1/ Covid is certainly bad on its own, but there are either intended or unintended consequences of this crisis. Whether these are just "emerging" or "planned", is not really the point. But we see a growing response to the crisis that many are not looking at the consequences.
2/ For us conspiracy minded folks, we see a technocracy as a planned response. But even if technocracy is *just emerging* as a response to the pandemic, we have human agency. The AI/Transhumanist/Globalist crowd are making hay and getting many people to embrace policies that
3/ would not have acceptable w/o the pain of the pandemic. Will the pandemic give rise to a global ID? Will vaccine passports be part of this? If entrepreneurs like me figured out how to "benefit" financially from the pandemic, you better believe Oligarchs are better positioned
4/ to "take advantage" of the crisis. Whether or not the virus was planned is not my point. Look though what is advocated as a cure for this crisis. Solutions by unwitting health advocates (benefit of the doubt) who advocate lockdowns are clueless as to other possible agendas.
5/ Oligarchs are well versed in antifragility, meaning they have an aptitude to benefit from disaster on a scale beyond most of our reach. Whatever is being cooked up, humanity's real advantage is the Elite cannot predict human agency and will fail.

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More from @Jaffer22915438

28 Dec 20
1/ Online retail is getting huuuge press on its response to the pandemic. But a dirty secret is that few online retailers are actually making profits. Those flush with VC/PEG money have *invested* in growth and not profits.
2/ We have been online retailers for 20 years and have known hundreds of online retailers. Few actually understand their real costs. And those subsidized with other people's money mistakenly believe they can just turn a knob to become profitable once they achieve "scale"
3/ Simply wrong in 99% of the cases. Scale has emergent costs not originally input into their spreadsheet driven models. When the subsidies run out, they usually go on life support... and one after the other have gone bust.
Read 10 tweets
23 Dec 20
1/ Crony Capitalists and Oligarchs play by a different set of rules than the rest of society. Rules for *the rest of us* that are taught in school & regs have multiple purposes. One is to protect the *top* and the other is maintain a level of order (which helps the *top* as well)
2/ Every rule or regulation carries within them ways to overcome them. But one first needs to have a spirit that sets the boundaries wide. Stay out of jail, but if one is surrounded by people elevating RULES to revelation, get rid of those people.
3/ In the real world, the action is at the asymptote or tail. If you want to play by the standard rules created by self-serving groups, you really should not become an entrepreneur. Go work for the post office. There are few books that teach you how to break rules or push them to
Read 6 tweets
19 Dec 20
1/ Those of us who did not just study media but owned and bought it understood the importance of trust in communication. Persuasion and propaganda can only be effective with a certain amount of trust in the equation.
2/ Building trust is difficult, RESTORING TRUST once it has been lost is much more difficult. The difference today than 25 years ago is that social media exposes official narrative lies. Elites counter by heaping disinformation that increase distrust.
3/ Elites are in "zugswang". Adding to informational chaos, they destroy their own credibility as a by-product. When GW Bush paid Armstrong Williams $250K to promote his policies and Pentagon/NY Times whore Judith Miller became a stenographer instead of journo, trust eroded.
Read 4 tweets
16 Dec 20
1/ IMPORTANT: UPS & FED EX have bills with so many line items. We have a contract outlining all charges. Both overcharge by "mistakes". We discovered and reversed 3.4% of Fed Ex's bill over the last $5.4 million in charges by downloading their bill and into a program we created.
2/ We saved $160,000+ by dissecting their bills. Nearly all of their mistakes were in THEIR FAVOR, which means of course this is a planned practice. Examine their bills and do not take THEIR word.
3/ @dwnhogendoorn @Jed_Trott To connect this to the thread of anecdotes versus data, this 2-tweet anecdote could, AND SHOULD, be powerful enough to enter decision space. If I read a tweet like this, I guarantee we would decide to look over FED Ex/UPS bills. No?
Read 4 tweets
29 Nov 20
1/ This thread inspired by @ndehouche response to my thread on forecasting. Once upon a time, I believed forecasting was just a matter of grinding away at assumptions and perfecting the "model". I figured all was needed was working harder on the math and when confronted with my
2/ limitations with math, we hired statisticians, PhD's in math (even MIT IYIs)...Moved well beyond regression. Wasted hundreds of thousands of dollars on failed models. I did not know why they failed. They added more and more variables and forecasts got even worse.
3/ We decided to stop running our business BASED ON FORECASTING DEMAND. We still projected inventory needs (demand), but we KNEW they would be wrong. Our business started to flourish because we placed clipping left tail risk ahead of maximizing right tail profit.
Read 6 tweets
29 Nov 20
1/ Chief Justice Warren was a friend of Kennedy and did NOT want to lead the faux inquiry of the JFK assassination. With tears, he signed off on the report that bore his name. If you want an enlightened evening, research how the *apparatus* got him to sign off.
2/ Chief Justice Roberts was appointed by Trump and has made several *surprising* rulings that ran counter to his former judicial philosophy. Spend another evening researching how he may be compromised due to blackmail
3/ The Supreme Court is an essential institution that MUST follow *the apparatus*. Everyone knows in totalitarian regimes the court system serves power. Only in the mind numbed lib democracies is the illusion of an independent judicial system believed.
Read 5 tweets

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