I've talked to a lot of political scientists over the years about how strongmen and dictators really get ousted.

The answers were very consistent: If elites abandon a an authoritarian leader, he's done. If they stand by him, he can probably survive.
The statement from Cheney, along with McConnell's apparent support for impeachment, is a sign that at least some crucial GOP elites are abandoning Trump.
I'm not sure what to make of the fact that it's so public and messy, though.
Speaking of elites, it also seems notable that so many large corporations are withdrawing their support from politicians who contested the election results, per @JuddLegum's reporting on this.
But it's not clear to me how much influence they have over Trump and his wing of the party. I can also see a very plausible scenario where impeachment fails and far-right candidates run campaign ads saying they fought for Trump when the party mainstream & big corps abandoned him.

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More from @amandataub

13 Jan
Covering domestic abuse, I’ve learned that an absolutely standard hallmark of abusive relationships is that abusers treat compliance w/rules as a test of power: they make rules, they don’t follow them nbcnews.com/politics/congr…
I think that explains so much about other dynamics too, including uproars over "PC culture": people feeling like complying with someone else's rules is a sign of low status or weakness, & freaking out
This is what edgelord idiots are trying to prove when they knowingly violate norms around using racist language: that they can get away with not complying, and therefore must be powerful.
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2 Jul 20
In the UK, despite early warnings about domestic abuse during lockdown, the government failed to provide desperately needed emergency help. @jane__bradley and I spent months reporting the unfolding catastrophe: nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Lockdown meant that people in abusive relationships were trapped at home with controlling & dangerous partners or other family members, cut off from work, friends and support networks.
The pressures of lockdown quickly turned deadly. In the first month alone, 16 women and girls were killed in suspected domestic homicides by men. By the end of lockdown there were 10 more. 8 men were also killed.
Read 20 tweets
16 Aug 19
ICYMI, @max_fisher & I conducted a monthslong investigation into how YouTube radicalized Brazil. What we found was truly shocking. It made me reconsider what I thought I understood about online radicalization:
@Max_Fisher Something that really blew me away was that even some within that super-online right-wing movement are afraid of where YouTube is leading the country. They warned us about the “dictatorship of the like”: the ways YouTube encourages politicians to pander to online rage
@Max_Fisher But the thing that made the biggest impression wasn’t the powerful men who have taken advantage of YouTube and its algorithm, or their collaborators who are now coming down with a case of regret.

It was women's stories of how YT disinformation and hate had upended their lives.
Read 15 tweets

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