Thread by @ianmSC

Here’s a thread on episode 10 million of modeling failure & the experts & media who never face any criticism for inaccuracy & fear mongering

Today’s episode is Arizona!

First, let’s check the headlines. Both the ASU & U of A modeling groups predicted disaster by late December

Here’s some text from the ASU modeling projection

“The amount of people specifically in hospital ICUs is also projected to reach record-breaking numbers under every projection”

“Hospitals in Arizona and Maricopa County may become over capacity”

The University of Arizona modeling team went further, calling for a shelter in place order and immediate implementation of a statewide mask mandate because hospitals would reach total capacity by “late December” and have no available hospital beds

So what’s happened in reality with none of their suggestions implemented? No shelter in place, no immediate statewide mask mandate?

Well UA sent their letter on 11/27. ICU availability was 11% on 11/27. In the most recent update, ICU availability is now…10%.

When ASU sent out their modeling update on 11/17 predicting catastrophe at Arizona hospitals essentially no matter what, inpatient bed availability was 11%.

Today it’s…11%

So here’s my question. Why is anyone still listening to them? Why is the media reporting what they say as if it has any predictive value?

Why is no one asking them how they continue to be so wrong? Why is no one asking them why none of their suggestions seem to be necessary?

These are the same people and same modeling groups that have been wrong about everything since March, and apparently no one who matters, who can influence public opinion, has learned that they have absolutely no idea what they’re doing.

But every time they spread this nonsense, the media breathlessly reports it with zero criticism, zero push back or questioning. Just more and more panic and fear mongering. Zero accountability or follow up. Just awful.