1/ Thoughts on investing and missing winners:
A case study on $COVER.

You can't catch every winner. That said, there's always something to take away from the one that got away.
2/ Since the lows in late Nov, $COVER has ~6x its token price.

I knew about COVER since the SAFE farming days, but dumped my SAFE tokens shortly after Cover released its original tokenomics.

3/ At the time, the lack of thought and poor economic design of the $COVER token was the nail in the coffin for me.

I know many others shared my view. However, we all missed something.

We underestimated the team's ability to learn from their mistakes.
4/ Since then, they've corrected their mistake and have maintained a breakneck speed of execution, now forming numerous partnerships with other protocols and being the go-to insurance channel for higher-risk yield farmers.
5/ I guess looking back, the lesson here is to always give people a second chance (or even third). Most people won't surprise you, but those that do will be worth it.

Perhaps being open-minded enough to reconsider a formed bias is also important.
6/ Now at $70m mkt cap and $120m FDV, they've shown me that winners can come from anywhere.

Do I own any $COVER? No.

Will I buy some now? Probably not.

But I do think of it as the one that got away, and I hope I'll remember this lesson in the future.

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More from @Wangarian1

15 Nov
1/ Some of you are wondering why $SUSHI has been pumping.

Sushiswap? Wasn't that the dead $UNI fork that got hacked by the founder 2 months ago?

Surprisingly, $SUSHI never left. Instead - it has silently been building in the background.

Let me break it down for you
👇
2/ $SUSHI's dark horse narrative comprises of 3 main elements:

1. Market proven product yielding stable cashflows
2. Product releases with strong USP factor
3. Near term catalyst

Together, they construct a powerful narrative for Sushiswap's recovery - and why its far from over
3/ Background
After the initial Sushi hype faded (when 10x rewards expired in mid Sep), TVL and Daily traded volume on Sushiswap collapsed.

Nobody thought a fork with no USP could last.

Throw in a $15m ETH scandal by the founder it looked like the end.

Read 13 tweets
11 Nov
1/ On 17th Nov, $UNI farming will end.

Right now ~$2.3bn funds are deployed farming UNI, with $ETH being the reference token.

This means that there is currently ~$1.1bn ETH locked up, about to be released into the wild.

Where do you think that ETH will go?
2/ Whilst a large portion of current TVL will stay in the same pools (fees generated are juicy), I posit a reasonable amount of ETH will leave the Uniswap system in search of higher yields.

Nobody knows numbers at this point but 50% of TVL leaving may be within reason.
3/ If this holds true, ~$500mm ETH will be on the market. They can:

A): Stake elsewhere ($SUSHI/$ALPHA/ETH 2.0 etc)
B): Remain in holder wallets (unlikely)
C): Be sold for stables / altcoins

I believe a large chunk of it will be sold. Why?
Read 7 tweets
31 Oct
1/

6 months ago, I didn't have the simplest idea of what a blockchain was.

This week, I've officially taken the plunge to work full time @DeFianceCapital.

Here are a few thoughts from a newcomer to the wild wild land of crypto.
👇👇👇👇👇
2/ Like so many of you here, my innocent curiosity of this new Internet money quickly evolved into a fully encapsulating mind consuming obsession.

I fell down the classic crypto rabbithole and for the first time in my life, discovered a fire ignite within me.
3/ Frontier tech + Liquid Small Cap Pseudo Equities = Potential for reasonably sized house(s?)

Reflecting on my experiences so far, there are several takeaways on intrinsic motivation, game selection and DeFi that may be of interest to you.
Read 11 tweets

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