I largely agree with Scott Aaronson here.

Also: I think (optimistic) we have many things we could do this January that would greatly improve our current trajectory and (pessimistic) it will not be considered scandalous when we don't do many.

scottaaronson.com/blog/?p=5224
A short list of things to try:

* Government leaders indemnify any credentialed healthcare provider or employer of same from liability resulting from good-faith attempt to administer a vaccine.
* Call Walgreens/CSVs, immediately. Tell them to prep to receive doses.
* Call Amazon/Google/Facebook, immediately. Tell them that they have seven days to cause a continuous line in front of the Walgreens/CVS with doses.
* If you are, I don't know, in the position of having emergency political authority, immediately declare an emergency or announce your intent to declare an emergency, and say "If there is a trivial amount of money or authority you need to act now, do it, I will cover for you."
* Immediately, and I mean immediately, institute the Israeli protocol: any distribution of a dose is better than no distribution of a dose. If you're 60 minutes from closing time and have doses expiring, do anything necessary to give them away. Tweet re: availability; whatever.
* (This is going to be a little controversial) If you received vaccine doses in phase 1, and did not administer 1k+ doses a day, you do not receive doses in phase 2. They get delivered to someone competent. (e.g. Walgreens.)
Corollary: If you received doses in phase 1, and did not administer doses on Christmas/Saturday/New Years, you do not receive doses in phase 2. They get delivered to someone competent.
And just broadly:

If you're in the critical path for the vaccine rollout in January, either a) nothing you are doing is more important than the vaccine rollout or b) you should immediately take yourself out of the critical path.
"We couldn't give away our doses because we are understaffed and have patients who will die if we don't treat them."

"Understood and no judgement. We will take those doses away and give them to someone not similarly constrained. Thank you for your cooperation; best of skill."
(I think an ongoing theme of my thoughts here is "Some peoples' feelings are likely going to be hurt by effective vaccine administration and, while being compassionate, we should prioritize number of doses delivered over maximizing emotional satisfaction at almost every margin.")
(CVS; programming habits are hard to break, particularly when they involve typos.)
(If groveling apologies, resigning to take responsibility, or awarding medals is required to paperwork things over, let's make a note of that and get to it immediately after the nation is vaccinated.)
Not often that I will say "Civilization really needs better email marketing", but on these two pages, civilization really needs better email marketing.

walgreens.com/topic/promotio…

cvs.com/content/corona…
I think I can predict the reasons why they didn't do it, but they're #%()#%(ing stupid reasons, and these two pages should have a ~5 question form + email / phone number capture so that you get a push notification of vaccine availability in your neighborhood.
e.g. "HIPAA compliance" is a #%(#)%)ing stupid reason; a properly functioning civilization would have had someone call the Department of Health and Human Services and get a No Action letter about, oh, 10 months ago.
"They can do that!?!"

a) #%(#(%)#0) yes they can do that.
b) Did anyone EVEN TRY.
"Easy for you to say, techie. I've bet you never even been a HIPAA compliance officer."

You lose, voice in my head, you lose.
(Granted that LLC delivered only a couple hundred thousand appointment notifications a year. You know, a nice small operation.)
"I'm having trouble even visualizing what this would look like."

Something like: hhs.gov/hipaa/for-prof…

(I didn't cause that policy to be enacted but I very carefully documented my reliance upon it, you know, like a good HIPAA compliance officer does.)

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More from @patio11

2 Jan
1) This hospital should receive zero doses in the future, until competent healthcare providers have had need satisfied for a critically limited resource.

2) If you are told you that choices are throwing out a vaccine or losing your license, strongly consider losing paperwork.
Or even "Damn it I slipped and administered a covid vaccine. So clumsy of me. I filed an accident report per the usual procedure. Luckily, since the covid vaccine is safe, there was no medical impact aside from the vaccination to covid."
"Sorry boss it happened 372 times again yesterday. I take full responsibility for the errors; just been pulling a lot of overtime recently with the holidays and all. Here's the accident forms."
Read 5 tweets
1 Jan
This is one of those statements you mostly don’t have to say when it is, strictly speaking, true.
“This time we’re not lying! Honest! Not that we were *lying* the other times; we just retroactively changed the meanings of the word we said to make them true.”
“Accusations that we are a worldwide money laundering operation are false, since we lost access to worldwide money laundering when Reggie Fowler ran away with the money! Logic, people, logic!”
Read 7 tweets
1 Jan
A feeling I have had a number of times this year, which deserves a longer write-up but for now a short one will have to do:

I feel that I have witnessed a great dispersion in outcomes between organizations that can function at 5:01 PM on Friday and those which cannot.
I know I'm next to a seismic fault in the tech community with this observation. It isn't primarily about the tech community, though I have observed the tech community's response to the same challenges everyone is dealing with.
That response has often included:

"OF COURSE we will work through the weekend on this. It is a matter of literal life and death."

There are organizations which did not make this choice, and are not making this choice. Including as we speak.
Read 8 tweets
1 Jan
It feels like the English variant of covid being much more infectious than previous variants is a fact widely believed among people following it closely and not appreciated by the world at large yet.
If this turns out to be true, 2021 will be more challenging than 2020 was with regards to controlling spread.
I am not positive about this being a true statement about the world yet, but disconfirmatory evidence should be cheap and abundantly available in worlds where it is false, and it is not available in the places I would suggest expect to find it.

Total time invested: 2 hours.
Read 4 tweets
1 Jan
Pediatric speech therapy over Zoom is, depending on the child and one’s constraints, plausibly a better product at half the cost compared to office-based speech therapy.

One of a few things I’ll say thank you to 2020 for.
“How is it better?”

So back when I was the patient, it involved mom arranging childcare for the other kids, bundling me up against the Chicago winter, driving 30 minutes, arriving late, apologizing and feeling guilty, rushing through the session, pay with a check, scheduling.
Now it’s... “Hey honey, reminder, 10 minutes out it’s showtime for us and $CHILd.” “OK.”
Read 4 tweets
30 Dec 20
@visakanv Would bet that literally no one has sent typical CEO: “Here is a properly scoped internship project and here is the Day One output. Are you interested in seeing Day Two?”
@visakanv There’s an unhelpful cultural norm of internships being a favor that can be awarded if one pleases the teacher rather than a consulting engagement with a deliverable and a bit of consideration/leeway given to the consultant for their emerging project management skills.
@visakanv “Give me an example of a properly scoped internship project, Patrick.”

At the risk of sounding bitingly cynical, I think “Design a process which could administer 500 coronavirus vaccines in a day.” is a reasonably scoped project for an intern working two weeks.
Read 4 tweets

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