I will get vaccinated as soon as I can, which, as an ER doc, will be "soon"
the data we have is very good & very reassuring. I suspect the pfizer data will be published soon, but the fact that they prioritized the EUA, knowing the FDA would release it as part of the process, seems reasonable
all the potential signs of political pressure to "rush" a vaccine have been gone for months. they paused when the DSMB said they should (which is fine!)
(my analogy for that is like a 3 hr drive; I'd rather not stop to go to the bathroom, but if I need to, it's expected and fine)
further, the safety data we have for pfizer & AZ are all reassuring
I'm a bit concerned about 2 things: 1) supply 2) uptake
2b) equity
1) supply
it will take time to get vaccines made & distributed. this sucks
2) there will be hesitancy. it sucks. this is long entrenched and goes back centuries but more recently people like Wakefield and Orient and McCarthy are terrible and I cannot believe we give them the time of day
some hesitancy will come from the sense that these vaccines were "rushed" but as @Theresa_Chapple 's OP said, these weren't rushed in the conventional sense; in historic times we put historic effort to try to solve a historic problem
I'm a little sanguine that these two problems will solve each other to some degree; a trickling supply will mean demand will outpace supply, so many people who are hesitant now may be reassured by all the health care workers who get vaccinated early,
and presumably, all the safety experience we have months from now when supply is more generous will hopefully reassure people
I'm a little more concerned that people will (mistakenly) rely on others' for herd immunity, or (falsely) reassured that 1 dose may be enough
re 2b) equity
I don't want to discount this but 2 things are easier than 3 and it's broadly part of the same uptake issue
this divides into 2 subissues: hesitancy from historic skepticism toward the health care / overall establishment (which is, tragically, well-deserved)
and 2, systemic bias in health care access, etc etc etc
trump's partnering with big pharmacies is broadly good BUT reinforces structural inequities such as disparities in health care access, pharmacy deserts etc
I'm cautiously optimistic that this is EXACTLY WHY @DrNunezSmith is co-leading Biden's COVID task force, particularly in light of the disparate impact on vulnerable communities/people of color
I don't have a lot of specific expertise here so I won't riff too much but this seems like a time where we have the opportunity and responsibility to work toward fixing those inequities
some other thoughts:
these are the first mRNA vaccines which is part of why we got to trial so quickly. IIRC theyve been tried & tested before and been safe but not effective for some other bugs which is promising, and again, safety data now is good
and hand waving physiology, our body is really good at digesting and not misusing mRNA, so it's promising
also the AZ vaccine is a "traditional" adenovirus one that also has very promising preliminary data, so while I'm not concerned about mRNA vaccines per se, I'm happy there will likely be options for those who are
another concern: we will not magically get back to normal quickly. it will take MONTHS to get enough vaccines, build immunity, distribute (2!) doses for most, and even if they're all 95% effective, not everyone will be immune, not everyone will be vaccinated
just as I wear my seatbelt in my car even though it has crumple zones and airbags etc etc etc I anticipate I will be wearing a mask and social distancing and not going to restaurants for months to come
will likely add to this later as I remember what else I forgot
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some things to add:
forget who I stole this from but hospital capacity is a lot like a tetris endgame -- you can be really full even when there is technically "space"
additionally, things don't happen instantaneously. even when there is space and everyone wants everything to move, things take time--turning over a room (ie cleaning), staff communication, patient transport
At this point many physicians and scholars have discussed how and why COVID-19 disproportionately affected black and brown folk. @ezekielRMed#ShareTheMicNowMed 1/
So what do we do about it? Why aren’t the issues that spread COVID like fire through kindling as central to the field of medicine as sterile technique? (serious question) @ezekielRMed#ShareTheMicNowMed 3/
@GitRDoneLarry Larry the stuff in that video is just wrong, even some simple facts like "we've never quarantined healthy people before"
it's happened countless times across history including in the US during the Spanish flu in 1918 and various other outbreaks of smallpox and plague
@GitRDoneLarry I absolutely appreciate that millions of people are hurting economically and it's hard because the models looked worse than what we've experienced but a big part of that is because the shelter in place is working well!
and despite that, over 53,000 Americans have died
@GitRDoneLarry these guys are extrapolating out their experience from their urgent cares which is not at all representative of anything; epidemiology is a lot more complicated than multiplying out numbers particularly as we have been so far behind on testing
@PA_Sertraline@j_thePA say you have a seismograph (earthquake detector). I don't know how they actually work but I assume it's fundamentally some sort of mechanism with a spring that detects the ground shaking --> draws a squiggly line
@PA_Sertraline put it in the desert in the Nevada where I dunno I guess there are earthquakes and if the ground shakes -> spring bounces, earthquake detected
it SENSES ground shaking and says YES EARTHQUAKE because it is SENSITIVE to earthquakes