Alina Chan Profile picture
14 Dec, 20 tweets, 6 min read
Analysis by @edyong209 @TheAtlantic of the impact of the pandemic on how science is done.

I'm reading it from the POV of one of "Thousands of researchers dropped whatever intellectual puzzles had previously consumed their curiosity and began working on the pandemic instead."
People have asked me why I'm so obsessed with understanding the origins of SARS-CoV-2/covid.

My answer: How could I not be?

A virus pops out of nowhere and the entire world is put out of order. This is, hopefully, the pandemic of our lifetime.
Quote: Ebola and Zika each prompted a temporary burst of funding and publications. But “nothing in history was even close to the level of pivoting that’s happening right now,” Madhukar Pai of McGill University told (Ed Yong)... “It hit us at home” theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
Hopeful that "the next time a mystery pathogen emerges" there will not only be speedier pipelines for vaccine, therapeutics & diagnostics but also more effective, transparent ways of tracing the origins of the pathogen to prevent repeated outbreaks. theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
I'm going to hit this nail on the head. I know that some experts see my origins work as an example of this:


However, I'm going to reinforce that outsiders and less established scientists have a critical role to play in the scientific process.
The idea of staying in one's lane is, imo, not how scientific advances happen. Scientists are driven by curiosity, continuous learning & specializing. Cutting edge science often requires branching out of one's comfort zone, collaborating with scientists in other specializations.
Academic departments often do not want to hire multiple professors who are from the exact same lane (e.g., trained in the same lab or same dogma) because this could lead to overall research stagnation and less interdisciplinary innovation.
Scientists from different lanes, swerving out of their lanes, and plowing into unfamiliar territory does make life harder for long time experts in the field - yes, blunders are made, but this process challenges current hypotheses and forces learning and scientific progress.
When scientists (and non-scientists) have reached out to me asking if they should be looking into covid, whether it's vaccine R&D or origins, my answer is never "stay in your lane".

As long as curious people are not claiming false expertise, they should be encouraged to learn.
Rather than being told to leave this all to the actual experts, people should be encouraged to evaluate the evidence themselves. Don't underestimate other scientists and non-scientists' abilities to learn and understand.

One side effect of covid is increased scientific literacy.
I know this creates a lot of work for scientists and journalists, but science communication & literacy have been undervalued for so long. Building public trust in experts/science doesn't happen just from research publications or profs dropping tweetorials.
Gonna add something that could get me in trouble: on the "bad papers helped shape the public narrative of the pandemic" - some of the most influential of these were written by established experts, who had the currency to get bad papers through peer review, into top journals.
“In the big scheme of things, I'm much more worried about the questionable research that's in the big journals about COVID than I am about what really does look like fringe." - Ivan Oransky, Retraction Watch
vice.com/en/article/jgq…
The scientific enterprise involves humans. Scientists are not robots or machines. Experts in each field have pre-existing relationships - political, financial, personal, intellectual friendships or rivalries. These competing interests affect research.
On this point, making editorial and peer review public (even if anonymized) is what I believe is essential to ensuring that (1) the research x review process is rigorous and (2) the review process is fair and not impacted by competing interests.
One of the main reasons why experts have had to "debunk spurious research in long Twitter threads and relentless media interviews—acts of public service that are rarely rewarded in academia" --- is because most peer review is not published. theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
That means that when a scientist/non-scientist encounters a publication, they have zero insight into the expert criticisms of that work. They need to start from scratch, or more likely rely on experts to do unpaid public peer reviews on twitter.
On key covid papers, we've already seen important addendums and editor's notes released several months post-publication - with near zero insight as to why these addendums/notes were added, the extent of concerns raised.
nature.com/articles/s4158…
nature.com/articles/s4158…
From what I can tell, inquiries leading to these addendums were not driven by established experts, but by scientists "swerving out of their scholarly lanes and plowing into unfamiliar territory" - telling journals that these papers need to be corrected.
Being described by other scientists as an opportunist, attention-seeking postdoc, wandering "deep into conspiracy land" will not stop me from investigating and asking tough questions about the origins of covid/SARS2.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Alina Chan

Alina Chan Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Ayjchan

13 Dec
On more stories that keep evolving... remember when it was first officially revealed by the WIV that RaTG13, the closest related virus genome to SARS-CoV-2, was actually the same as bat CoV 4991 published in 2016? sciencemag.org/news/2020/07/t…
Turns out it wasn't "some random bat virus that is more distant" - in their Nov 17 @nature addendum, Shi clarified RaTG13 was 1 of 9 SARSrCoVs from a mine where people sickened with severe respiratory disease; "suspected.. infected by an unknown virus."
nature.com/articles/s4158…
So how does this match with what is in the @ScienceMagazine interview Q&A from July?
"I guess you are referring to the bat cave in Tongguan town in Mojiang county of Yunnan Province. To date, none of nearby residents is infected with coronaviruses."

sciencemag.org/sites/default/…
Read 5 tweets
12 Dec
Re-telling of covid's origin story in @guardian today misses key points about the whistleblowers, the seafood market, test kit and vaccine development in China, and publication of the first SARS-CoV-2 genome. I'll add them back into the story... theguardian.com/world/2020/dec…
Dec 30 2019
@guardian "Wuhan municipal health commission had issued an “urgent notice” online, warning all medical facilities to be on the alert"
@BBC Dr. Li Wenliang "sent a message to fellow doctors in a chat group warning them about the outbreak" bbc.com/news/world-asi…
@WSJ Dec 31/Jan 1 - Huanan seafood market completely sanitized and shutdown. China CDC collected hundreds of samples from animals at the market and the environment.
wsj.com/articles/china…
Read 30 tweets
11 Dec
Opinion @DavidQuammen "(spillover) generally happens when we intrude upon bats in their habitats, excavating their guano for fertilizer, capturing them, killing them or transporting them live to markets, or otherwise initiating a disruptive interaction."
nytimes.com/2020/12/11/opi…
It's important to pinpoint what these disruptive interactions are, which could include dozens of scientists sampling viruses in hard-to-reach habitats; see recent interview @DavidQuammen "We were not wearing what they called personal protective equipment.. npr.org/transcripts/80…
.. I asked Alexis, why the hell are we not? And he was just sort of fatalistic about it. He says there are constraints when you're wearing (PPE).. it's my judgment that the danger here is low enough that I'm not wearing a mask.. not recommending.. anybody else wear one either"
Read 4 tweets
9 Dec
I was recently asked what I would like to see come out of SARS-CoV-2/covid origins investigations.

I would like to know that, the next time a pandemic like this occurs, the world is better prepared, better informed as to how to determine its origins and prevent future outbreaks.
I'm going to break down 3 key publications that I think relate to covid origins. What were the questions they asked to determine whether SARS-CoV-2 came from nature vs from a lab?

Are these approaches sufficient to prepare us for the next mysterious pandemic?
The 1st is the widely-read Proximal Origins article - a correspondence published in @NatureMedicine on March 17, 2020. How did the authors determine that "SARS-CoV-2 is not a laboratory construct or a purposefully manipulated virus"?
nature.com/articles/s4159…
Read 23 tweets
8 Dec
Estimated 76% Manaus and 29% São Paulo population infected by covid by October.

"These results confirm that, when poorly controlled, COVID-19 can infect a high fraction of the population causing high mortality."

science.sciencemag.org/content/early/…
In Manaus, the >70% attack rate is "above the theoretical herd immunity threshold.. Monitoring.. new cases and.. ratio of local versus imported cases.. vital to understand (how) population immunity might prevent future transmission and the potential need for booster vaccinations"
US has 15M confirmed cases, "probably, at best, diagnosing 1 in 5 cases" - former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb, Nov '20.

Rough calculation ~23% US population infected with covid by now + doubling time ~50 days according to @OurWorldInData + Xmas/NYE..

cnbc.com/2020/11/06/dr-…
Read 5 tweets
8 Dec
New perspectives piece in ⁦@NatureComms
Wonder what all these scientists could be talking about...
⁩“actors may be incentivized to be reckless if they believe they are unlikely to be held accountable for any accidents arising from their actions.” nature.com/articles/s4146…
"A key security challenge involves attribution: determining, in the wake of a human-caused biological event, who was responsible."

Any chance this is about COVID?

nature.com/articles/s4146…
"if an incident occurs.. near laboratories working on the causative agent, there is a greater chance of it being attributed to an accidental release."

Wonder which recent incident occurred near a lab working on the causative agent. nature.com/articles/s4146…
Read 20 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!