NEW — During the campaign, a top Dem group secretly did a study to see if the most viral Lincoln Project ads were persuading persuadable swing state voters. It turns out, they weren’t.

thedailybeast.com/the-hottest-ca…
The ads were proving motivational. But "the correlation of Twitter metrics—likes and retweets—and persuasion was -0.3, 'meaning that the better the ad did on Twitter, the less it persuaded battleground state voters.’"
The Lincoln Project didn’t argue with the conclusions. They had two tracts of ads, as they saw it. And the ones going viral on twitter weren’t supposed to change someone’s mind in PA.
The conclusion, in short, is that Twitter is not real life

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More from @samstein

1 Nov
NEW—Joe Biden made a bet: the majority of voters didn’t want the Democratic version of Trump but, rather, the polar opposite of him. On Tuesday, we’ll see if it works.

thedailybeast.com/joe-biden-bet-…

A detailed look at how we got her, with @HCTrudo
@HCTrudo A few campaign moments that get overlooked that Biden’s team points to as important.

1. The Zelensky phone call. It allowed Biden to say: here’s proof Trump himself believes Biden is his toughest re-election opponent, at a time when defeating Trump was the top primary issue.
2. Finishing 2nd in Nevada. It was a ~25 point loss to Sanders. A complete drubbing. But a campaign aide told us: “Had we finished third or fourth, I do not think we could have made it to South Carolina.”
Read 6 tweets
26 Oct
Back when I did Candidate Confessional, we interviewed @stuartpstevens about Romney-Obama ’12. One thing that stuck with me is how confident he said the campaign felt that they would win. One of the reasons they were confident? Because Obama was flailing. (cont…)
@stuartpstevens Stu chuckled at one attack line in particular: a riff Obama did in mid Oct. about Romney suffering from “Romneysia.” It was cheap and silly. And for the Romney campaign it was a sign that Obama was still scrambling for a message.

theguardian.com/world/us-news-…

(cont..)
In the end, Romneysia didn’t stick. But that’s because a separate story overtook it and everything else: Hurricane Sandy.
Read 4 tweets
8 Sep
A thread about what's happening now on the Left.

Last week, a coalition of leading progressive groups that make up the relatively secretive Fight Back Table discussed, for the first time, how to organize and prepare for post-Election Day chaos. 

thedailybeast.com/the-left-secre…
The meeting was two hours. And touched on operational questions: setting up a communications infrastructure, how to fight against disinfo, how to get quick transportation in place if a pol location mysteriously closes, etc...

thedailybeast.com/the-left-secre…
There is wide consensus that this could be the biggest mass civil unrest moment in decades. One source described the plan as: “Occupy shit, hold space, and shut things down, not just on Election Day but for weeks." 

thedailybeast.com/the-left-secre…
Read 11 tweets
25 Feb
I don’t think people appreciate just how bad Donald Trump was during the Ebola outbreak of 2014. Here’s a short list of the things he said, which were amplified (rather inexplicably) by the media. (Seriously, what was the reason for that?)
He infamously insisted that the U.S. could not allow those infected back into the country, saying that had to “suffer the consequences” -- including doctors who’d gone to treat patients.
He said that the CDC was not being honest with how contagious the disease actually was

Read 9 tweets
11 Dec 19
Some personal news. I am a father again. Harry Leinwand Stein was born four weeks ago. I've held off on saying anything because he's been in the NICU since his birth. He came pretty early.
The NICU can be a trying place. But my wife and I are fortunate. Harry is doing great and his big brother is loving him being home
Most important we had exceptional care. The staff at @MedStarGUH are truly amazing people. But especially the nurses. They lifted our spirits when they were low. They helped us through emotionally difficult times.
Read 5 tweets
7 Dec 19
At the risk of incurring just a horrifying backlash, i have a few thoughts on Mayor Pete's "McKinley problem" that I've hesitated on sharing because of fear of the Twitter mob---but, you know what, F the mob.
The "problem"--if we must call it that-- is both real and, obviously, overstated. 

It's real in that we absolutely should know this part of his bio. He's running for president. This is fair game. And I trust his aides know they need to push to disclose this stuff.
It's also real in that he almost certainly worked on some project that involved "creating efficiencies" -- i.e. laying people off-- on behalf of a corporation. This is what consultancies do. And that's a problem, politically and culturally.
Read 8 tweets

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