1. Many people are saying they will not spend Christmas with family because it "just isn't worth the risk".
But how likely is it, given everything we now know, that a person without symptoms will pass the virus to somebody else, with fatal consequences?
2. First of all, given that you have no symptoms, what are the chances that you are infected with Sars CoV-2? The ONS estimates this to be 1 in 115, or 0.87% ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
3. Now, imagining you are infected, but you don’t have any symptoms, what is the probability that you will infect somebody else with Sars CoV-2? Recent studies show this is around 0.7% jamanetwork.com/journals/jaman…
2. First of all, given that you have no symptoms, what are the chances that you are infected with Sars CoV-2? The ONS estimates this to be 1 in 115, or 0.87% ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
3. Now, imagining you are infected, but you don’t have any symptoms, what is the probability that you will infect somebody else with Sars CoV-2? Recent studies show this is around 0.7% jamanetwork.com/journals/jaman…
4. If we multiply the probability of these two events, we can calculate the likelihood of you a) being infected & b) passing that infection on without symptoms. This gives a figure of 0.006%
I have sold a lot of original artwork this year and I'm very grateful and flattered that people want my work on their walls. There are still quite a few available to buy on my website: bobmoran.co.uk
Here is a thread of some of them...
Those of us who are opposed to lockdowns, masks, tiers etc are often labelled conspiracy theorists, deniers and nutcases. The truth is, in order to believe that lockdowns are having any positive effect, you need to believe a whole range of completely mad things. Here are just 2:
1. That the virus was in the UK in November 2019 - this has been confirmed - and had already spread around the country and was killing people. BUT it stopped. It decided to wait. Even though Christmas was happening and families were travelling all over the country hugging and
kissing, the virus said, "No. Hold on. Stop killing people. Stop spreading. We haven't even been given a name yet. Let's wait until the world leaders start announcing us on the news and putting measures in place to 'control' us and THEN.. then we'll really get to work."
We're not doing any of this because a lot of people were going to catch a cold. We're not destroying our economies and societies because a tiny number of people felt tired for a few months after a cough. We aren't allowing babies and children to die because a new strain
of coronavirus is at large. We were told, in no uncertain terms, that this new virus CAUSES a brand new, deadly disease called Covid-19, the like of which we had never seen before. A disease so horrific that doctors were having emotional breakdowns after treating it. That is what
all of this is based on. The reasoning behind a global reaction which may well lead to the permanent destruction of all the things that make life a worthwhile experience.
In nine months of being immersed in this swamp of information, I have still not found an explanation of what