4k deaths. Again.

And I fear we are at the start of another surge.

#covidupdate
Everything is peaking: Test positives, hospitalizations, deaths...

...and we haven't really even seen the holiday peak yet. Image
The hospitalization curve tells the story.

We have had a MASSIVE increase in the past few weeks, and it might be slowing down, but I am not at all sure we have peaked. Image
Regionally, the Midwest actually is improving.

The Northeast actually doesn't look horrific, but may have another wave.

The South and West....are incredibly bad. Image
Population adjusted case numbers tell a similar story. Midwest improving, West and South worse...but also implies we are going to see another wave in the Northeast. Image
Here is hospitalizations adjusted by population. Again, South, West are the worst...but Northeast is mixed. Image
Here is New York. Definitely not as bad as the Spring. But plenty bad.

NY in the Spring was the worst in the world all year; right now, they are at HALF the hospitalizations of their peak, and about 1/5 of the deaths, with numbers worsening. Image
New Jersey tells a similar story. Hopefully they are leveling off...I am worried that its not going to be sustained. Image
Florida is worsening as well. They never hit the peaks NY/NJ did, but now are approaching about 2/3 of the summer peak.

Largely true in much of the rest of the south. Image
California may be the worst story. All through they have either been lucky or good.

Well, their luck ran out. LA County, especially, is getting crushed.

They are seen before unforeseen peaks, and it appears to only be getting worse. Image
Finally, here is the death per capita; the gray line is the US median.

States like NM and IA, which almost nobody talks about, is now among the worst. On the other hand, you don't see FL, GA, CA...the media still doing a very poor job. Image

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More from @Neoavatara

15 Jan
NY is really a disaster: COVID vaccine appointments canceled as NYC hospitals face supply problems nydailynews.com/new-york/ny-ho…
This was TEN DAYS AGO. Remember?

So, anyone think that @CNN reporters will spar with Cuomo like this?

LOL. Hell no. Nobody wants to make @ChrisCuomo look bad.

news.yahoo.com/florida-gov-ro…
Flores: "My full question is what went wrong with the rollout of the vaccine when we've seen phone lines jammed, websites crashing...we've seen websites crash and also senior citizens waiting overnight for the vaccine..."

Good luck seeing any questions like this.
Read 5 tweets
15 Jan
Assessing Mandatory Stay‐at‐Home and Business Closure Effects on the Spread of COVID‐19: "While small benefits cannot be excluded, we do not find significant benefits on case growth of more restrictive NPIs."
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ec…
The reality is that is what I've been saying since summer.

IF you stopped the virus in phase 1 (like Taiwan, NZ, Australia) then this might work. But once you get community spread, its too late.

At that point, even if you shut down, people spread it at home, etc.
Read 11 tweets
15 Jan
"Is it unfair to punish Trump, who did not personally participate in the riot, and who did not explicitly call for violence? Hardly. As I have detailed previously, when you take in the entirety of Trump’s speech and its context, he bears moral and political responsibility... "
"...for inspiring the Capitol riot. True, Trump’s conduct falls just shy of the narrow legal definition of inciting riot or rebellion. True, it is becoming increasingly clear that some of the forces he summoned to Washington on January 6 came prepared for violence in advance..."
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15 Jan
#CovidVaccineUpdate

The US is at 3.4% vaccinated. Only the UK (5%, and started earlier) is doing better as a large country.

And we still aren't doing well enough.

bloomberg.com/graphics/covid…
Best countries:

Israel
Bahrain
UAE
UK
USA

Relatively speaking, worst countries? France, Belgium, Netherlands, Sweden, Turkey. China and Russia too (considering they've had 'vaccines' for months). Canada is lagging too (reason why?).
As for US states, WV leads the pack, followed (not in order) ND, SD, MT, CO, NM, UT, OK, LA, IN, VT, CT, RI.

As for the big states, FL will likely pass NY in per capita vaccinations by tomorrow or so, and has vaccinated 80k more, marginally trailing TX and CA.
Read 6 tweets
15 Jan
Israel leads the world in vaccinations and could be done by spring @verumserum hotair.com/archives/john-…
Tradeoffs!

"Netanyahu revealed that Israel struck an agreement with Pfizer to exchange citizens’ data for 10 million doses...Israel will provide details to Pfizer about the age, gender and medical history of those receiving the jab as well as its side effects and efficacy."
"For comparison purposes, things aren’t going nearly so well here in California. The state has received 2.4m doses as of Monday but has only distributed a 1/3rd...Gov. Newsom announced a new vaccine plan, ditching a previous one that seemed to be slowing things down."
Read 5 tweets
14 Jan
"Opposition to impeachment comes from...belief that members of the opposing political tribe want their destruction, not simply to punish Trump for his behavior..."
@benshapiro politi.co/2N5X4nN
" Republicans believe that Democrats and the overwhelmingly liberal media see impeachment as an attempt to cudgel them collectively by lumping them in with the Capitol rioters thanks to their support for Trump.

The evidence for that position isn’t difficult to find."
And right on cue...tweedledee and tweedledum chime in to confirm Shapiro is right.

Read 4 tweets

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