Ian Dunt Profile picture
7 Dec, 6 tweets, 1 min read
Putting aside any sense of false confidence, this does feel an awful lot like a repeat of last time. Johnson wanting to be seen flying in and sorting it all out with a quick chat.
Let's say you're the PM and you're planning for no-deal. You'd want to keep yourself as far away from it as possible so the personal responsibility doesn't lie with you. Why bring yourself into it more than needs be?
But if you were going for a deal, or were at least minded to, you'd want to get your face right into that shit: be seen doing that harsh final moment of negotiation, come back triumphant from Brussels, snatching victory from impending defeat, all that.
It's all very tiresome analysing this stuff. Like trying to establish whether a goldfish has a sense of self. But that statement looks pretty deal-y to me.
And even if that seems more than could be fairly concluded, you can least say this with confidence: No.10 definitely hasn't decided that it's no-deal, or Johnson wouldn't be anywhere near that shit.
Double negative. Fuck my life. What a monster I have become.

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More from @IanDunt

6 Dec
Prospect of no-deal is deeply depressing on a political level as well as an economic one. Many suspect that UK govt would soon return to talks and accept terms it had rejected before. I'm not so sure.
Think instead that the entire notion of a free trade agreement would become, in the eyes of the Conservative party, a betrayal of Brexit, the kind of thing only Remainers would want.
Once again, the Tories would shift to Farage's position. A further radicalisation.
Read 5 tweets
3 Dec
I have discovered a golf game on my mobile that is giving me so much enjoyment that I had a terrible thought: What if I might actually like golf?
I have cast the thought out my mind. It doesn't matter how much pleasure I would get from it. I will never do it. Because then I would be a golfer. And that simply cannot happen.
This has actually happened before. My friend bought back Tiger Woods for the Playstation when we were in uni. We mocked the fuck out of him for it, of course.
Read 6 tweets
2 Dec
I might have actually felt quite warmly towards the government today. Bit of light refraction from the surge of sudden optimism, recognition that they got in there quick buying this stuff up.
But of course it has to be packaged up with a bunch of desperate self-serving lies - the kind you can refute in five minutes.
Read 4 tweets
2 Dec
This points to a failure in the way that I and many others have tried to assess chances of no-deal this year.
We've looked at broad incentives, rationally understood - ie Johnson under attack for competence and knows no-deal will be seen as incompetent. Or, on the other side, Johnson having to placate ERG headbangers.
But I think that falls apart on two levels. Firstly, it underplays the chaos of all political events - the personalities at the heart of them, making decisions often on instinct, or due to moments defined by chance.
Read 10 tweets
1 Dec
Really is the height of foolishness to share clips of Leave voters expressing regret about their vote with mocking comments about how you feel no sympathy for them.
Over the next few months, as the practical consequences of Brexit finally become clear, there is an opportunity for some Leavers to turn against it. That can help build momentum towards a closer relationship and - eventually, a bit down the line - rejoining.
But that won't happen if the response to people saying they regret their vote is Remainers sticking their tongue out at them. It simply consolidates the sense of tribal animosity.
Read 6 tweets
29 Nov
I over did it with the tree. Got overexcited and brought a proper sized Christmas tree into a London flat and now it's basically towering over the living room like a Doctor Who villain.
It looks weirdly like an alter. I mean, to anyone passing by seeing it through the window we'll look like fucking Christmas fanatics.
The tree is blocking out the light from the window, making the room all gloomy during the daytime. I've fucked this thing right up.
Read 6 tweets

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