(Those who cast the votes decide nothing. Those who count the votes decide everything. - Stalin)
"Come January 6, 2021, Vice President Mike Pence will be presented with the sealed certificates containing the ballots of the presidential electors.
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At that moment, the Presidency will be in his hands.
And there is nothing stopping Pence, under the (plenary and unappealable) authority vested in him as President of the Senate, from declining to open and count the certificates from the six disputed states.
2/4
If they are (as more than 70% of Republicans believe) certificates from non-electors appointed via voter fraud, why should he open & count them?"
If the votes of all 7 contested states are registered as zero, President Trump will have 232 votes, Joe Biden will have 222.
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Per the 12th Amendment: "[T]he votes shall then be counted[.] ... The person having the greatest number of votes for President, shall be the President[.]"
PS: "Thomas Jefferson ... among the most revered founding fathers of our country, only became President because he used his unilateral power as President of the Senate to open and count the presidential ballots in his own favor." macris.substack.com/p/who-counts-t…
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Sundance: "A week before the 2016 election we broke away from spending energy on deconstructing polls; the reason was simple – the data was nothing more than manipulation intended to sway the American electorate."
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"The difference between Pravda and the U.S. Media is that former citizens of the soviet-era knew they were being lied to, many Americans do not.
This time in 2020 the media effort will intensify."
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"A clear example of that has showcased in the past week as national post-convention polling was hidden completely because it did not support the psychological message of the control agents."
3/4
We frequently retweet this analysis of 2016 polling accuracy & many readers just stop with this Apr 25th Tweet & read no further - they know most 2016 polls showed @realDonaldTrump with no real chance to win. But let's extract a few pollster records by name today, shall we?
Let's start with the listing of who was most accurate in 2016 and cross reference that with who the @DNC liked enough to approve as a "Qualified" pollster for their 2019-2020 candidate sorting process. That chart is here. Guess who doesn't "Qualify?"
2/-
Now specifically on us - here is our late 2016 presidential results listing. Notice it has a certain GOP candidate frequently leading the @DNC approved & supported candidate. This caused a guy named "Lanny" to write to us & ask when we intended to apologize for our work.
President @realDonaldTrump mentioning his approval poll numbers within his recent approval range seems to send mainstream media into a fact-checking frenzy.
What their “polling analysts” NEVER seem to focus on is survey basis & survey party weighting.
So let’s help them.
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Is a survey of All Adults, or Registered Voters, or Likley Voters? Those key metrics are symbolized here on @RealClearNews as either an A, RV or LV.
Rasmussen Reports always uses Likely Voters based polls for all political subjects year round.
President @realDonaldTrump mentioning his approval poll numbers within his recent approval range seems to send mainstream media into a fact-checking frenzy.
What their “poll analysts” NEVER seem to focus on is survey basis & survey party weighting. So let’s help them.
Is a survey of All Adults, or Registered Voters, or Likley Voters? Those key metrics are symbolized here on @RealClearNews as either an A, RV or LV.
Rasmussen Reports always uses Likely Voters based polls for all political subjects year round.
Party weighting is also key. Our Likely Voters based polls in 2019 have been weighted D37, R 33, Ind 30, or D+4.
We check these daily weight assumptions every 2 weeks against the Michigan Consumer Confidence Index using our proprietary Daily Consumer Confidence Index.