Premature celebrations about so-called withdrawal of 10000 Chinese troops from depth areas in Eastern Ladakh are uncalled for. Frontline troops (in standoff positions along the LAC) remain in tact. Only back up troops may have been withdrawn because of severe winter
The ‘thinning out’ is perhaps only because those troops do not have any role right now. Too early to jump to conclusions. The real test will come three-four months down the line. Very few people know that even India has turned over/ thinned out some brigades in recent months
It would be delusional to draw any definite conclusion on Chinese intentions in withdrawing the troops. The same troops might be brought back in the summer. Indian ground commanders are on highest alert and the leadership is on no mood to trust the Chinese after Galwan
The Chinese are facing the ‘heat’ in the high altitude desert of Eastern Ladakh and Aksai Chin has been flagged by intercepts and intelligence reports in the past month as detailed by me here but that still doesn’t change the nature of standoff

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More from @nitingokhale

14 Jan
Make-in-India for defence is gathering pace. In the pipeline after 83 LCA Tejas, is the first private sector aircraft manufacturing contract when the Airbus-TATA joint venture to make 56C-295 aircraft; An Indian company incubated by IIT, Bombay has also got orders for drones
The trend is reflected in the acceptance of necessity (AoN) granted in 2020 by the DAC. 33 out of 38 cases are under Make category. Within this, most cases (31) are for Buy IDDM indicating that all these AoNs are for products to be designed and developed in India.
The combined value for IDDM category would come to Rs 64.8 K crores when these AoNs are converted into orders. By comparison, AONs worth only Rs 9.8K crores have been granted for platforms that will be imported. The challenge is to convert AONs into contracts in reasonable time
Read 4 tweets
1 Nov 20
Its 1st November. For the military deployed in Ladakh, winter has officially begun although temperatures had already started plummeting below zero last fortnight when I was there. It is also three weeks since the last round of Corps Commanders' talks were held.
It is now certain that troops from both sides will sit through the harsh winter facing off each other. An unprecedented situation in the history of India-China boundary dispute although it must be remembered that in 1962, China's final offensive took place on 20th November
Indian troops (under 14 Corps) are used to being deployed in forward posts at super high altitudes through harshest of winter months for years. For the PLA troops however, this will be a first. How the Chinese cope with the experience will also play into PLA's long-term plans
Read 8 tweets
13 Oct 20
33 years ago today, India's greatest all-rounder in showbiz, Kishore Kumar died at a very young age of 58. Remembering him today because last week, rummaging through my old note book from 1987, came across two pages of notes recording my impressions of him in Guwahati
It was June or July 1987. He was visiting Guwahati for a concert. Wife Leena Chandawarkar, their son Sumeet were also there with the star. As a reporter with The Sentinel, I used to get opportunities to meet visiting celebrities. I was assigned to cover Kishore Kumar's programme
It was a big fan moment for me, having relished all his movies while in college in Pune. Meeting him in person was as fun-filled as his numerous movies. He was cracking jokes, pulling people's leg, breaking into a song at a small gathering at his host's house. I was tongue tied
Read 9 tweets
28 Sep 20
RM @rajnathsingh today unveiled the new Defence Acquisition Process (DAP) 2020. DAP-2020. DAP 2020 will be applicable with effect from 1 Oct 2020. DAP 2020 was under discussion for more than a year, incorporating comments/suggestions from a wide spectrum of defence stakeholders
DAP 2020 has been aligned with the Government's vision of Atmanirbhar Bharat and empowering Indian domestic industry through Make in India initiative with the ultimate aim of turning India into a global manufacturing hub.
Highlights: A list of items banned for import is to be notified; Indigenisation of Imported Spares to be done. RFI stage will explore willingness of the prospective foreign vendors to progressively undertake manufacture and setup an indigenous eco- system at the spares level
Read 13 tweets
22 Sep 20
An official word on Monday's marathon meeting at Chushul-Moldo is awaited but it is now clear that there is no convergence on how to approach the resolution of the standoff between Indian and Chinese forces along the LAC in Ladakh.
As anticipated on Friday, the Chinese want India to withdraw from Chushul (Kailash range) first which India will never agree to. India's simple formula is: First in, first out, you came in, mobilised large quantum of force, so you initiate the withdrawal, is India's simple demand
China is averse to accede to that demand, so we have a stalemate that doesn't look like being resolved anytime soon. India is and will remain vigilant and resolute on the border as it has been since 5 May. Essentially no outcome! We have a long, hard winter coming up.
Read 4 tweets
14 Sep 20
While the exact date of the next Corps Commanders level talks in Ladakh is awaited, Indian formations are on highest alert all along Eastern Ladakh, Uttarakhand, Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh frontiers considering a possibility of Chinese attempt (s) to occupy unheld areas
For the past 3-4 days, there is absolute calm on the LAC according to multiple sources. This is seen as unusual given the experience of the past four months in Ladakh. The PLA may attempt a QPQ (quid pro quo) to gain leverage in upcoming talks, feel ground commanders
In any case, no one is pinning too much hope for any major breakthrough in the upcoming talks. The Indian military is prepared to stay through the harsh winter in Ladakh and indeed all along the LAC. Ops logistics branch in the Army must currently be the most harried organisation
Read 5 tweets

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