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12 Jan, 4 tweets, 1 min read
These 15,000 National Guard soldiers must plan to play a peaceful security role. But they should ALSO be prepared to fight. It's unsafe to assume the Capitol attackers have simply melted away. Gotta assume they learned lessons last week and will come back better prepared.
"Be polite, be professional, but have a plan to kill everybody you meet" comes to mind here
Things Capitol attackers and their supporters are NOT saying this week:

- I now realize Trump lost and Biden is the rightful president.

- I don't really need this gun anymore. I can live with Democrats in charge.

- Things have gone too far and I agree we need unity.
In all likelihood, they're instead planning how to execute these sorts of operations more successfully next time, without idiotically divulging their identities

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Brandon Friedman Profile picture
24 Nov 20
Trump's attempt to overturn the election and remain in power has failed. It failed for many reasons, including simple ineptitude, but we should not overlook that it failed primarily because America has a professional, apolitical military that told him to fuck off. (1/7)
The way this tends to go in politically unstable countries is the side with the military wins. Trump never had the military. And as much as people make fun of being "saved by the generals," we kept the Republic because our generals were adamant about playing no role. (2/7)
At the height of the chaos in June, Joint Chiefs Chairman General Mark Milley sent a memo to the military emphasizing it. He included this handwritten note:

"We all committed our lives to the idea that is America — We will stay true to that oath and the American people." (3/7)
Read 7 tweets
Brandon Friedman Profile picture
31 Aug 20
New @MilitaryTimes survey of active duty troops has absolutely devastating numbers for @realDonaldTrump. The Republican Party has long considered the military as part of its base, but Biden is now leading Trump among servicemembers 43/37.
militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-…
Compared to the 2016 election, @realDonaldTrump's support within the military has collapsed. Before the last election, Trump led Hillary 41/21. He's currently losing to Biden 43/37. That's a huge shift from Republicans to Democrats.
There's not a lot of good data with which to compare, but this has to be unprecedented for a GOP president: 42% of military service members have a "very unfavorable" view of the commander-in-chief. By contrast, less than a quarter have a "very favorable" view of @realDonaldTrump.
Read 4 tweets
Brandon Friedman Profile picture
13 Jul 20
People are ripping Disney World for opening in Florida. Can't speak to their finances specifically, but you're about to see MANY businesses do things they shouldn't as PPP funds run out. PPP funds were only meant to cover payroll for EIGHT WEEKS.
2. In fact, I'm not sure many people, especially journalists, are even aware of this. The Payroll Protection Program (PPP) funds were designed to cover eight weeks of lockdown and then capped. It's been eight weeks and now the money is gone.
3. This is TERRIBLE for the economy because it forces businesses to a) reopen amid an ongoing pandemic or b) stay closed and go out of business.

But here's the catch: If a business reopens, it incurs all the costs of operating, but customers still aren't shopping/eating/buying.
Read 6 tweets
Brandon Friedman Profile picture
4 May 20
1. Elected officials across America are beginning to give up on governing.

Here, the Senate is failing to hold political appointees accountable. This is common now. The Senate has done it elsewhere, confirming judges deemed "not qualified."

But it's not just the Senate.
2. In Stillwater, Oklahoma, the city mandated that business patrons wear a face covering. After receiving death threats, the city changed its policy. The mayor just gave up because he couldn't physically enforce the policy. washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/05…
3. When armed gunmen stormed the Michigan statehouse last week, they weren't arrested. That's because the governor didn't want to provoke violence. So we all just pretended this was normal and okay. It was neither. nydailynews.com/coronavirus/ny…
Read 7 tweets
Brandon Friedman Profile picture
18 Apr 20
Armed civil conflict happens all the time, all over the world. It's already happened here twice (including once at such an epic level we're dealing with it 150 years later). Americans need to grasp very quickly how dangerous this is.
I've long said the polarization in this country would likely lead to violence if we ever experienced a significant economic downturn. Well, here we are. Money is the guardrails. Once people have little or nothing to lose -- and time on their hands -- things can break bad quickly.
I suspect there's still enough money circulating to prevent widespread violence, but if the economy worsens (likely) and the president keeps instigating (a certainty), then we could be in real trouble.
Read 4 tweets
Brandon Friedman Profile picture
11 Apr 20
I don't think there's a bigger story right now than this: As the U.S. economy collapsed, Congress passed a $2 trillion stimulus. Trump signed it into law and touts its success every day.

And yet: A month later, most individuals and small businesses haven't received a penny.
Most news outlets have largely focused on the legislation itself, not the implementation, which has been a failure to this point.

The reason, I think, is that we took the execution for granted because we're used to having a competent executive branch. That's no longer the case.
If you're poor or you own a struggling small business, you have to really wrap your mind around the fact that you're on your own. Things aren't the way they used to be.
Read 5 tweets

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