Eurosurveillance | Secondary transmission of COVID-19 in preschool and school settings in northern Italy after their reopening in September 2020: a population-based study eurosurveillance.org/content/10.280…
This is a very nice study because they tested all school contacts of index cases irrespective of symptoms.
There were multiple measures implemented in schools to reduce crowding and maintain physical distance between students
Under these conditions, secondary attack rates were very low in primary schools, somewhat higher in middle and high schools (6.5%).
This is lower than what is generally reported in other settings like workplaces or households.
Most interesting is the fact that 50% of secondary cases were asymptomatic, that transmission occurred also from asymptomatic as well as presymptomatic index cases.
Some limitations; sequencing was not performed, so cannot be sure cases within clusters were indeed linked. Some secondary cases may in fact have been tertiary cases, given long time-window btw test positivity.
At 14 day testing interval, some cases may have been missed.
What we can learn from this study is that screening of classmates of school index cases, irrespective of symptoms can help us identify double the number of cases identified by symptom based testing alone.
Given that these asymptomatics can pass the virus on, identifying these can help reducing spread within schools and to outside school contacts.
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Our model-based analysis; Potential effects of school-based measures to reduce contacts between children, including school closures, markedly depends on the reduction in the effective reproduction number achieved
by other measures. medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Let me try to explain what our new modelling study does and does not suggest. First, this is a model and it is currently being peer reviewed. Ganna Rozhnova did this work, and if you thinks it’s good all credits go to her (and the other co-authors). (1/10)
Results based on 2 aspects: (1) contact rates in different age groups. For children (<20yr) we distinguish school-based & non-school-based contacts; (2) what is the susceptibility of age groups to be infected with SARS-CoV2 after being contacted by an infectious person. (2/10)
Ik bemerk in mijn omgeving nogal eens twijfel over de veiligheid van coronavaccins. Een proces dat normaal gesproken jaren duurt, kan dat in zo’n korte tijd een veilig en werkzaam vaccin opleveren. Gaan we niet te kort door de bocht?1/
Nee, is het antwoord, maar het is goed om uit te leggen waarom het dan wél zo snel kon;
1)Het SARS-CoV-2 virus is een relatief makkelijk doelwit om een vaccin tegen te ontwikkelen. 2/
Er was al veel voorwerk verricht op vaccins tegen het SARS en het MERS coronavirus, broertjes die veel op het huidige virus lijken. Zo wisten wetenschappers vrijwel direct op welk eiwit van het virus ze zich moesten richten. Dat scheelt jaren laboratoriumonderzoek.
3/
1/8 We moeten het eens hebben over buitensporten en coronavirus; #COVID19
Er zijn inmiddels tientallen studies beschreven van bron-en-contact onderzoek van vóór de lockdown. wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-83/…
Dit is het beeld;
2/8 De meeste besmettingen vinden plaats in gezinnen. Daarna volgt
gezamenlijk reizen (OV), in winkels en winkelcentra, restaurants en andere
uitgaansgelegenheden, kantoren, kerkdiensten of andere bijeenkomsten, vooral wanneer daarbij ook intensief gesport of gezongen wordt.
3/8 Opvallend; de locaties zijn allemaal binnen, de onderlinge afstand tussen mensen is er klein, en men verblijft er doorgaans langere tijd. medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Some important findings from this contact tracing study in Taiwan of 100 index cases; ja.ma/3d4M29S
* 22 secondary cases among 2761 close contacts=secondary attack rate (SAR) 0,8%
* SAR highest among household contacts (4.6%) and non-household family members (5.4%)
* Very few secondary cases in other settings. What is different in Taiwanese people? No hand shaking? Face masks? Keeping more distance? /2
* Of 9 asymptomatic cases, none transmitted to any of 91 close contacts.
* SAR increased with disease severity
* None transmission occurred beyond day 6 of symptom onset.
* Transmission occurred as early as 5 days prior to symptom onset. /3