It's January 1, 2021. The transition is over. Britain has left the EU Single Market and customs union.

How many of the EU’s free trade agreements have been “rolled over” into continuity agreements with the UK? How many have not been done?

1/7
Bearing in mind that

(1) some continuity agreements do not replicate the EU’s free trade agreements in full (rules of origin; sectors, regulations, mutual recognition not covered)

(2) trade figures cited are for TOTAL trade, not trade affected by the continuity deals

2/7
All the deals are listed on this page: gov.uk/guidance/uk-tr…

SUMMARY

DONE DEALS
Number of countries: 60
Number of agreements: 30
Total trade with those countries: £174 billion
Full ratification: 31 countries
Provisional application: 21
Bridging mechanism: 8 countries

3/7
SIGNED, NOT FULLY IN EFFECT
3 countries—Canada, Jordan, Mexico

gov.uk/guidance/uk-tr…

4/7
STILL TALKING
3 WTO members—Albania, Ghana, Montenegro
3 countries not WTO members—Algeria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia

gov.uk/guidance/uk-tr…

5/7
EU CUSTOMS UNIONS

Trading with countries in Customs Unions with the EU (except Turkey, which has a continuity agreement with provisional application)—Andorra (all non-agricultural products), San Marino (all products), provided reciprocate for the UK

gov.uk/guidance/uk-tr…

6/7
MUTUAL RECOGNITION AGREEMENTS

Signed stand-alone MRAs—Australia, New Zealand, US
Covered in trade agreements—Switzerland, Israel, Japan

gov.uk/guidance/uk-tr…

7/7

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More from @CoppetainPU

13 Dec 20
How can the UK be ready for Australia terms, when those terms are not available to the UK @BorisJohnson?

With no deal, how will it get tariff quota access to the EU for lamb, beef, cheese? Australia does.

How will it get free trade deals with all its neighbours? Australia does.
The UK will be making trade more difficult with its main trading partners, Mr Johnson.

Australia has been making trade easier with its main trading partners.
"No deal" is worse than "Australia terms".

"Australia terms" are not available to the UK

tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2020/11/30/wor…
Read 4 tweets
12 Dec 20
Another informative piece by @tconnellyRTE, this time on the level playing field. Definitely recommended reading.

Some parts of it piqued my curiosity

1/7

rte.ie/news/brexit/20…
First, the theme is about the UK having to follow EU standard, implying the UK may want to have lower standards than the EU.

But Frost’s vision was of a nimble UK able to set its own standards. Wouldn’t this force the EU to follow?

rte.ie/news/brexit/20…

2/7
If not follow, then at least be constrained by the higher UK standard under a ratchet as in the EU’s March 2020 “ratchet” draft. Note the text refers to “party”/“parties” so applies to either side.

ec.europa.eu/info/sites/inf…

3/7
Read 7 tweets
11 Dec 20
Oh no. And they were doing so well.

These tweets started to stick to the facts.

Until today.

"No other country has ever moved so fast"

True. Because no other country was about to lose so many deals, hence rushing into near-copies

Remember yesterday's oven-ready deal?

1/n
It was with one of the biggest trading economies in the world. How long do we think it took to secure this deal?

(OK, others were more difficult so good work, but let's not exaggerate the achievements. They are essentially continuity agreements)

2/5

What about UK-Vietnam?

No text available yet. From the joint statement, it seems to be straight "continuity".

Includes the routine "stepping stone" to negotiating joining the CPTPP, a priority for the UK

But more interesting perhaps …

gov.uk/government/new…

3/5 Image
Read 5 tweets
11 Dec 20
COVID-19 in Switzerland 11.12.2020

After consulting cantons, the federal government confirms new strict measures from tomorrow to Jan 22

Everything closes at 7pm (1am Xmas and New Year eves) (11pm in cantons with R<1, lower infection, per 7 days)

swissinfo.ch/eng/swiss-gove…

1/8
Maximum gatherings still 10 people (not cut to 5).

“‘The number of cases is rising quickly and strongly,’ said Swiss President Simonetta Sommaruga. … Hospitals and medical staff are at their limit, she said.”

Govt complained some cantons too lax.

swissinfo.ch/eng/swiss-gove…

2/8
COVID-19 situation in Switzerland. Week ending 11.12.2020—new restrictions introduced until Jan 22

Per 100K population, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—4,324 & 621
● in hospital—175 & 18
● deaths—62 & 12

Federal public health office covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

3/8 Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...Screenshot of box on lab-co...
Read 8 tweets
11 Dec 20
UPDATE: WTO members remained divided on this proposal in yesterday’s formal meeting of the intellectual property (“TRIPS”) council

The issue won’t go to a vote. Instead, the chair will deliver an “oral report” at this year’s final meeting of the General Council on Dec 16–17

1/4
No consensus ➡️ not passed

The chair’s report will say further discussions are needed

Note (1): This is not a split between developed and developing countries. Brazil, long an advocate for intellectual property flexibilities for health, is against



2/4
Note (2): a waiver would NOT OBLIGE any country to do anything.

It would simply ALLOW countries to suspend protection for copyright, industrial designs, patents and trade secrets, where related to COVID-19—IF THEY WANT TO.



3/4
Read 5 tweets
10 Dec 20
Twice on @BBCr4today, @DominicRaab calls “no deal” an Australia-style arrangement.

Perhaps the foreign secretary should look at Australia’s trading arrangements.

1. Australia’s priorities are in its region. It has free trade agreements with all its neighbours

1/9
Look how unimportant the EU is to Australia for trade in goods

The purple rectangle in the left square is the share of Australia’s goods exports that go to the whole of Europe, not just the EU

The right square is the UK’s goods export destinations.

Purple=Europe
Red=Asia

2/9
What about Australia’s goods imports versus the UK’s? Where do they come from?

Similar picture

Red = Asia. Purple = Europe.

Graphics and data: OECD
Australia: oec.world/en/profile/cou…
UK: oec.world/en/profile/cou…

3/9
Read 9 tweets

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