Now that we have a few vaccines that seem to work do y’all want to hear my really grim theoretical predictions for the pandemic if the worst things happened?
I hadn’t widely shared them because they are awfully negative. Fortunately I think we will most likely be spared at this point. But their possibility made the #flubro crowd especially irritating to me.
we know sars-cov-2 infects many other species (rodents, cats, dogs), though not necessarily to them and back to humans. However they definitely go to minks and back to humans. This means it’s really really tough to get rid of completely. Also more opportunity for mutation.
We don’t think antibody dependent enhancement is a thing with SARS-CoV2 but if it were on a large scale it would mean mass death on the scale of 13th century plague.
Who cares if it infects and kills some rodents? What if it (or a future mutation) infected and killed/sickened herd animals we rely on for food?
Hopefully our existing vaccine tech is adaptable!
I do think we will be hearing about COVID for a long time. Sorry.
👆🏻if someone comes back in 3 years and tags this tweet as hilariously wrong I would be very happy! And I do think next year will be much better, don’t get me wrong.
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Trying to imagine the pandemic course if we had a competent federal government. That 6 week testing delay cost us a lot of lives. Earlier surveillance and testing would have meant spring lockdowns started a bit earlier, eliminating the northeast huge peak in April.
Nothing would have prevented the southern states from opening up without care => the summer peak, but lower levels of virus in the country from the spring might have mitigated it a little.
By September a government that had it together probably could have blanketed the country with rapid tests. Frequent testing + social distancing measures mitigated and prevented outbreaks in colleges in Massachusetts and the NBA and entertainment and news industries.
Y’all there is one Malaysian factory that produces most of the world’s medical grade nitrile gloves and they had >20k workers sick with COVID and several large medical centers are going to run out of gloves by the weekend.
The US reserve stockpile of nitrile gloves is almost extinguished.
Restaurant grade could be a substitute for many indications but the raw materials are the same and the backlog is extensive.
There was a fair case for considering the #flubro argument at the beginning. But with the example of Sweden and with large scale vaccination of the front lines and vulnerable mere months away, all #flubroism is exposed for eugenics. May your foul philosophies be shunned.
Mike Pence the head of the coronavirus task force leading a non-socially-distanced low masking rally at the largest retirement community in the US has to be peak #2020 (at least it is outdoors)
*Remembers the utter scandal on UK twitter when one minister drove his kid and visited his elderly parents when he was supposed to be in lockdown* (I think, I didn’t entirely follow what was happening)
If my parents lived there I can guarantee you some tersely worded phone calls and warnings about indoor public dining.