Dr. Jay Bhattacharya and @SunetraGupta argue today in WSJ that vaccines should end all lockdown measures by the end of January.

1/7

wsj.com/articles/how-t…
Because of the age stratification of COVID risk, they argue that those at risk should receive the first vaccines, and once that's done, everything should be open. They further argue that lockdowns are more deadly than COVID to younger people.

2/7
"Thanks to Operation Warp Speed, Americans will have enough doses to inoculate 20 million people in December and 30 million more in January... Some 50 million people in the U.S. are over 65."

3/7
They say Pfizer "excluded people who had previously been infected with Covid-19 from its analysis, undoubtedly because natural immunity after recovery is known to be robust, so it expected the vaccine to provide no additional protection for them...

4/7
"Children weren’t part of the vaccine trials and shouldn’t receive the vaccine unless it is proved to be safe for them. Not vaccinating those who have recovered will preserve doses for the vulnerable and still susceptible...

5/7
"Priority should be given based on medical risk, not politics, or else more people will needlessly die... A combination of vaccine-induced immunity among the vulnerable and natural immunity among the less vulnerable will provide a solid wall of protection..."

6/7
The article concludes, "Although the lockdowns should have been abandoned much earlier, the end is finally at hand with the advent of the vaccines. Then the work of repairing the damage can begin."

7/7

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More from @jhaskinscabrera

18 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/18/20

Florida reported a net of 96 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 27 different days, going back to July 26.

Changes by month: July (+1), August (+1), September (+1-1), November (+10-1), December (+86-1)

#RationalGround

1/6 Image
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 81
Minimum age: 28
Maximum age: 105
88% are 65 or older <-- this is higher than usual

2/6 Image
Additions and deletions by date:

12/17 - 5
12/16 - 10
12/15 - 7
12/14 - 2
12/13 - 8
12/12 - 13
12/11 - 11
12/10 - 4
12/9 - 4
12/8 - 1
12/7 - 9
12/6 - 9
12/5 - 1
12/2 - 2
12/1 - removed 1
11/30 - 1
11/29 - 2
11/27 - removed 1
11/26 - 1
11/24 - 2
11/20 - 1
11/19 - 2
(cont.)

3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
17 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/17/20

Florida reported 101 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 26 different days, going back to November 11.

Changes by month: November (+15), December (+86)

#RationalGround

1/7
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 81
Minimum age: 39
Maximum age: 100
90% are 65 or older <-- this is higher than usual

2/7
This chart shows how the age distribution of today's reported deaths compares with the distribution of all COVID deaths to date

3/7
Read 7 tweets
17 Dec
Given the recent controversy about death reporting in Florida, I want to draw attention to this 10/21 press release from @HealthyFla because NOTHING HAS CHANGED.

1/6

alachuachronicle.com/florida-surgeo…
Excerpts:

"Today, Florida’s Surgeon General, Dr. Scott A. Rivkees, announced the Department of Health will conduct a more thorough review of all fatalities reported to the state...

2/6
"Fatality data reported to the state consistently presents confusion and warrants a more rigorous review. Of the 95 fatalities reported to the state yesterday, 16 had more than a two-month separation between the time the individuals tested positive and passed away,...

3/6
Read 6 tweets
16 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/16/20

Florida reported a net of 122 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 31 different days, going back to August 24.

Changes by month: August (+2), September (+2), November (+24-1), December (+95)

#RationalGround

1/7
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 80
Minimum age: 34
Maximum age: 98
87% are 65 or older

2/7
Additions and deletions by date:

12/15 - 5
12/14 - 17
12/13 - 7
12/12 - 8
12/11 - 8
12/10 - 3
12/9 - 7
12/8 - 12
12/7 - 7
12/6 - 4
12/5 - 7
12/4 - 1
12/3 - 2
12/2 - 5
12/1 - 2
11/30 - 5
11/29 - 4
11/27 - 1
11/26 - removed 1
11/25 - 2
11/24 - 2
11/23 - 2
11/22 - 1
(cont.)

3/7
Read 7 tweets
15 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/15/20

Florida reported a net of 79 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 27 different days, going back to July 21.

Changes by month: July (+1), August (+1), September (+2), November (+16-1), December (+60)

#RationalGround

1/7
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 75
Minimum age: 25
Maximum age: 97
72% are 65 or older <-- Lower than usual

2/7
This group is younger than usual; we have two new 25-year-old males from Dade County with "UNKNOWN" in the emergency room and hospitalization fields and test result dates of 8/15 and 8/16.

3/7
Read 7 tweets
14 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/14/20

Florida reported 137 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 43 different days, going back to August 17.

Changes by month: August (+19), September (+2), October (+3), November (+39), December (+74)

#RationalGround

1/7
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 80
Minimum age: 33
Maximum age: 103
88% are 65 or older <-- Higher than usual

2/7
Additions by date:

12/13 - 1
12/12 - 6
12/11 - 2
12/10 - 2
12/9 - 11
12/8 - 10
12/7 - 6
12/6 - 5
12/5 - 7
12/4 - 7
12/3 - 7
12/2 - 5
12/1 - 5
11/30 - 2
11/29 - 1
11/28 - 4
11/27 - 4
11/26 - 2
11/25 - 6
11/24 - 2
11/23 - 1
11/22 - 2
11/21 - 2
11/20 - 3
11/19 - 1
(cont.)

3/7
Read 7 tweets

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