Yesterday Vice had an article about a study which analyzed the language of Q Drops to discover whether there have been multiple authors.
I could have told them the answer has always been yes, but the study is interesting.
Read the white paper here: orphanalytics.com/en/news/whitep…
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I could have told them the answer has always been yes, but the study is interesting.
Read the white paper here: orphanalytics.com/en/news/whitep…
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They got some background stuff wrong, but (so far) most of their foundational info seems okay.
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The second part I'm now reading is most about showing the efficacy of the programs they've used to analyze the stylometry of the Drops. The program was designed to match known and unknown writing samples, so this isn't a perfect tool for this job and they seem to know that.
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They're quite transparent about what Drops they used. Eliminating quotes, links, etc, they were left with about half the total Drops as of November 2020.
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Ah, okay: their 'known' writing samples were taken from Alexander Hamilton.
Q would be flattered, I'm sure.
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Q would be flattered, I'm sure.
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Remember last night when I said I had questions about dividing everything into two groups and I saw clustering *within* the groups?
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https://twitter.com/dappergander/status/1339468332169367552?s=20
When reviewed in chronological order and color-coded to indicate changes to how Q posted (from 4chan to 8chan, changing tripcodes, etc) the picture becomes more clear.
I think it's more fair to say "QAnon had AT LEAST 2 authors," and of course I agree.
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I think it's more fair to say "QAnon had AT LEAST 2 authors," and of course I agree.
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As a sidebar, let me clarify that the idea that Q remained a single author hasn't been taken seriously among those of us who study QAnon for a long time.
This isn't shocking.
The real questions were "how many" and "how often did authorship change."
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This isn't shocking.
The real questions were "how many" and "how often did authorship change."
https://twitter.com/dappergander/status/1100815911521603585?s=20
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The orange circles on this graph represent the 4chan days. Since they're in chronological order, the left half of those circles are pre-tripcode, and the right half post-trip.
Pre-trip they're more spread out, but what looks like a tighter stylistic cluster emerges post-trip.
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Pre-trip they're more spread out, but what looks like a tighter stylistic cluster emerges post-trip.
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Their report states that the clustering I am seeing in the 8chan/kun results is commonly indicative of a single author becoming "more comfortable" with their authorial voice, as opposed to my gut reaction that we're looking at two or more simultaneous 8chan authors.
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Again, the fact remains that Q was most definitely making two different Drops in two simultaneous instances of 8chan in February 2019.
So I'm not 100% sold on "expected stylistic drift" just yet.
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So I'm not 100% sold on "expected stylistic drift" just yet.
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(It's of course reasonable to argue that the simultaneous Test 11 and Test 12 Drops were completely automated and set up in advance, in which case, a single author could make both using two instances of 8chan)
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Oh, this is interesting, a direct plot against their known sample.
Green is Hamilton
Orange is 4chan
Various triangles are 8chan/kun.
At no point has Q been as stylistically consistent as Hamilton (no surprise), but this does add more weight to the their idea of 2 Qs.
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Green is Hamilton
Orange is 4chan
Various triangles are 8chan/kun.
At no point has Q been as stylistically consistent as Hamilton (no surprise), but this does add more weight to the their idea of 2 Qs.
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There are a few more graphs plotting the results in different ways, but that's the meat. This is really interesting stuff.
What I'd really like to see is OrphAnalytics include Ron Watkins' numerous post-election tweets in their next study.
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What I'd really like to see is OrphAnalytics include Ron Watkins' numerous post-election tweets in their next study.
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I'm sure I'll have more to say after I sit with this and read it a few more times, but thanks for coming along for this thread.
If you find what I do useful, you can support me on Patreon: patreon.com/dappergander
If you find what I do useful, you can support me on Patreon: patreon.com/dappergander
In the meantime, just know that even if all you have done is read this thread, you know more about the subject than QAnon believers do.
16/16, for now
16/16, for now
I noticed that, too: on every graph, those red triangles are almost always off on their own, grouped together like a little mini-cluster.
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https://twitter.com/CharAznabIe_/status/1339629306700447744?s=20
I think Q was a few people riffing off one another on 4chan until the tripcode. Then it was 1 author (or a small group) but unlikely to be the Watkins.
Once it came to 8chan, it certainly became possible or even likely that Jim & Ron seized control.
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Once it came to 8chan, it certainly became possible or even likely that Jim & Ron seized control.
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https://twitter.com/JSplurky/status/1339625141475528706?s=20
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