ding ding ding. That's because if the global military hegemon is also the world's largest net debtor, then you end up with a never-ending stream of policies to drive capital stock in the frontiers into funding deficits in the imperial core
Indeed, this call for gov investments in US technology is a recognition that the old model of spooking Asian/Arab/Euro investors into chasing yield in US capital markets is fading and a new source of funding is needed to tide things over until the US dismantles China's economy
If you look at US export blacklists and investment bans, it's obvious the US is desperate to spook global capital flows into avoiding China's economy and instead keep funding deficits in the US imperial core
This is also why the US hated the EU-China #CAI so much - here, even the normally pro-trade pro-biz Bloomberg is alarmed. The point is to make international capital avoid China by tagging it as 'poorly regulated', 'subject to trade restrictions', etc bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Now, there is a large - but shrinking - faction of the US that wants to use capital flows as a crowbar to permanently pry open China's economy and buy it wholesale. Those people fight with people in the US who want to cut China off from capital flows bc the US needs them more
Neither of these groups are truly friendly but at least the former can be negotiated with. Of course, none of this would matter if China simply went all-out on mil and conquered its way to primacy, but China is doing things the hard way by opting for peace and trade instead. /end
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Agency: "Got a special job for you, you're going to help us prove this person at China's Wuhan virology lab was COVID's patient zero"
You: "What are we going off of here"
Agency: "Shitposts on an anti-CCP dissident forum and the ramblings of Matt Pottinger and Miles Yu"
You: "Looks like she left the lab in 2015"
Agency: "White House says that's propaganda. Keep digging"
HRC kicked off the SCS mess in June of 2010. The US told China in late 2009 "let's work together to rebuild the global economy", then less than 8 months later backstabbed China on the SCS by ambushing them with Vietnam at the ASEAN Ministerial.
I was in Beijing in late 2009. The US was literally begging China to lend money and save the world.
Then, right after the loans from China's 08-09 stimulus program finished making their way through Chinese banks/SOEs into purchases with MNCs, HRC timed her backstab at ASEAN.
@qin_duke's thread provides useful info on the SCS, so I'll add some context here. China wasn't even briefed that the US would be bringing up UNCLOS and China's 9-dash line to the rest of the ASEAN countries during the Ministerial. It was a literal diplomatic ambush.
1/ US tech's ban of Trump gives China a once-in-a-decade opportunity to reset the global tech ecosystem in its favor. China should pay its tech firms to package and release an open source social media app, open source app store and mobile stack, and an open source cloud stack
2/ The blowback from bigtech doing this is going to be the balkanization of the internet. Every country + the EU is going to go for their own social media / mobile / cloud stack now @passluo
3/ China obviously has a trust deficit with other major tech ecosystems, so Chinese apps will have trouble winning worldwide, but it can get around that by making it so that *no one* can dominate the global commons in the way that Facebook, Twitter, Google, and Apple currently do
The background image for Kurt Campbell's consulting firm is hilarious.
Gigantic Mt Fuji overlooking Asia's cities, with a tiny Washington Monument right in the middle. I wonder what country he's going to orient his entire Asia policy around? 🤔
After two months, I've finally managed to categorize the accounts I follow or am interested in into a series of lists. I'd like to share all of them with you
1/
2/ In alphabetical order, first is the "1 million followers / pundit / politician" list, which are predominantly bluechecks and/or politicians with large follower counts. This list lost a notable member last night 😉 twitter.com/i/lists/132831…
3/ Next is 46 Admin, an evolving list of individuals who either work in or will be affiliated with the incoming Biden administration twitter.com/i/lists/132893…
1/ This is probably one of the few times that @joshrogin and I will agree on something, but Twitter banning US politicians is a bad idea if you care about American political stability
2/ In a political system where political capital is as media-dependent as the US, cutting off social media accounts can shift the political balance of power
3/ It can shift that power in a way that is just as effective as reallocating electoral votes or congressional representation