If you do one thing today, listen to this episode (#696) of This Week in Virology wherein a group of experts smack down the “British mutant strain” story point by point. The discussion starts at 55:36; nutshell below. microbe.tv/twiv/
Nutshell: 1. There is no new strain of COVID. It is a variant, not a strain 2. The spread of the variant in England likely comes down to dumb luck.
3. There have been no experiments whatsoever that demonstrate any of the scary scenarios we’re being told to worry about w/r/t this variant 4. When a story like this spreads like wildfire, you gotta wonder why.
This story is serving to undermine vaccination efforts as well has cause diplomatic problems between the UK and the rest of Europe. So yeah, I really do wonder why this story was put into the media ecosystem.
His bottom line: let's move away from the scary headlines and instead focus on vaccination, because vaccination is how we will get ourselves out of this pandemic. I do enjoy a grumpy rant from an expert now and then.
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It now appears the virus was in circulation long before we initially thought. A swab taken from a child in Italy in November of last year has tested positive for SARS CoV2. google.com/amp/s/www.repu…
And if this swab from Nov. 21 has tested positive, it means he was exposed around mid-November. He and his family hadn’t traveled.
Correction, he became ill Nov. 21 and was swabbed on December 5 after going to the emergency room. If he was ill on the 21st, they’re surmising he was exposed around 5 days prior.
Exponential Growth. At this point we can’t stop the horrors that have already been put in motion as a result of behaviors last weekend. nbcnews.com/news/us-news/c…
In less than a month, we’ve added 4 million cases to our tally.
COVID surges don't only affect one's ability to be treated at the hospital. It also affects the ability to: attend school, buy food, have something delivered, have your trash picked up, take your dog to the vet. When too many people are sick to work, who'll do these things?
We just learned that our school closures will now extend at least through mid January. Why? Because the spread is so bad here that they don't have enough staff to support in-person learning. wlwt.com/article/cincin…
For us, it doesn't matter, because I'd elected for my kids to be completely remote. But I'm sure it matters to others. And it'll sure as hell matter when grocery stores can't keep up and city services slow down or stop.
For us, Thanksgiving was surprisingly good. There was zero pressure to do anything other than cook good food, eat it, and watch movies with my kids. It was cozy and comfy. I miss the rest of my family very badly, but we can do Christmas this way too.
I'll miss caroling, live Christmas shows, the downtown holiday flurry, chatting with my family as we cook, and sitting around fire together. I won't miss: driving w/2 young kids, hotels, packing, massive cooking, getting out of our Christmas PJs so we can drive across two states.
It hardly seems like a sacrifice--just this one time--to stay inside to eat + binge watch holiday TV, in our PJs, when the alternative is a lifetime of nightmares for people who don't deserve it.
It’s difficult to get our minds around exponential growth because it’s largely invisible to us, even though we’re surrounded by it in our daily lives. (Mold grows exponentially. And yeast. And populations. And your money, with compound interest.)
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So let’s try to get our minds around it.
Imagine you made a deal with your bank, and convinced them to give you 1 penny on the first day of the month, then double it every day thereafter. So on day two, you have 2 cents. Day three, 4 cents; day 5, 8 cents, and so on.
We pretty much ignored what was happening in Italy in the early parts of the pandemic. We should have paid attention then, and we should pay attention now. Here's a preview of what collapse looks like: ilfattoquotidiano.it/2020/11/07/cor…
Those are ambulances with coronavirus patients waiting in line, because there's nowhere to put people.