[thread]

On "they"

There must always be a "they"

Why?

So I am going to focus on three elements

1) On Darren/Andrew Lilico's words
2) On The Guardian article
3) On the Graphic of UK vaccination progress
4) A final conclusion on point 1 on "they"
1) On Darren/Andrew Lilico's words

To Andrew and Darren's words

Darren "they said would happen"

On Andrew

"these anti-Brexiteer commentators"

There must always be a "they"

Oh yes a reminder on media bias
We brexited ages ago

Get with the new world

We are a country united now

Why do you seek to stoke division?

You won

Can you not "suck up" the win to quote a brexit trope?
2) On The Guardian article

The contributors to that article

Martin McKee of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
Anniek de Ruijter of Amsterdam Law School
Mark Flear of Queens University, Belfast.

theguardian.com/world/2020/mar…
Now for Andrew Lilico

Why are you demonising these science or legal experts as "anti-brexiteer commentators"

I thought the UK was supposed to have moved on from brexit
I thought Gavin Williamson told us Britain had better medical experts.
These experts are warning what could happen

What *might* happen

Just like these ones

Warning of the risks to cancer sufferers

cancerresearchuk.org/sites/default/…
Since part of your anger is I believe related to the publication that the article is in I will try to not use any material from the Guardian

Since clearly you have an issue with that newspaper

Weird you pick on the Guardian
From article:

"The UK will leave the European Medicines Agency (EMA), the body responsible for the scientific evaluation, supervision and safety monitoring of medicines, at the end of the transition period on 30 December. "
From article:

"This means it will no longer be part of the EU’s regulatory regime, which allows for “accelerated assessment” of products developed by drugs companies during a pandemic."
From article:

"The UK has already withdrawn from the EU’s emergency bulk-buying mechanism for vaccines and medicines, under which member states strike collective agreements with pharmaceutical companies, which speeds up their access to the latest products during a crisis."
From article:

“For all these reasons ... the UK is likely to have to join the queue for access with other countries outside the EU, and to pay more than it would otherwise as an EU member state."
From article:

“Looking further ahead, this problem will not be limited to emergencies and the UK can expect slower and more limited access to medicines, especially those for rare conditions or those used to treat children, where the market is small.”
So yes

The UK has withdrawn from the EMA

Brexit means brexit after all

London lost 900 jobs

money.cnn.com/2017/11/20/new…
AND ALSO

"Netherlands Foreign Investment Agency (NFIA) reporting some 100 companies with operations in the UK have opened offices in the country to be nearer to the EMA. It reckons 3,500 jobs will be created as a result of the EMA move."

pharmaphorum.com/news/ema-count…
We have left the EMA regulatory regime

Yay

What a positive of brexit

The UK was a leading nation in improving the EMA for our friends and neighbours

To work for the common good

Now

It sits isolated in London

bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Any medicines made in Britain that we want to sell to our neighbours in the EU

Will need to be approved by the EMA with clinical trials carried out across any number of countries

kingsfund.org.uk/sites/default/…
Now you can compare the review time of the EMA and the FDA

2011 and 2015
FDA approved 170 new drugs vs EMA 144
FDA median review time 306 days vs EMA 383 days.

wepclinical.com/fda-approving-….
This is something that the EMA is looking to improve upon

pharmaceutical-journal.com/news-and-analy…
There are of course a range of reasons why specific drugs may move more quickly in terms of speed of approval and time to market

drugpricinglab.org/wp-content/upl…
Both the FDA and EMA have programmes to expedite the drugs approval process

bmj.com/content/371/bm…
There is the catch of course

You still want a robust approvals process

euractiv.com/section/health…
So on the time it took the UK to approve

The vaccine

Thank you to those experts in the MRHA for their efforts in doing so

THeir rolling reviews across the Oxford/AstraZeneca, Pfizer and Moderna candidates was wonderful
For Moderna

Submitted 27/10/2020 (rolling review)
investors.modernatx.com/news-releases/…

Approved 8/1/2021
gov.uk/government/new…
Pfizer / Biontech

18/11/2020 submitted
gov.uk/government/new…

2/12/2020 approved
For Oxford/AstraZeneca

23/12/2020 submitted
30/12/2020 approved
If I was seeing my country wrought by the crisis of coronavirus

I would also want my agency to do all it could do to expedite the approvals process for vaccine candidates following their successful trials
And they did

Through rolling reviews

As did the EMA

ema.europa.eu/en/news/ema-st…
The article below tries to understand why the EMA was slower

3 main one's

Administrative processes
Access to the data not all at same time
EU nation's that take brunt of assessment work

euronews.com/2021/01/08/why…
See also from that article

Australia
A reminder of the situation the UK is in

So the MRHA is chosing how to prioritise its efficiency improvements post brexit

It could already do so prior to brexit

Prior to brexit it could influence 27 other nation's to the benefit of that marketplace and those health patients needing medicines

raps.org/news-and-artic…
And a reminder

We will mirror the EMA

"This would see the UK mirroring decisions made by the European Medicines Agency, while also laying out a process should companies wish to file for a separate approval in the UK."

pharmaphorum.com/news/mhra-publ…
And of course there is the attempts to claim that the speedy approval of covid vaccines is a "benefit" of brexit

But Jacob has form on lies

See : food price rises

In other news

A Conservative Party wanted to put a flag on the vaccine

That of Germany and Turkey

trtworld.com/life/turkish-g…
They didn't

The "Union Unit" wanted the Union Jack

theguardian.com/politics/2020/…
A reminder

The UK is not the only country scrambling to appropriate the success of scientists in vaccine research

For party political benefit

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
No one tell the "Union Unit" about the border in the Irish Sea

Oh and a reminder on Turkey
Oh and another

ft.com/content/f264be…
Still at least we have a 50 pence piece
Oh wait I forgot about starve the Irish

thetimes.co.uk/article/brexit…
So far

We are 13 days in

Here's the Democratic Unionist Party

Back to that Guardian article Andrew Lilico really didn't like

“For all these reasons ... the UK is likely to have to join the queue for access with other countries outside the EU, and to pay more than it would otherwise as an EU member state."
A Belgian minister tweeted this

Oxford/AstraZeneca: €1.78 (£1.61).
Johnson & Johnson: $8.50 (£6.30).
Sanofi/GSK: €7.56.
Pfizer/BioNTech: €12.
CureVac: €10.
Moderna: $18.

theguardian.com/world/2020/dec…
EU price:

Pfizer/BioNTech: $15

(negotiated for a total of 300 million doses, is slightly lower than the $19.50 per shot the United States agreed to pay)

reuters.com/article/uk-hea…
I have not yet seen a journalist or politician being open about the pricing of the various batches or orders of vaccine's they have placed (or received) to allow an easy EU vs USA vs UK comparison
I would remind you

In the UK - drug prices are something that in any trade deal with America will be on the table

This is true whomever is the US President
Channel 4 Dispatches

In an interview with the programme, one of Trump’s former top trade negotiators Stephen Vaughn said he doesn’t understand what Boris Johnson means when he says the “NHS is not on the table”

channel4.com/press/news/tru…
from that Guardian article also

“Looking further ahead, this problem will not be limited to emergencies and the UK can expect slower and more limited access to medicines, especially those for rare conditions or those used to treat children, where the market is small.”
I suppose Professor Mike Barnes is an "anti-Brexiteer commentator"

Prof Mike Barnes, who led the fight with the Home Office to get Bedrolite prescribed for Alfie, said it was "not like swapping one type of aspirin for another".

bbc.co.uk/news/uk-englan…
So our progress

1 & 2 are done

Now onto 3

1) On Darren/Andrew Lilico's words
2) On The Guardian article
3) On the Graphic of UK vaccination progress
4) A final conclusion on point 1 on "they"
Now point 3

Now here's a rub

Every single person wants vaccine roll out to be as rapid as possible

But

You need to be honest

1) about timeframes
2) about supply
3) about distribution
4) about the administering

That is all

Be honest
And a reminder

It is not a race with other nations

The race is against coronavirus

It's incidence locally, nationally and internationally

To minimise the risk of mutations

And of further unnecessary death and fallout from covid
So over the course of this week

Conservative MP's have been busy sharing several images in relation to vaccine progress

First the chart below
The per million picked so that it places the UK in prime position

As oppose to
Now I say again

Vaccine progress is great

Vaccine discovery, approval, production, supply and administering is all great

The Conservative Party then switched to map format
And from today

How dare you as a nation ask what our vaccine stocks are

A reminder of the Guardian headline choice of wording

"Brexit means coronavirus vaccine will be slower to reach the UK"

Why can the government not be open about supply?

A reminder

You need to be honest

1) about timeframes
2) about supply
3) about distribution
4) about the administering

That is all

Be honest
So to wrap up

From Andrew Lilico

yes prediction can be a difficult business

Forecasters can get it right or wrong

But how they learn from both is crucial

I miss the days of "we don't need experts"

fullfact.org/economy/how-ac…
The catch of course is that since 23rd June 2016

Institutions and government have been attempting to work to mitigate and address those harms of brexit so that they *were not* as bad as the forecasts
Yes those very people Andrew demonised

Will be part of organisations that worked to minimise the fallout from brexit

And if they succeed at that (which they did)

They then get shouted at by Andrew because all he has is to rubbish their forecasts and their work
He cannot even say thank you

To those who worked to mitigate the impacts of brexit
After all

Who wants it to be as Michael Gove put it "bumpy"

itv.com/news/border/20…
And to round up from Darren Grimes, Andrew Lilico & Andrew Neil

There must always be a "they"

Why?

Why do people seek to stoke division?

See also:

To end up on a thread with Paul McCartney and an introduction in song form

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