1. Correct- bc @staceyabrams & the other turnout orgs have provided Ds w the turnout base from which they are positioned to possibly win (assuming they don't get totally smoked today), as @SteveKornacki is reiterating, its whether or not these college ed millennial suburban who
2. grew up in GOP households, who call themselves Indies, some who admit they lean R, who voted Biden but Perdue/Loeffler in Nov, its whether they see Loeffler/Perdue in a national lebns- as extensions of Trump. If they see the actions of disqualifying Biden's win as Trumpy, if
3. the "brand" issues of Trump have been effectively extended out to include the senators, which is what I've advised them to do. The idea that these millennials don't want a D agenda is WRONG. They are fairly policy liberal. The issue is they've been politically socialized into
4. R families, so they have what is known as "cross-cutting" group identities. Their family socialization pulling them to the Rs (and religion, esp evangelical) but probably everything else pushing them to vote for the Ds. That's why you make it easy for them: a vote for Perdue
5. is vote for Trump. Trump-Perdue, Perdue-Trump. You make them two peas in a pod.

I'll say, I'm not buying the "Warnock w/o Ossoff victory" stuff. Or the oppo. I just don't see them not going together, And if it did happen, in either formulation, it would be a damn shame! BUT
6. if it is going to happen there should be signs of it both in the early vote and in the patterns we see today.

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More from @RachelBitecofer

7 Jan
1. This man, @mattgaetz, in particular. How many innocent people has this man's extremism harmed, or even killed?

Many, bc unlike most of his colleagues, Gaetz doesn't endure the campaign role of the job so he gets to do the legislator role. Oh no. He endures the legislator role
2. to be able to have the performative role that comes with the legislative role. You can see that in his scorecard, which is devoid of accomplishment for his constituents specifically, or America generally. Nope, Gaetz is a Fear Capitalist. He is chasing two highs- the💵 high &
3. the power/adoration/influence high. @mattgaetz can sell crazy conservative very well and he knows it. That he's actively killing both the country and literal humans doesn't seem to bother him. At least not yet. But he's going on my short list of special targets for the pac,
Read 4 tweets
7 Jan
1. There are no good response options, but of them all, prosecution of everyone that CAN be prosecuted is the most doable.

These fanatics- we all recognized them. Hell- @oneunderscore__ has files on them! They are now going to turn to attacking state capitals & the inauguration.
2. Giuliani & Don Jr are just as guilty as Trump himself of unleashing that mob down the street. And like I tweeted out earlier, there is a big diff in the security set up for Trump's rally & what we normally see for a rally, like the recent BLM rally. Makes you wonder if Trump
3. didn't intentionally leave the Capitol vulnerable to his "army" and if so, he didn't set that shit up alone. Keep in mind, he suddenly cancelled his New years plans at Mar-a-largo and came back early to the DC. It was clear that the time that it related back to the 6th. One
Read 5 tweets
7 Jan
1. Among the many lessons from yesterday is the most glaring, our lawmakers were FAR too vulnerable yesterday in session. The only reason some aren't dead is bc there wasn't someone with will to kill them in that horde. Security & protocols for them MUST be improved across the
2. board. In addition, we have a madman in the prez & we NEED TO DO SOMETHING. We can't just hope he doesn't do something else! I have to say, I think McConnell now gets it, the prob will be McCarthy & the House. McCarthy has solved the problems w leadership that @SpeakerBoehner
3. and @SpeakerRyan had by simply abandoning ANY EFFORT to lead. He's just let the Freedom Caucus folks have full control of the House and they've used it to destroy the party in that chamber and turn it into a clown show. So he's "leading from behind" and popular bc he is giving
Read 6 tweets
7 Jan
1. Funny toy should mention that bc I'm wanting to see if @MSNBC might be able to put together a roll of election returns that recounts how Biden's win happened & explains esp how the mail vote that was held "hostage" until midnight in MI & PA (other states too) bc the Trump camp
2. had sued to force these states to hold the mail votes until midnight on election night so they could create a "red mirage" and have it look like Trump was winning, hoping people might not put together that only 50% of the vote was in. And if you'll recall- some of y'all on
3. on twitter were kind of fooled by this effort. But I knew they were doing it, and frankly, it came off exactly as they had planned- better really, epic. BC the day-of vote was SO slanted to Trump & bc there was such a lag waiting for the mail vote to start coming in. But the
Read 4 tweets
6 Jan
1. Due to the need to replace Judge Garland on the 5th Circuit, this is DEF an AG pick contingent on Dem control of the Senate.

I realize that people will react poorly to this pick but I urge you to think it through. Disentangling the Department of Justice out of whatever the
2. hell Barr did to it is going to be immensely complex. Barr obliterated every line of separation there was between the law & the personal pleasure of the potus. Re-entangling them won't be as easy as picking up a bunch of lose strings & retying them, esp bc the MOST IMP job
3. this new Att'y Gen has is to reconstitute that office in such a way so that it the person running it can never again do what Barr did. That is going to take a certain type of expertise & a mentality & I do think that a judge is the proper took kit to come into with. I know
Read 5 tweets
6 Jan
1. Filibuster reform, to me, is a far more attractive option than outright elimination. The 60 vote thresholds was established during an era when 60 votes was high, but achievable. In terms of ANY non-crisis legislation now, it is not achievable. What will be interesting to see
2. is if McConnell ends up spooked, at all, about what the senate caucus is doing today- about the lengths his colleagues are going. I mean, you'd think the Russian propaganda spreading might have been the red line/tip off, but maybe outright elimination of democracy, just maybe
3. their tolerance to that has him reconsidering his posture? We'll find out quick. Our case against the GOP will be that they can't be given power bc they are too extreme to govern. McConnell will now be well positioned to make that case for us (or not) & not governing through a
Read 4 tweets

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