Trump knows he's going to have to leave office in two weeks. He knew that Pence didn't have the power to reject state electors. So why then would he spread misinformation, undermine our democracy, and incite today's violence?
Because it works whether or not it changes the result. It's a pattern he's followed Trump throughout his term.
He identifies a wedge issue, fans the smoldering embers of that controversy into open flame, and then enjoys the adulation, attention, and donations from the slice of America who falls for the trick. The only way he knows how to lead is via division.
You might remember the (relatively) halcyon days of the fall of 2017. The NFL kneeling protests had been slowly waning. But Trump saw an opportunity, so poured gasoline on the issue, and made the protests a referendum *on himself*.
And now for the last two months, he's been doing that with our democracy. Rather than admitting defeat, he's fighting *not to win* but to harness the outrage of his most ardent supporters.
That will...
allow him to flip that outrage into a huge wave of donations ($200 million+ by early December, more since), lay the groundwork for a future television show or business enterprise, and keep the national attention on him for just a little while longer.
This is just a function of who he is, a small, toxic man with a complete disregard for the good of the nation or anything other than the constant, desperate attempt to fill, even if just briefly, the yawning void inside of him.
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I'm going to walk you through several common responses from Republicans to the insurrection yesterday and show why they are incorrect.
- "It wasn't Trump supporters. It was Antifa."
Claims of false flag operations are always tempting because it redirects blame. We all prefer it when *our* side is straightforwardly good and the *other* side does all the bad stuff. It's very natural to want this to be true.
The problem is that it is only rarely correct. Usually, when someone wears MAGA clothing, shouts about their support for Trump, and does so in the company of thousands of other people doing so, they are what they appear.
10 former defense secretaries felt the need to assert the military's neutrality in partisan politics. That's disconcerting, sure, but when the coup comes someday, it's not the military you need to worry about the most. Thread.
Remember, there are 132,000 armed federal agents, most of whom are based around Washington, DC. That's over a quarter of the size of the actual, active-duty US Army, and many of them are military veterans with access to military-grade firepower.
After all, when Trump needed a paramilitary force to do what the military was reluctant to do--clear peaceful protestors out of Lafayette Park for a photo op--he turned to a mix of forces from the Bureau of Prisons, Park Police, Secret Service, and so on.
- added weeks (at minimum) and months (at maximum) to the approval process for the vaccines, most notably by taking from November 20 to December 11 to complete a review at a time when ~2,000 people were dying per day.
How to Pull Off a Coup; or, at least, How to Do it Better than Donald Trump.
Trump’s half-assed attempts at using bogus claims of election fraud in order to *himself* commit election fraud are doomed. But... 1/
...it’s worth considering how easy it would have been for a somewhat more competent wannabe authoritarian to steal the 2020 election. But consider this not just a “what might have been” scenario but also a “what could be” situation at some point in the future. 2/
Here’s how you’d do it:
First, follow Trump’s own pre-election strategy of spreading doubt about the upcoming outcome. It’s important to convince enough of your supporters that any election outcome other than your own victory is ipso facto evidence of a stolen election. 3/
There is a clear corollary to the Jericho March from the 1960s called Operation Midnight Ride. Today, it's disgraced ex-general Michael Flynn & religious broadcaster Eric Metaxas; back then it was disgraced ex-general Edwin Walker & religious broadcaster Billy James Hargis. 1/
Former General Edwin Walker was a Korean War hero who was cashiered by the military in the early 60s for spreading whacko anti-communist conspiracy theories to soldiers under his command.
He's mostly fogotten today, but left-wingers at the time feared he might attempt a coup. 3/
We can be thankful for yet another instance of Trump's incompetence belying his wickedness, but the attempted coup--frivolous lawsuits, 100+ GOP congresspeople joining the Texas suit, Trump's calls to state officials to overturn the election results--will have consequences. 1/
We are watching, live, a practice run for the end of a functional American democracy. A future, more competent incumbent--one who takes the "wannabe" out of "wannabe authoritarian"--now has the playbook for how to steal an election thanks to Trump and the GOP. 2/
But this isn't just some crazy, future hypothetical. If the election had hinged on a single state--and not three of them--I have no confidence that the coup attempt would be failing right now. 3/