"If a childhood-related infection were protective against a severe course of COVID-19, it would be expected that adults with intensive and regular contact with small children also may have a mild course of COVID-19..

1/

ijidonline.com/article/S1201-…
more frequently because these adults are more exposed. to those childhood-related infections. To test this hypothesis, a survey of recovered COVID-19 patients was conducted."

2/
" Of note, intensive care treatment was reported by three of 19 (16%) inpatients in the child group and by 16 of 40 inpatients (40%) in the no child group (p = 0.056, exact Fisher test, one-sided)"

3/
"What can be concluded from this survey, and what are the possible next steps? It is known that severe COVID-19 cases in small children are rare. There seems to be an association between contact with small children and with a mild course of COVID-19 in adults."

END

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More from @TrackingCovid

31 Dec 20
Tennessee Mortality Data:

tennesseestands.org/coviddashboard…

Per the CDC, Tennessee is on track to see about a 10-12% increase year-over-year in total mortality from all causes

1/ Image
In a recent survey, Americans responded that the mortality burden of Covid was 225 times higher than it actually was. Between 1500 to 1650 Tennesseans pass away every week. While all loss of life is tragic, it is important to keep this in perspective.

kekstcnc.com/media/2793/kek…

2/
Public Health should be focused on minimizing all harms to human life. The response of our politicians and Public Health authorities have exacerbated an opioid crisis and cause undue stress and fear among many.

emergency.cdc.gov/han/2020/han00…

3/
Read 6 tweets
31 Dec 20
Hospital Capacity:

Most of the media coverage on hospitals has been focused on beds. Beds are not the resource limitation, clinicians are. And beds are used as the best proxy for hospital capacity. Typical utilization rates depend on the hospital but vary between 65% and 90%

1/ Image
In April, Vanderbilt created a predictive model to advise the State on what restrictions and NPI’s such as social distancing (notice that masks were not an input into the model) to implement in order to avert certain disaster, without which we would see 50,000 hospitalizations
2/
Take a look at the Vanderbilt projections and then compare them with the actual Hospitalizations in the Visual. Clearly, there was a time when we believed we needed to “flatten the curve” and participate in these measures to save lives.

tennessean.com/story/news/hea…

3/
Read 9 tweets
30 Dec 20
Beda M Stadler is the former director of the Institute for Immunology at the University of Bern, a biologist and professor emeritus.

Coronavirus: Why everyone was wrong

1/

backtoreason.medium.com/coronavirus-wh…
Firstly, it was wrong to claim that this virus was novel. Secondly, It was even more wrong to claim that the population would not already have some immunity against this virus.

2/
Thirdly, it was the crowning of stupidity to claim that someone could have Covid-19 without any symptoms at all or even to pass the disease along without showing any symptoms whatsoever.

3/
Read 6 tweets
30 Dec 20
"In testimony before US Congress on March 11, 2020, members of the House Oversight and Reform
Committee were informed that estimated mortality for the novel coronavirus was 10-times higher than
for seasonal influenza."

1/
cambridge.org/core/services/…
..Additional evidence, however, suggests the validity of this estimation could benefit
from vetting for biases and miscalculations. The main objective of this article is to critically appraise the
coronavirus mortality estimation presented to Congress..

2/
"Informational texts from the World Health
Organization and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are compared with coronavirus mortality
calculations in Congressional testimony"
3/
Read 6 tweets
28 Dec 20
Tennessee Covid Tracking is now Tennessee Stands: Covid Data & Research

Coming Soon: New Covid Dashboard that will track Statewide Hospital capacity, Overall TN Mortality, Age-Stratified Risks, & TN Dept of Health tracking data by County

Preview:
Statewide Hospital Capacity

Data Source: healthdata.gov Image
Tracking Testing, Case Status by County

Source: TN Dept of Health Image
Read 5 tweets

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