Florida Deaths - 12/20/20

Florida reported 95 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 37 different days, going back to August 24.

Changes by month: August (+8), September (+4), October (+2), November (+36), December (+45)

#RationalGround

1/6
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 80
Minimum age: 30
Maximum age: 99
85% are 65 or older

2/6
Additions by date:

12/19 - 1
12/18 - 2
12/16 - 2
12/15 - 4
12/14 - 6
12/13 - 4
12/12 - 3
12/11 - 8
12/10 - 2
12/9 - 1
12/8 - 3
12/6 - 1
12/5 - 2
12/4 - 3
12/3 - 1
12/1 - 2
11/30 - 1
11/29 - 3
11/28 - 3
11/27 - 5
11/26 - 1
11/25 - 5
11/23 - 7
11/21 - 6
11/20 - 3
(cont.)

3/6
11/19 - 2
10/5 - 1
10/4 - 1
9/8 - 1
9/6 - 1
9/2 - 1
9/1 - 1
8/30 - 2
8/29 - 3
8/28 - 1
8/27 - 1
8/24 - 1

The numbers above are not totals by day; they're increments added today. See the chart in the first tweet for totals.

Deaths by week:

4/6
Peaks are 7/30 (234) & 8/4 (236); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (225).

The plateau at the peak between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.

Here's the full chart for context:

5/6
Sources: Florida deaths by day: fdoh.maps.arcgis.com/home/item.html…

My spreadsheet to track changes: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

6/6

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More from @jhaskinscabrera

22 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/21/20

Florida reported 112 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 39 different days, going back to July 6.

Changes by month: July (+2), August (+7), September (+1), October (+2), November (+15-1), December (+86)

#RationalGround

1/7 Image
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 80
Minimum age: 40
Maximum age: 101
87% are 65 or older <- this is higher than usual

2/7 Image
Additions and deletions by date:

12/20 - 1
12/19 - 4
12/18 - 2
12/17 - 4
12/16 - 6
12/15 - 7
12/14 - 12
12/13 - 4
12/12 - 6
12/11 - 9
12/10 - 6
12/9 - 2
12/8 - 2
12/7 - 1
12/6 - 1
12/5 - 7
12/4 - 3
12/3 - 2
12/2 - 3
12/1 - 4
11/30 - 3
11/29 - 1
11/28 - 4
11/26 - 1
(cont.)

3/7 Image
Read 7 tweets
21 Dec
1/ As we approach the end of the calendar year, it's interesting to look at Florida emergency room data and compare current levels to those at the beginning of the year (since we're back into respiratory virus season).

ED visits that result in cough-associated admissions: Image
2/ Visits that mention cough, fever, or shortness of breath: Image
3/ Visits that mention cough by age group Image
Read 4 tweets
21 Dec
The most important thing to know about COVID is that the risk of death is extremely age-stratified:

0-19 years: 0.003%
20-49 years: 0.02%
50-69 years: 0.5%
70+ years: 5.4%

The risk to people under the age of 20 is >1000 times lower than the risk to those over 70
2/ This information should be disseminated everywhere, but instead we hear that everyone can die of COVID, so everyone should avoid getting it. Yes, everyone can die of COVID, but if you're young, that's like saying you could die on your way to the grocery store.
3/ Those deaths happen, but they're rare enough that we don't let it affect our decisions about carrying on with life.

This failure of messaging has led to the acceptance of policies that were explicitly not recommended pre-COVID:

cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/6…
Read 5 tweets
20 Dec
I want to take a few minutes to take down a garbage article in the Palm Beach Post about @GovRonDeSantis. I'm doing this mainly to give you tools for analyzing similar articles.

1/15

gainesville.com/story/news/202…
The main point in the headline is that "criticism mounts." So the PBP and their like-minded newspapers are all reporting about each others' critical stories to build a narrative that DeSantis is a terrible governor.

2/15
This article only showed that death reporting changed after the @HealthyFla announcement on October 21 that they would be instituting additional review on deaths. They produced no evidence that it was related to the election or that it was directed by DeSantis.

3/15
Read 16 tweets
19 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/19/20

Florida reported 72 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 23 different days, going back to November 19.

Changes by month: November (+10), December (+62)

#RationalGround

1/6
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 80
Minimum age: 22
Maximum age: 100
82% are 65 or older

2/6
Additions by date:

12/18 - 5
12/17 - 10
12/16 - 4
12/14 - 2
12/13 - 8
12/12 - 5
12/11 - 4
12/10 - 4
12/9 - 4
12/8 - 3
12/7 - 1
12/6 - 1
12/5 - 1
12/4 - 3
12/3 - 2
12/2 - 3
12/1 - 2
11/30 - 1
11/26 - 1
11/25 - 1
11/22 - 2
11/20 - 2
11/19 - 3

3/6
Read 6 tweets
18 Dec
Florida Deaths - 12/18/20

Florida reported a net of 96 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 27 different days, going back to July 26.

Changes by month: July (+1), August (+1), September (+1-1), November (+10-1), December (+86-1)

#RationalGround

1/6
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 81
Minimum age: 28
Maximum age: 105
88% are 65 or older <-- this is higher than usual

2/6
Additions and deletions by date:

12/17 - 5
12/16 - 10
12/15 - 7
12/14 - 2
12/13 - 8
12/12 - 13
12/11 - 11
12/10 - 4
12/9 - 4
12/8 - 1
12/7 - 9
12/6 - 9
12/5 - 1
12/2 - 2
12/1 - removed 1
11/30 - 1
11/29 - 2
11/27 - removed 1
11/26 - 1
11/24 - 2
11/20 - 1
11/19 - 2
(cont.)

3/6
Read 6 tweets

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