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Hansi Lo Wang Profile picture
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6 Jan, 4 tweets, 2 min read
While we wait for Electoral College votes to be tallied by Congress, your regular reminder that your state's share of 435 of those votes is determined by the census
npr.org/2020/12/31/950… That's because the Constitution requires a count of every pe
2. Your state's share of 100 of those Electoral College votes is based on Senate seats (2 each to 50 states), and 3 votes go to Washington, D.C. because of the 23rd Amendment.

But what primarily determines how much of a say your state has in who is president, that's the census.
3. To be clear, how the 538 electoral votes are currently assigned to the states is based on the 2010 census.

The 2020 census affects the presidential elections of 2024 & 2028.

When thinking about the census, think in the long term because it carries 10 years of consequences.
4. And it's looking like the consequences of the 2020 census won't start to become clear until February at the earliest:
npr.org/2021/01/04/953…

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More from @hansilowang

Hansi Lo Wang Profile picture
6 Jan
NEW: The Census Bureau's associate director for the 2020 census, Al Fontenot, confirms in this court filing that newly discovered anomalies may further delay the first census results' release past Feb. 9, which was the projected release date as of Dec. 29
beta.documentcloud.org/documents/2044… these estimates are subject to change as work to complete th
2. This court filing confirms news I reported yesterday out of a court conference for the National Urban League-led lawsuit over census schedule changes:
npr.org/2021/01/04/953…
3. "Census Bureau officials have expressed concern that altering the sequence of steps or schedule for data processing could increase the possibility that data errors are not identified or remedied," the court filing signed by Fontenot says. It also says: Other than crafting patches for the data anomalies, the Cens
Read 4 tweets
Hansi Lo Wang Profile picture
5 Jan
The Census Bureau hasn’t responded to my questions about the latest irregularities found in the census records that require more quality checks, but a DOJ attorney told a judge they’re expected to delay the release of numbers until after Trump’s term ends.
npr.org/2021/01/04/953…
2. Finding irregularities (the bureau’s calling them “processing anomalies”) in the census records is not unusual. Trying to count every person living in the U.S. has always been a messy process, which was even more complicated in 2020 because of the pandemic.
3. What was unusual was that the Trump administration, in addition to ending counting early in October, forced the Census Bureau to cut short the time for running quality checks used to make sure no resident is counted more than once or in the wrong place.
Read 7 tweets
Hansi Lo Wang Profile picture
4 Jan
BREAKING: As of Dec. 29, the Census Bureau's expected release date for the 1st set of 2020 census results is Feb. 9 & may be pushed back further bc of newly discovered irregularities in the census records, DOJ attorney John Coghlan tells a federal judge during a court conference
2. New anomalies were recently discovered in the census records, DOJ John Coghlan said during the court conference for the Nat'l Urban League-led lawsuit over the census schedule. Coghlan emphasized all dates are tentative as the Census Bureau keeps working on fixing anomalies.
3. The 1st set of 2020 census results are the new state population counts that were due to the president by Dec. 31 and are used to reapportion House seats and Electoral College votes among the states.
Read 8 tweets
Hansi Lo Wang Profile picture
30 Dec 20
NEW: 2020 census results won’t be ready by the year-end deadline, a Census Bureau employee tells NPR. The bureau’s working toward Jan. 9 for determining when to begin last steps in producing counts for reallocating House seats and Electoral College votes
npr.org/2020/12/30/951…
2. The Census Bureau employee, who spoke to NPR on the condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation in the workplace, confirms that the bureau is still trying to fix irregularities uncovered in this year's census records and has set Jan. 9 as an internal check-in date.
3. "If we miss Jan. 9, it's hard to envision that we would get apportionment done before inauguration," the bureau employee says.

In other words, if the census results aren't ready until after 1/20, it would be Biden who would get control of the numbers Trump wants to alter.
Read 4 tweets
Hansi Lo Wang Profile picture
29 Dec 20
The legal deadline for the first set of 2020 census results is less than two days away — Dec. 31, according to Section 141(b) of Title 13 of the U.S. Code.

And neither the Census Bureau nor the Justice Department have any answers to these questions: 1. When is the Census Bureau planning to deliver state popul
2. When is the Census Bureau planning to deliver state population counts from the 2020 census to Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross (who oversees the bureau and is required under Title 13 to report them to the president by Dec. 31)?
3. Is the Census Bureau planning to deliver to the commerce secretary the apportionment calculation of the number of House seats to which each state is entitled at the same time as the delivery of the state population counts from the 2020 census?
Read 7 tweets
Hansi Lo Wang Profile picture
28 Dec 20
NEW: As expected, the Supreme Court has overturned lower court rulings out of California & Maryland that had blocked Trump's census apportionment memo. The liberal justices dissent, as they did for the SCOTUS ruling in the NY-based case earlier this month:
supremecourt.gov/orders/courtor… 20-561 TRUMP, PRESIDE...
2. What this means is that the Supreme Court has further cleared the path for President Trump to try to exclude unauthorized immigrants from census numbers that the Constitution says must include the "whole number of persons in each state." But time is running out...
3. Trump can try to alter the census numbers used for reallocating congressional seats and Electoral College votes only *if* he gets control of those numbers before his term ends on Jan. 20, and right now, that is still a big if because...
Read 10 tweets

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