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John Rentoul Profile picture
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10 Dec, 4 tweets, 1 min read
TIMSS Trends in International Mathematics & Science Study 2019 4th grade (age 9/10) maths timss2019.org/reports/downlo…
England 12th in science 4th grade
Scotland does not take part because everyone knows the SNP govt is doing such a good job bbc.co.uk/news/education…
Same applies to Labour Wales of course

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More from @JohnRentoul

John Rentoul Profile picture
10 Dec
Fascinating. Dec 1972 For joining Common Market 39%, Against 45%; Jan 1973 We were right to join 38%, Wrong 36% Gallup
I was prompted to look this up by discussion with @BenChu_ at the @Independent Brexit event this evening Image
He suggested after decades of relative economic decline, British wanted to join; & after decades of relative growth, wanted to leave
Read 5 tweets
John Rentoul Profile picture
9 Dec
#PMQs coming up at noon: Starmer by video
Michael Gove statement on Irish border deal after #PMQs: here are my Qs independent.co.uk/independentpre…
Starmer misquoting PM: “failure of statecraft” was a reference to leaving EU without a withdrawal agreement
Read 8 tweets
John Rentoul Profile picture
14 Sep
It’s still too early, but worth updating my US election preview from 23 Aug
Biden has an average 7-point lead in national polls, which is significant, and more than the 1-pt lead Hillary had at this stage projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/presiden… en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwid…
But what matters is Biden’s lead in the state needed to get him over the 270 electoral college votes to win
Read 10 tweets
John Rentoul Profile picture
30 Aug
Important paper on coronavirus death rates suggests effects of govt measures (eg distancing) have been “substantially” overstated HT @tylercowen minneapolisfed.org/research/sr/sr…
Paper suggests death rates rose & fell mostly regardless of govt actions: “We are concerned that [previous] studies may substantially overstate the role of govt-mandated NPIs [non-pharmaceutical interventions] in reducing disease transmission due to an omitted variable bias”
Three possible “omitted variables”: 1. “Humans spontaneously take action to avoid disease transmission once an epidemic breaks out”, & this behaviour change is big & consistent enough to produce roughly the same decline in death rates at the same time everywhere...
Read 5 tweets
John Rentoul Profile picture
31 Jul
Prevalance of coronavirus rising, now 1 in 1,500 from 1 in 1,800 on 15 July: PM
Wedding receptions of up to 30 people now postponed to at least 15 Aug
We are at the limits of opening up, says Chris Whitty: if some things are opened, others have to be closed down
Read 4 tweets
John Rentoul Profile picture
6 May
This Fri all day on @BBCParliament 0955-2359, the full BBC coverage of election night 2010
Followed by Sat all evening on @BBCParliament 1930-2330: the 1959 general election
And the following 3 Saturdays:
16 May 1000-2330 1964 general election
23 May 0900-2359 1979 general election
30 May 0900-2310 1997 general election
Read 4 tweets

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