I've said this again and again: the road to 'Hong Kong democracy' runs through earning Beijing's trust, not international sympathy. Only when China's core constituents view Hong Kong democrats as a loyal advocates of their perspectives will HK dems ever have relevance
Unfortunately, HK dems adopted a xenophobic and Anti-China stance from day 1. They bound, gagged, and tortured a Global Times reporter, burned a man alive, and killed another with a brick, while looting businesses perceived as pro-China. They dug their own graves
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Now, international sympathy is all that they have. They had protectors in the Chinese system, but those protectors have all abandoned them. By exiling themselves from China's political scene, they've consigned themselves to being eliminated as a political force...
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... because power in Hong Kong resides with the people of China as a whole.
For someone who, as recently as 2017, was trying to help the HK dems find a path forward in China's political matrix, this is a tragic outcome.
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Time will tell if a new generation of HK politicians can rise to the challenge of making HK's views relevant to the rest of China. Thankfully, the arrest or exile of Lai, Sham, Law, Chow, Wong, and others opens the field to voices who can lead Hong Kong out of the wilderness.
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It's time to be bold and move Hong Kong forward - as proud contributors to a greater Chinese whole - instead of letting it stay mired in nostalgia for a past that never truly existed.
Instead of saying China has taken primacy over the US in 2020 - or even started that process - it's more accurate to say that 2020 marks the start of multipolarity's return to global politics
The US still has a plurality of the world's "critical bottleneck" technologies, supremacy in the maritime and orbital commons, financial centrality, and a global media nexus
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ICYMI, Matt Pottinger commissioned a 30,000 word screed to cover up his failure to contain COVID in the US. This was the most hagiographic piece of journalistic fiction I read in 2020. It’s as accurate as the score in a round of golf with Kim Jong-Il 1/ newyorker.com/magazine/2021/…
Here’s a brief summary to save you some eye bleach: “Me, my brother, and my wife did the best we could. The rest of the administration, state and local governments, corporate America, and the US people failed.” 2/
“Depending on whether the COVID response is portrayed positively or not, I either heroically led – or was just a powerless pawn on – the COVID Interagency Task Force” 3/
Basically, I really don't get why he thinks that opening up trade with Europe (and giving EU firms opportunities to scale in the Chinese market) means China loses something
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EU MNCs growing in China's mkt is good for both the EU and China, for two reasons:
A) Relative to US MNCs, EU MNCs are more complementary to Chinese firms
B) Localized EU MNCs compete for Chinese workers and customers, upgrading productivity and the 'standard of demand'
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