynists.
Starmer should let the Tories sort out their Brexit among themselves. Let then own it and let them be accountable for the consequences. That's the line Starmer has been following so far, so why wreck it at the last moment by tying his and Labour's future to a crap Tory deal?
Read 5 tweets
2 Dec
The core element of democracy is the right to oppose. But for around 2 years after the referendum nearly all politicians and journalists were intimidated into treating Remain as political blasphemy. During that period Brexit politics was profoundly undemocratic. It was a coup.
That 2 years or so of populist intimidation hugely slowed the advance of the Remain campaign and shut out its message from much of the public. That Brexit happened at all is a direct result of that period of fascistic intimidation. Brexit was a coup.
We continue to see the effects of that intimidation in Starmer and Davey's extraordinary caution with regard to Brexit. It is only in a climate of political intimidation that opposition politicians would tread so warily. But we've become used to it. Intimidation is the norm.
Read 6 tweets
28 Nov
1/ If you are sick of Labour's pandering to red wall Brexiters and its ignoring of the substantial majority who believe Brexit to be a mistake, here's what to do.
2/ To beat the Tories in the next General Election will almost certainly require electoral cooperation among opposition parties to overcome the toxic effect of FPTP. So we must campaign for an electoral alliance in key seats.
3/ The need for an electoral alliance means that Labour cannot play the game of saying vote for us or you get the Tories, because by so doing they would be serving as Tory enablers. And we should call them out on that if they try to block cooperation.
Read 5 tweets
12 Oct
1/ We should be pressing as hard as possible to get opposition parties to accept electoral cooperation and to immediately start work on the basic arrangements. Cooperation is vital for defeating the Tories under FPTP. Without it all our efforts will be in vain.
2/ We need a hashtag for an electoral cooperation campaign. Ideas would be welcome. One requirement is that the hashtag be short.
3/ Electoral cooperation does not demand monolithic unity. We in the opposition will continue to disagree among ourselves about all sorts of issues. But these should be treated as disagreements among allies and friends. Disagreement must not mean enmity.
Read 4 tweets

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