In October 2015, the NYT wrote about how Trump came to dominate Twitter, with one section describing how "hundreds of thousands of strangers defend him."
But it was the section about "Gary Forbes" that I found most curious of all.
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It was not just the coordinated activity which I found notable. It was also the careful language they used regarding "Gary Forbes."
"A man identifying himself as Gary Forbes" sounds like a very careful way to say that they weren't able to independently verify his identity.
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Further, "Gary Forbes" referred the NYT to the Trump campaign and Hope Hicks said "Forbes" was not affiliated with the campaign. So, someone was being misleading there.
The biggest reason that this "Gary Forbes" caught my eye is because I had previously come across a
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"Gary Forbes" Twitter acct (@gqforbes) that was promoted by the Internet Research Agency from July 2015 until that acct was suspended in 2016. Following that suspension, "Gary Forbes" came back as @gqforbes4. The IRA trolls promoted that acct as well.
In fact, they promoted
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@gqforbes up through 6-27-2016 and then began promoting @gqforbes4 on 6-28-2016.
The bio might make one think there is some sort of affiliation with the Forbes family. But Googling "Gary Forbes" doesn't suggest it. & Googling "The Forbes Group" returns results for a business
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whose CEO in February 2016 was Amy L. Sarno.
This bio does not seem to check out.
In consideration of what the NYT wrote about "Gary Forbes", I think the four mentions of @gqforbes by Trump are quite illuminating. (See tweet 7)
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Trump was seeing massive growth in the summer of 2015 and @gqforbes was documenting it. And both gqforbes accts were promoted by the IRA before they were suspended.
Notably, Trump also promoted @Kids123Nicholas which was later suspended & was also promoted by an IRA troll. /fin
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In my estimation, the best way to know what is happening on Twitter now is to see what happened in the past.
For example, let's look at 'Jennifer Myers.'
(Note that I don't expect many will see this thread as I don't have a network promoting me.) 🙃
[2] When we look through some of the tweets this account put out in 2016, we notice a peculiar pattern. Many of the tweets have roughly the same amount of retweets. A sampling is provided below.
[3] When we look closer to see who retweeted those tweets, we see that only 18 of the 398 retweeters still remain on the list.
Note that the retweet count stays as it was at its peak, even as accounts are deleted or suspended.
This figure tells us that 380 accts are now absent.
In 2014 & 2015, this hashtag began being spammed on Twitter. The first Twitter account to frequently spam this hashtag is one that is currently promoting Trump and QAnon.
[2] Another account which heavily spammed this hashtag in 2015 is currently inactive. It has not tweeted or liked any content for over seventeen months.
This account spammed this hashtag from August to December 2015.
[3] As you can see in that screenshot, this account has a Facebook page it kept linking to. That Facebook page can be found here: facebook.com/ThePeopleRISING
There is also a blog listed in the bio of this Twitter account.
The first thing that struck me was how active this FB was-
You ever feel like you're experiencing Groundhog's Day? I've been experiencing this feeling ever since the 2020 primary season began.
I would like to illustrate this by reviewing a shapeshifting account which operated from April 2015 to July 2016.
[2] The first thing I'd like to note is that this account is just one of many that were never cleaned up by Twitter. Perhaps one might believe that Twitter has taken this issue seriously. But have they?
What happened in 2016 on social media was a matter of volume. That volume -
[3] has not been addressed. Twitter has continuously low-balled the volume, as seen by the initial numbers they revealed to the public which kept growing larger due to pressure from reporters, investigators & Congress.
I digress. Let's take a look at the early life of this acct
A thread on a matter I've been thinking about and digging into for a bit:
[1] New evidence has come to light which further supports a theory I've had, based on the timing of certain events. For instance, NATO StratCom recently performed a study on manipulation service providers.
[3] They found that only 3 of the 100 impostor Twitter accounts were removed from Twitter after reporting. This equates to 97% of the fraudulent social media accounts on Twitter remaining active despite having been reported.
A short thread on how influence ops work, with an example.
[1] Imagine you're a verified user. And you get an account tweeting at you with a screenshot from 2016, showing a purported "Bernie Bro" trashing PoC on Twitter. And you retweet it.
And then imagine someone like me -
[2] comes along, investigates & then realizes that the screenshot is of a fake account that has since been purged by Twitter. I remark about this, & the user says it doesn't matter. Furthermore, they try to claim that this is just the general sentiment of many Bernie supporters.-
[3] (Note that you may have to open these images in a new tab. Sorry for the length, but easier than chopping into pieces).
Now imagine my surprise when I look into that account and find that it, too, is a fraud, that has engaged in massive spam campaigns.
A thread on one aspect of online influence operations:
[1] Since most of the broadcast media doesn't seem to know how to cover this issue, someone should. And others have done some amazing work discussing aspects of this, but they don't get promoted nearly enough.
[2] To start, here is the recent Senate Report on these matters, based on studies of data from fraudulent accounts.
It should be read by anyone who is interested in ensuring that these ops do not continue to affect America or the 2020 elections.
[3] There are numerous ways in which these fraudulent accounts can create ripples in our society. Without fully understanding what the big picture is, we can get lost in the weeds. And fraudulent accounts encourage us to do so. I've watched them do it.