This is a valuable thread and @XavierHelgesen has excellent intentions. If you were planning to buy a SMB using the SBA, the deal got sweeter.

That said, there are caution flags I'd like to raise:

1) It's brutally hard. I outline the steps here permanentequity.com/writings/how-t…
2) Selecting well, and far beyond financials factors, is a skill that takes reps to become proficient. What I thought were slam dunks 10 years ago scare me today.

Please don’t get jacked up on cheap SBA money and go tag the 14th thing you look at.
3) The required personal guarantee is no joke. Yes, it’s 10 year money. Yes, you’re going to buy it at a high cf yield. But, SMBs are volatile and often for reasons that aren’t initially obvious.

If things turn against you, you’ll declare bankruptcy. Seen it happen. Not pretty.
4) You’re almost always buying a risky job.

The idea of cashing checks and “allocating capital” is a joke. Someone somewhere has done it, but I’ve never seen it.

It’s going to be a challenging 7/365 grind to hopefully make very good money. That’s the best you can hope for.
5) Speaking of risk, as the owner, you’re the last to eat. Stuff happens and reserves need to be built to survive long-term. Working capital grows. Equipment breaks.

You’ll often have top employees getting more cash out of the business than the owner.
I use the Rule of 3. You should be able to consistently make 3X the amount you could W2 for the risk to be worth it. Consistently being the key word. Not once. But almost every year.
6) Skill set matters. If you’re an Excel wiz, great. That's only marginally useful post-close and you’re likely lacking the in-the-trenches experience that will make/break it.

There's a chasm between the world of finance and operations. If this is surprising, be worried.
If you’re a skilled operator, make sure you know your way around the financial statements, understand the competitive advantage(s), and especially pay attention to cash flow.

Cash is like oxygen. You only pay attention to it when it's in short supply and that's often too late.
7) Operating stress, especially with your net worth on the line, is intense and often ever-present.

You will get sued. Someone will steal from you. You’re going to violate some government law you didn’t know about.

On top of the normal customer, supplier, employee stress.
Now that I’m done clubbing baby seals, if none of this gives you pause, go for it. There’s gold in them there hills, but just know the hard work, emotional toll, and risk you’re taking on.

And, it can be outrageously rewarding.

Cheers to a prosperous 2021 and happy hunting.

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More from @BrentBeshore

25 Dec 20
For the past several years, I’ve shared a thread on Christmas about the implications of Jesus. Last year’s is below.

This year I want to get personal about my unexpected journey from ardent atheism to faith that shook the foundations of my life and changed it forever.
Everyone's journey is different and if what I'm getting ready to say seems ridiculous, I get it. 10 years ago I would have said the same thing, and probably less tactfully.

---

From a young age, I’ve been curious about the big questions.

Why am I here? What’s the point?
I can vividly remember sitting in vacation bible school as a young kid thinking all this talk of Jesus and His blood made no sense.

But, everyone else seemed to be into it and they had tasty snacks, so I might as well roll with it.
Read 21 tweets
22 Apr 20
A week ago KKR put out a long piece on the economic implications of COVID.

kkr.com/global-perspec…

Below are the quotes I clipped/saved.
"We estimate that hours worked in the United States have fallen 62% in just the past few weeks.”

"We do not look for a traditionally sharp snapback in the second half of 2020.”

"De-leveraging will take years, not months, to work through.”
"We are now entering a period of slower nominal GDP growth amidst lower inflation, or even disinflation/deflation.”

"Heavy debt loads will impede growth, we believe, at a time when demographics and re-regulation are likely to act as further headwinds.”
Read 9 tweets
17 Apr 20
Munger hasn't cared about optics for a long time and it's a helpful window to reality as he sees it. Kudos to @jasonzweigwsj for relaying the conversation

Here are some annotations. Quotes are Munger's. Rest are mine.

wsj.com/articles/charl…
"Everybody’s just frozen.”

The only deals getting done are ones that were already on the finish line and for assets logically unaffected by COVID. Otherwise, PE, VC, real estate is all shut. Banks aren’t extending new lines, let alone deal debt.
"We’re like the captain of a ship when the worst typhoon that’s ever happened comes. We just want to get through the typhoon.”

As one of my investors said to me, “Live to fight another day.” The future has always been murky, but it’s currently the visibility of diner coffee.
Read 8 tweets
15 Apr 20
This tweet hasn't sat well with me. It could be discouraging and, frankly, comes off as condescending. Sorry. I'm a pro at struggling with pride and need to do better.

What does a good cold email looks like? I decided to break down my now friend @david_perell's pitch from 2017..
Context is king. Immediately he claims to have been following me and have done his homework. He explains who he is, why he’s contacting me, and what he’s hoping to gain. He also name drops, which in this context is helpful.

Notice his word choices and what they connote.
If there was doubt that this was a form note he sends to everyone, this paragraph cured it.

He obviously had researched me and specifically chose me to reach out to. He gave a clear value proposition and offered a natural jumping off point for conversation. He made it seem easy.
Read 5 tweets
12 Apr 20
For the longest time, I thought I knew about Easter. It was about Jesus taking Christians to heaven. Be “good enough" and you get to play the harp on a cloud for eternity. It never interested me much.

But you won’t find anything like that in the Bible. Let me explain...
I want to tell you about a cosmic story that looks like a tragedy. It’s about love and loss and redemption and restoration. It’s a true and beautiful story that transformed my life.

It’s the story of Jesus Christ, which is story of the world. It’s the Good News.
For the longest time, I was an ardent atheist, frustrated by what I perceived to be religious cosplay. But then I got to know Christians who were smart, thoughtful, and well-considered. And most of all they had a love I didn’t know.

The more I studied, the more my interest grew.
Read 16 tweets
4 Apr 20
Bank president through my DMs on PPP loans, SBA clearance, and timelines:

"I run a $2B+ commercial bank. For banks that were not prior active SBA lenders (which turns out to be a lot), the application for the bank to *participate* only became available last night."
"In a bit of irony, it was a corrupted PDF that took about an hour for Treasury/SBA to notice and fix. Mechanism was to fill out a form, PDF it, and sent it to a shared email @ SBA. Informally, we are hearing that it may take several weeks to be “approved” by SBA."
"At that point, we would need access to a new platform SBA is trying to spin up at AWS (doesn’t exist yet), where we would submit a separate bank-completed application, again a PDF form, and wait for issuance of a guarantee, at which point in theory we could make the loan."
Read 5 tweets

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