On intent to treat basis early and delayed stem cell transplantation led to identical overall survival at 8 years. Timely given the pandemic situation. See thread on what these results mean. #ASH20VR@ASH_hematology
Important to note that higher PFS,better MRD- with early transplant, and the fact that not everyone who was randomized to delayed transplant did not manage to affect the probability of staying alive at 8 years one bit. #ASH20
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Nevertheless, I still recommend early transplant for most eligible patients for reasons discussed in this thread.
It is intriguing that just 3 extra cycles of VRD neutralizes the 8 year overall survival probability of auto transplant. Also this trial used only 1 year of maintenance. DFCI trial will tell us if the PFS benefit of early transplant shrinks with Len maintenance until progression.
When survival at 8 years is the same there are 4 possibilities:
1) The difference is in the tail & may emerge later 2) There’s truly no difference in survival, whichever option u choose 3) There is imbalance in feasibility of salvage therapy between arms 4) Trial is underpowered
This should read:
Important to note that higher PFS,better MRD- with early transplant, and the fact that not everyone who was randomized to delayed transplant even got a transplant did not manage to affect the probability of staying alive at 8 years one bit. #ASH20
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@sumanthraman@EricTopol This is a great question. I’ll try my best to answer. 1) First is that the question also applies to Europe which is doing just as bad as the US. So why are USA and Europe doing worse than more crowded and much poorer countries?
@sumanthraman@EricTopol 2) I think one of the most likely factors is that there must be some form of pre-existing cross reactive immunity which is helping keep the disease severity low. So more asymptomatic cases, and fewer hospitalizations and deaths. I did a thread on this a while back.
@sumanthraman@EricTopol 3) The second factor is certain favorable demographics in countries like India: age distribution (lower median age), and lower prevalence of obesity. A lot of severe COVID is associated with these two factors.
Two RCTs show an Overall Survival benefit of transplant over chemo alone.
2) Does timing early vs delayed matter?
4 RCTs (including IFM 2009) show similar overall survival regardless of when transplant is done (early vs delayed)
The IFM 2009 results show identical overall survival ~60% at 8 years with early or delayed transplant, even though not everyone who is in the delayed transplant group even gets to a transplant. But there are important caveats.
I started doing personal hashtags at meetings a few years ago for my own selfish reasons. It has worked out great for me. And I’m hoping it’s useful for others.
I tweet a lot at ASH and other Hematology/oncology meetings but won’t add my personal hashtag unless I feel like it’s something very important that I would want to look up in the future.
If you are going to offer screening, I suggest only a one-time year at age 50 and older, or 10 years before diagnosis in first degree relative.
Test: SPEP, Serum IFE, and Serum FLC. We are not screening for MGUS, but for evidence suggestive of high risk SMM or MM.
This recommendation affects a small number of people who are at high risk of developing SMM or MM. For all others, including general population, wait till results of iSTOP MM RCT, and other studies such as PROMISE. @sykristinsson@IreneGhobrial