NEW: European Commission president @vonderleyen: As things stand I cannot tell you whether there will be a deal or not, but I can tell you there is a path to an agreement now. The path may be very narrow but it is there.
2/ VDL - it is therefore our responsibility to continue trying.
3/ Commission president says the "good news" is we have found a way forward on most issues, but this is now a case of being "so close and yet being so far away from each other."
4/ VDL - level playing field: our aim is simply fair competition on our own market.

Says the "architecture" of a level playing field provision rests on two pillars: state aid and standards
5/ On state aid we have made progress based on common princples, guarantees of domestic enforcement, the possibility to autonomously remedy the situation where needed [ie, either side can take action if distortions of trade etc]
6/ On standards: "we have agreed a strong mechanism of non-regression, that's a big step forward, this to ensure our common, high labour, social and environmental standards will not be undercut."
7/ Diffulties remain on how to really future proof fair competition, but I'm glad to report that issues linked to governance are largely being resolved.
8/ VDL says discussion on fisheries "very difficult"

"We do not question the UK's sovereignty in its own waters, but we ask for predictability and stability for our fishermen and our fisherwomen."
9/ "In all honesty it sometimes feels that we will not be able to resolve this question, but we must continue to try and find a solution, and it is the only responsible and right course of action"
10/ VDL: the next days are going to be decisive. I know I have said this before and I know deadlines have been missed time and again. The clock puts us all in a very difficult situation, not least this parliament and its right to exercise democratic scrutiny and ratification.
11/ "That is why I want to sincerely thank you for your support and your understanding and I know that if we do get there I can count on you to ensure a good outcome."
12/ [VDL here clearly appealing to the EP to show flexibility in the coming days, ie if time runs out for the normal ratification procedures. She is in an awkward position having made a political commitment to MEPs that they wd not be asked to accept provisional application]

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More from @tconnellyRTE

17 Dec
New: the European Parliament's announcement that it will not ratify any treaty before the end of December unless the deal is concluded by midnight on Sunday comes amid signals that, despite progress, a deal won't be concluded until early next week.
2/ This is because there are still some formidable hurdles in the way of closure on the level playing field issue, and they haven't even got into fisheries in a big way yet. And both sides say things there are "extremely difficult".
3/ Yesterday there were some signals that a deal could be done by the weekend, but the mood seems to have dipped somewhat.
Read 9 tweets
16 Dec
Update on where we're at in the Brexit negotiations:

While both sides have a way to go, on the level playing field/state aid there is a landing zone in sight. On fisheries, both sides say that is "very difficult"
2/ It looks as if all the energy is going into the LPF and once cracked, they'll barrel into the fisheries stuff. Governance, or how to solve disputes, looks like it has been more or less done
3/ However, the question of a review clause (or sunset clause) which is primarily about the fishing arrangements is still in there, and it will still embrace the wider FTA
Read 18 tweets
14 Dec
NEW: re the previous thread and potential Provisional Application of the treaty:

Important to note that opting for Provisional Application is *not* a silver bullet to avoid a No Deal on Jan 1 if the negotiations run out of time
2/ A source has said there is a "very high risk" of a No Deal interregnum in the first part of January simply because even deciding on Provisional Application takes quite a bit of time.
3/ "If you have a deal just before Christmas there isn't enough time to have the deal rolled out, even provisionally, before Jan 1."
Read 8 tweets
14 Dec
NEW: Michel Barnier has told EU member states there has been some movement on the level playing field, and on dispute resolution, but that fisheries talks remain "very difficult" @rtenews understands. Sources say this could go through this week and beyond...
2/ Acc to one senior source, Barnier said there was acceptance that the EU could take retaliatory measures against the UK if it diverged from EU standards but that it would not be "autonomous", in other words, before taking action there wd need to be some dialogue with the UK
3/ "It's the operationalisation of that principle that is now under discussion," acc to source. The EU see this is progress as for a long time the UK refused to accept that if they diverged the EU had a right to do something, says the source
Read 17 tweets
12 Dec
Brexit talks latest:

Negotiations ongoing, general caution against any speculation about movement on LPF or fisheries...
2/ Two sources say the “gunboat”headlines have not gone down well with the EU side and have “not helped the mood”
3/ Michel Barnier and David Frost have held one meeting today. “Nothing concrete” acc to one source
Read 7 tweets
10 Dec
BREAKING: The UK will make a unilateral declaration promising to remain fully aligned to EU food safety and animal health rules for the production of agrifood products destined for Northern Ireland after January 1, @rtenews News has learned.
2/ The EU will also issue its own declaration recognising that British food meets European safety standards during two separate grace periods, one for three months and another for six months.
3/ The declarations will form part of a final sequence of agreements allowing the NI Protocol to take effect.The overall package will be signed off by the Cabinet Office minister Michael Gove and European Commission vice president Maros Sefcovic no later than next week
Read 22 tweets

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