Let the record reflect that on the same day the governor green-lighted a football game, New York hit post-summer highs for three key COVID-19 metrics: hospitalizations, seven-day average infections and testing positivity rate.
As of 12/29:
Hospitalizations - 7,892 (+78)
Seven-day average new infections - 11,331 (+463)
Testing positivity rate - 6.5% (+0.3%)
The risks associated with sitting in a half-empty outdoor stadium might well be tolerable. But how is this consistent with his public health messaging? How do Bills fans take precedence over nursing home residents, schoolchildren, small business owners, family dinners, etc.?
From yesterday:
"The fact is that social gatherings spread the virus if we are not smart. ... As we approach the end of the holiday season, the rest of us must stay tough. Remember - if we act smart, than we can avoid shutdowns and win this war." governor.ny.gov/news/governor-…
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My three most-read blog posts of 2020, unsurprisingly, all focused on the impact of COVID-19 in New York nursing homes. (1/4) empirecenter.org/publications/e…
My third-most-read post (10th for the Empire Center):
Nursing Home Vacancy Rate Soars, Hinting at a Higher Coronavirus Toll
The governor has talked about "oversampling" in so-called red-zone zip codes, which account for 2.8% of the state's population.
Based the test numbers in his releases, those zones have been slightly undersampled in 4 of the past 5 days.
To be clear, the state's testing has never been randomly sampled, as you would try to do for a scientific survey. Much of it focuses on likely positives, because of symptoms or known exposure. Some is repeated testing of likely negatives, for work reasons.
For those reasons, you would expect natural oversampling in red zones. But maybe they reached a saturation point due to heavy testing in the previous two weeks. Or maybe their residents are less cooperative because they resent being subject to red-zone restrictions.
The governor keeps dismissing criticism of his nursing home policies at a political hit job orchestrated by the White House.
Yet if there was a single MAGA hat or Trump sign at yesterday's rally at the Capitol, held in the thick of election season, I didn't see it.
These people didn't have a logo or a letterhead or a lobbyist, just homemade signs.
They weren't thinking about red vs. blue. They were consumed with grief and worry about their loved ones, and anger at government decisions they didn't understand.
These are ordinary citizens exercising their
First Amendment right to petition government for a redress of grievances.
Their biggest demand was for the simple chance to visit a grandmother or husband or child whom they haven't been able to touch in seven months.
Now that we know the Greater New York Hospital Association had a hand in New York's policy compelling nursing homes to accept COVID-positive patients, let's review GNYHA's recent history with the Cuomo administration ...
In March 2018, Cuomo pressured the state's Catholic bishops to give up $2B in proceeds from the sale of Fidelis Care health plan. The money went into a "Health Care Transformation Fund" to be spent at the governor's discretion during an election year. empirecenter.org/publications/a…
That summer, GNHYA poured more than $1 million to Cuomo's re-election campaign, exploiting a loophole that would keep the donation secret until after his inauguration. empirecenter.org/publications/f…
At today's briefing, Gov. Cuomo repeated his claim that criticism of his handling of coronavirus in nursing homes is "all politics" and primarily coming from the @nypost.
In case he missed it, here is a sample of the broader coverage ... (1/?)
AP: "Blame game? Cuomo takes heat over NY nursing home study"
"Several experts who reviewed the report at the request of The Associated Press said it has fatal flaws, including never actually addressing the effect of the order."
Maybe I'm missing something, but this statistic from Cuomo's slide show -- that 66% of new hospitalizations were people living at home -- doesn't seem shocking at all. cnbc.com/2020/05/06/ny-…
This question seems to be about where people live, not what they do. On that basis, people living at home are significantly *underrepresented,* as you would expect.
The stat that jumps out at me is nursing homes. They house about 100,000 NYers, which is roughly 0.5% of the population, yet they account for 18% of hospitalizations.
It's not necessarily shocking, but it confirms that NH residents are at dramatically higher risk.