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Stephen Hinton

2 Jan, 9 tweets, 4 min read

TRÅD: Sorgligt det inte tas upp hur tobak är negativt för miljö och hälsa - även i snusform. Lyssna inte på Swedish Match VD som får uttala sig i DN utan kritiska följdfrågor. forts.... DN.SE dn.se/ekonomi/swedis…

Snus är ingen hälsoprodukt. Det är mindre farligt att snusa än att röka, men snusare har bland annat högre risk att dö om de drabbas av hjärtinfarkt och stroke, och nikotin ger styvare blodkärl, vilket ökar risken för hjärt-kärlsjukdomar. forts...

hjart-lung.se/vart-arbete/ti…

På sin hemsida skriver Swedish Match att de arbetar för att eliminera barnarbete i tobaksplantagerna. Att de är medlemmar i ECLT Foundation är greenwashing, enligt Tobacco Control Research Group vid Bath University som forskar på tobaksindustrin. Forts...

tobaccotactics.org/wiki/eclt-d29/

Tobaksproduktionens största miljöpåverkan är ju avskogningen - men tobaksbolagen fintar genom att prata om miljövänlig el i fabrikerna eller kampanjer om fimpar och prillor på gatan. Vällovligt men avskogningen är värre.

Visir: forts---

visominteroker.se/wp-content/upl…

Om du inte litar på VISIR prova denna rapport från WHO: Tobacco and its environmental impact: an overview, 2017 forts....

apps.who.int/iris/bitstream…

I UK tas det grepp på barnarbete i tobak genom rättssystemet. Hur skulle Swedish Match klara en liknande granskning? Stämning mot två brittiska tobaksbolag: forts....

theguardian.com/business/2020/…

@Tobaksfakta

Tobaksindustrin använder frontgrupper som sprider dimridåer för att påverka politiken och opinionen. Det slår mot folkhälsan. Journalister borde konsultera databasen Tobacco Tactics. Forts.. @Tobaksfakta @HelenStjerna @visominteroker @farmormottobak
tobaksfakta.se/tobaksindustri…

Sverige har skrivit under Tobakskonventionen. Enligt 5.3 ska politiker ha så lite som möjligt att göra med tobaksindustrin och redovisa samröret öppet. Hur många riksdagspolitiker känner till detta?

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More from @stephen_hinton

Stephen Hinton

@stephen_hinton

28 Dec 20

TAIL RISK THREAD: A tail risk is one that is small but devastating. When an 8 year- old asks about crossing the road to get to a bus stop you correctly point out that there is a 1% risk she will get run over. However you might want to suggest instead 1/x

A 3-min walk to the traffic lights and crossing. To frame tail risk you include probability distribution of the event (car colliding with girl), with an outcome function (girl likely dies if hit), and account for the cost of mitigation (3 minutes to walk to traffic light) 2/x

In the realm of climate change, climate scientists are the ones charged with estimating the event risk, while other disciplines (e.g. economics, engineering) must be brought to bear on estimating outcome, and the costs of mitigating the risk or adapting to it. 3/x

Read 10 tweets

Stephen Hinton

@stephen_hinton

27 Dec 20

THREAD: Understanding pivot. Growing pressure from world population life-style will reach a point where it is damaging the capacity of Earth systems to an extent where life support will be challenged. It is simply a question of at what stage governments act. 1/X

Pivot is the same at each point 1-4. I use the STOP acronym. a) Stop, or halt, all increase of extraction/drawdown. b) Think, plan measures that will restore Earth system capacity and keep delivering basic services. c) Organise, re-work old regulations and agencies and then 2/x

Proceed to act. Notice that pivots are different depending on where measures are set in. It is MUCH harder to change when carrying capacity is challenged to an extent where people are dying. However, the pivot idea is a useful decision framework as you will see in 3/x

Read 10 tweets

Stephen Hinton

@stephen_hinton

17 Dec 20

Thread: A pivot is a sudden change in direction to another direction. The diagram explains why we need to pivot now: the sum aggregate of business activities is extracting more from and putting more into natural systems than the systems can handle. The consequence? Contd...

Natural systems unable to support the number of human population and there will be a massive die-off. This phenomenon is well-known by biologists. Populations rise and crash all the time. Populations CAN exceed carrying capacity a short time - but a crash always results. contd

We have no choice now, having entered the danger zone, but to prepare for the crash. This requires us to voluntarily pivot. Declare the emergency for what it is and get on with it.

Read 8 tweets

Stephen Hinton

@stephen_hinton

12 Dec 20

Thread on pivoting: to avoid worse crises our way of life has to pivot. That is to say, STOP. Stop going in current direction. THINK through the new direction. ORGANISE so we are ready then PIVOT.>>>

Utopia you might say on Pivot. We cannot agree. We have I say. The broad direction and even speed of that change is embedded in the Sustainable Development Goals. How then to apply SDG goals to plan pivots? Well, >>>

Presented in this form, the bottom layer of SDGs show what to pivot away from - ceilings. The social layer shows the floors to keep above and the top layer shows the economic operating space for the production system with peace as our aim. Let's look at the math>>>

Read 9 tweets

Stephen Hinton

@stephen_hinton

3 Dec 20

Thread: Science Based targets like Global Carbon Budget, Planetary boundaries, SDGs, are a good start. They set up a common boundary, but a common boundary is not a commons. so ... globalcommonsalliance.org/alliance-proje…

Current rules of the game that allow people with money to use that to buy property and use that property without any limits being set on that use - to the extent that the use of said property blows away all common-agreed limits contd:

The last 30 years how fossil fuel CO2 emissions have risen DESPITE a common agreement to limit warming. This shows how little political power there really is - trumped by the power of money. Capital as Power, Jonathan Nitzan & Shimshon Bichler shows this economicsfromthetopdown.com/2020/08/26/fre…

Read 6 tweets

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