Playbook this AM: 'It's tight'

@JoeBiden's decision to put @RepMarciaFudge in the Cabinet as HUD secy gives @SpeakerPelosi a 220-seat majority -- just a five-seat edge over House Rs, and a two-vote cushion to get bills through the chamber.
THAT’S INCREDIBLY, INCREDIBLY tight. If you are one who believes Covid relief needs to happen in the first quarter of the year, then it’s going to need to be a negotiated bill between @PELOSI and @GOPLeader. MCCARTHY is suddenly quite relevant to governing
220 IS THE SMALLEST MAJORITY since 2001, when Republicans maintained incredible party discipline with a similarly sized majority. In those days, they had TOM DELAY and earmarks to keep things in line -- and they never lost a vote. This included lots of screaming.
THIS IS THE SMALLEST DEMOCRATIC MAJORITY we could find since 1893. There will be special elections to fill @RepMarciaFudge and @RepRichmond's seats, and then the Dem majority will grow once again. But special elections take time.
We caught up with @RepMarciaFudge tues night about the tight majority she’s now leaving pelosi.

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More from @JakeSherman

9 Dec
PLAYBOOK: COVID RELIEF … ON TUESDAY NIGHT, the administration offered PELOSI and Senate Minority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER a $916 BILLION Covid relief bill. The bill is broadly similar to the bipartisan “908 coalition” package:
It includes $160 billion for state and local, $150 billion for direct checks ($600 per person), $320 billion for the Paycheck Protection Program, $30 billion for airlines and $16 billion for vaccine and testing. There are no enhanced unemployment benefits -- big problem
>@senatemajldr and @GOPLeader were read into @stevenmnuchin1's offer, and MCCARTHY voiced support for it Tuesday evening. MCCONNELL earlier Tuesday offered to drop state and local and liability -- the big sticking points -- to try to get a deal.
Read 6 tweets
5 Dec
Playbook this AM: "Trump’s task in Georgia”

PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP will re-emerge from his self-imposed post-election quarantine this afternoon at 4:30 when he flies to Valdosta, Ga., for a rally for Sens. KELLY LOEFFLER and DAVID PERDUE.
THIS FRONT PAGE of the MACON TELEGRAPH (Ga.) says it all: “Republicans bank on Trump in Georgia runoff”. bit.ly/3mPhQ80
And this story in the ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION by the great @bluestein explains the stakes and the dynamics quite nicely. “Faith shaken in system, Trump’s Georgia supporters consider skipping U.S. Senate runoffs” bit.ly/2VJCiv8
Read 5 tweets
3 Dec
Playbook this morning: BIDEN’S MARCH MADNESS

WE ARE NOW 8 DAYS AWAY from government funding running out, and there’s a healthy heap of skepticism in the House & Senate that Congress will be able to put together a full year of spending bills in time for the Dec. 11 funding date.
SO WHAT’S THAT MEAN FOR D.C.? A short-term spending bill becomes really likely. One thing being talked about is extending government funding until March. AND WHAT’S THAT DO? ….
It puts a big fat government funding fight in the first quarter of next year, just as President-elect JOE BIDEN will be getting his presidency started.
Read 6 tweets
1 Dec
Good morning — PLAYBOOK this AM

THERE HAS BEEN DISCUSSION in the W.H. of excluding the following Hill Republicans from the W.H. Christmas party this year: @SenatorCollins, @MittRomney, @lisamurkowski and @BenSasse and Reps. @RepKinzinger (Ill.) and @Liz_Cheney CHENEY (Wyo.).
@SenatorCollins @MittRomney @lisamurkowski @BenSasse @RepKinzinger @Liz_Cheney We’re told this has been reversed -- that they may get an invite -- but this has dominated West Wing chatter in the last few days.
@SenatorCollins @MittRomney @lisamurkowski @BenSasse @RepKinzinger @Liz_Cheney THE SENATE CAME BACK INTO SESSION Monday evening, and all the chatter was about the impending confirmation process and the next presidency, which, if you are living on Planet Earth, will include @JoeBiden as president and @KamalaHarris as VP.
Read 9 tweets
24 Nov
PLAYBOOK PM … NEW … @SpeakerRyan on a call this morning said the “attacks on our voting system really need to stop, in my opinion.” And he said TRUMP’S lawyers are offering “baseless conspiracy theories.”
@SpeakerRyan "I really think it’s in the president’s best interest to acknowledge these things and not just have the GSA technically facilitate the transfer of power, but to embrace the transfer of power, the system we have."
@SpeakerRyan >@SpeakerRyan on JOE BIDEN: “I personally think it’s in Joe Biden’s best interest -- he obviously would not want to hear this -- for us to win these Georgia Senate seats …
Read 4 tweets
24 Nov
Playbook.

THE BIGGEST SHIFT in Washington in January won’t only be that Democrats are taking the White House. It will be that the BIDEN administration will be -- as @BrendanBuck pointed out -- “delightfully boring.”

@harrispolitico calls it “Joe Biden’s Team of Careerists.”
THIS IS AN ADMIN filled with people who have deep experience in government and in the agencies they will be running. THE POST puts it this way: “By design, they seem meant to project a dutiful competence, as Biden creates a government overseen by those who have run it before.”
THEY BELIEVE IN A LINEAR , plodding, purposeful and standard policy process. Impulsive policymaking and widespread leaks from competing factions in the administration are probably over.
Read 9 tweets

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