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Chris Warshaw Profile picture
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12 Jan, 3 tweets, 1 min read
Post insurrection Trump approval:
Morning Consult: 34% (-29% net)
Quinnipiac: 33% (-24%)
YouGov: 35% (-29%)
Civiqs: 40% (-17%)
We're now well below previous lows of Trump presidency during drive to repeal ACA. Turns out inciting an insurrection damages presidential approval.
For YouGov numbers, see:
For @Civiqs numbers, see:

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Chris Warshaw Profile picture
4 Nov 20
Some quick high-level thoughts on the election:
1) WTF happened with the polls. This is a serious issue for our democracy that scholars across social sciences should work on addressing. Polls provide crucial information about the public's preferences and we need to get it right.
2) Elections are nationalizing (ht @dhopkins1776). But still lots of spread btw Pres/Downballot in some states - ME, MT, KS, NH, etc. Suggests moderation & candidate quality still net a few percentage points on margin. Just not enough for Dems to win in places like KS.
3) Gerrymandering is really, really bad. It's undermining the fabric of our democracy. GOP gerrymanders in places like MI, NC, and WI withstood a full decade of elections.
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