Just spent an hour on the phone with $trit IR:
1) company has 56 employees of which 6 are engineers related to the platform who are managed by Ashish. The key is in addition they outsource to India additional 50-80 tech contractors at any given time who they used to launch Kratos
2) srinivas is a controlling investor in Rhodium but company has full time CEO and CFO and he doesnt control and is not privy to the day to day operations of the company. $trit started through him seeing a need for a better way to trade more effectively through Rhodium experience
They of course used Rhodium & its relationships with parties it does business with as the first customers of their platform which youd expect. In June 2019 related party rev was 100%, down to 26.5% by Feb 2020 & last q down to under 10% as they onboard more 3rd parties.
As for the digital coin the company initially thought launching a coin would be a good way to solve the issue however after further study shelved it. They gave notice to everyone they would burn the coin and allowed them to redeem. No digital coin now at all
Supply chain finance model coming out in Feb which they expect to have similar fee to trade finance module which is very profitable. Estimates for next yr already include this. The other two modules of credit insurance and logistics dont currently plan to monetize
On question of what is their moat they say they are in a segment of the market that the big banks who own the majority of their competitors through consortiums dont like due to capital rules and are working to add free modules to their platform to make them more sticky (above)
Some things out of the short report. The company srivinas worked at in the US he sold in 2010 and the short report used glass door reviews from 2013 and 2015 which said mgmt is bad against him. Thats a full 3-5 years later and he had no knowledge of what mgmt did after he left
On question of Jim Groh, said that he was part of a battery company which went from 2 to 8 or 10 a share or so and then left. Company went under 10 years or so later after Jim left yet that was in the short report used against him.
In general the short report didnt uncover anything new but used what the company had itself publicly disclosed in their F4 meaning that it was all out out there by the company already.
A small portion of the stocks float is trading for retail investors as the majority is owned by institutions such as steve cohen, fidelity, and many other large institutional investors taking large stakes in the company with some having average hold times of 7 years
Im a pretty skeptical guy as you can tell from my posts on tesla fubo ozon and others so i always try to see the other side but again i came away from the call feeling that what they said makes sense and that the oppty is here and that this is not a fraud.
Interested to hear feedback from @seeroy on his demo of platform next wk. I’ll remain long the stock after the call & feel better about it regardless of the short term volatility/noise. Feel like lot of criticism are ppl loosely connecting things & not knowing the tech/business

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More from @DPogrebinsky

29 Dec 20
Some $trit thoughts:
1) def some red flags here however at this valuation vs the 65% rev growth rate and solid profitability i think its already more than reflected in the price of the stock here. Without these red flags i dont see why this stock wouldnt be 2-3x this price now
2) Lot of ppl looking at the connection between the founder of $trit and the company that has the financial issues ehich he also controls however did anyone listen to the update call? Company explained many customers in space affected by covid & asking for longer payment terms
3) Everyone understands & grants these terms (including lenders) except this one time for this customer the lender associated with the transaction didnt agree which is y rhodium has the issue. Company said the transaction in question was NOT even done through $trit’s platform!
Read 10 tweets
28 Dec 20
$rkt IR responded. No comment on dividends or accelerated buyback which isnt surprising but did give a good response to my question on thr 21B in loans held on balance sheet. Doesnt seem like an issue to those concerned about it as 97% sold to govt and average days held is 18 Image
From their 8k on 12/18. Funding facility has 29.3B as of 12/18 so plenty of funding Image
So basically shorts who think the 21B is debt or presents a risk to $rkt are dead wrong as company shows 97% of loans sold to govt (fannie/freddie) and only 2% to other parties last q. Average days held just 18 and company itself says this presents an “insignificant risk”
Read 5 tweets
28 Dec 20
Been seeing lot of bullishness on $ozon. Not negative on it but not very high on it either. Honestly wouldnt surprise me to see it drop further & hit ipo price of $30/share at some point. Growth has def accelerated and expected to be 55% cagr next 5 yrs but seems too optimistic
Negatives: lot of competition & not even leader in its own space in Russia. What happened to owning the best & paying up for that? This clearly not it as seems more an example of this is what we’ve got available to invest in so lets work with it & frame narrative around the stock
Russia is a vast territory so delivery, logistics, & warehousing will never be as profitable and with the weather much more challenging. Also concerned about potential retaliation (tariffs, sanctions) when biden gets into office. Most of russia economy is oil and precious stones
Read 4 tweets
27 Dec 20
$gogo why I’m long:
$gogo sold it’s CA biz for $400M in cash plus 17M/yr rev guarantee. Before sale company had 117M cash and 1.126B debt paying 120M a year in interest expense however the CA biz was where all the losses were. The remaining BA biz is actually profitable
Last q $gogo broke out that BA biz had operating income of 22M for the q, after subtracting 31M in interest expense they lost 9M. After sale of Ca biz they now have 460M in cash which they plan to pay down debt & refinance the 10% interest. They estimate this will save 50M/yr $
$gogo said they plan to refinance debt before May (which is why I bought May calls) & that its their top priority. $gogo has history of outperforming timelines, they said CA biz sale would happen before end of 1q and they finished it in Dec, expect refinance well before May
Read 11 tweets

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