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19 Dec, 4 tweets, 2 min read
DC reports 2 deaths with COVID. Now 45 total in December.

First 1-day under 3% since Nov 29.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 238 / 8,097 2.94%
7-Day: 1699 / 50,085 3.39%
14-Day: 3470 / 93,612 3.71%
28-Day: 6381 / 200,041 3.19%
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 248
Total COVID-19 Patients in ICU: 81
Total Patients in DC Hospitals (COVID and non-COVID): 2,102
Daily Tests and Positives; 7-Day % Positive
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
For my *very* locals, the Ward 3 case curve.

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More from @kerpen

Phil Kerpen Profile picture
21 Dec
DC reports 5 deaths with COVID. Now 57 total in December.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 139 / 4,839 2.87%
7-Day: 1702 / 51,159 3.33%
14-Day: 3421 / 95,054 3.60%
28-Day: 6450 / 194,677 3.31%

Testing by week: ImageImage
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 238
Total COVID-19 Patients in ICU: 79
Total Patients in DC Hospitals (COVID and non-COVID): 1,992 Image
Daily Tests and Positives; 7-Day % Positive Image
Read 5 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
20 Dec
DC reports 7 deaths with COVID. Now 52 total in December.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 259 / 8,300 3.12%
7-Day: 1727 / 51,034 3.38%
14-Day: 3465 / 94,666 3.66%
28-Day: 6450 / 198,767 3.25%
Today's 7 reported DC deaths with COVID included 6 Blacks and 1 Hispanic. Updated COVID death totals by race. Image
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 235
Total COVID-19 Patients in ICU: 72
Total Patients in DC Hospitals (COVID and non-COVID): 2,050 Image
Read 4 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
19 Dec
Let's take a look at @MayorBowser's factually challenged restaurant shutdown order.
CLAIM: "a surge of COVID-19 cases"

FACT: 7-day average cases peaked on December 8, without intervention.
Claim: COVID hospital census is rising dramatically "post-Thanksgiving."

FACT: COVID rise has been modest in context and may be peaking. Flu is absent. Overall hospital utilization is seasonally normal.
Read 6 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
18 Dec
Influenza testing through the first 11 weeks of flu season (weeks 40 to 50). CDC flu view. cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…

Five-year average: 5.53% positive
This year: 0.17%

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Flu testing, week 50 by itself.

Five-year average: 11.56% positive
This year: 0.18%
ILI continues to track lower than the very mild 2015-16 season.
Read 4 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
18 Dec
DC reports 3 deaths with COVID. Now 43 total in December.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 274 / 8,695 3.15%
7-Day: 1747 / 50,156 3.48%
14-Day: 3624 / 94,660 3.83%
28-Day: 6296 / 200,698 3.14%
DC, population 705,749, over 200K tests in the past 28 days.
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 249
Total COVID-19 Patients in ICU: 73
Total Patients in DC Hospitals (COVID and non-COVID): 2,142
Read 4 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
15 Dec
The @MoCoCouncilMD will vote on @MontCoExec's restaurant shutdown order today. If they care about facts and science, they'll vote no. A few points:
Hospital utilization is low according to the county's own metrics.
And COVID hospital census appears to have peaked a week ago.
Read 8 tweets

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