"When asked if, in 2025, a British war-fighting division will be capable of ‘overmatching the forces of a peer opponent such as Russia’, Minister for Defence Procurement Jeremy Quin replied ‘absolutely’. This ... runs counter to the MoD’s own evidence" iiss.org/blogs/military… Image
"The shortfall in armour is the result of procurement problems compounded by inadequate funding ... It is highly likely that a Russian tank division would overmatch this much weaker British formation." iiss.org/blogs/military…
Note the especially vast gulf in anti-tank weapons
For useful criticisms of this UK-Russia divisional comparison, see:

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More from @shashj

8 Jan
"Gen. John Hyten, now the nation's No. 2 military officer, told an audience at a military forum in 2017 that leaders would not obey an illegal order and can advise the president before launching." politico.com/news/2021/01/0…
This DoD source is, I think, wrong? Unless he has telepathic insight into the mind of the (and every) president, it's not clear how he can draw this confident conclusion about how the arsenal "would or could be used in the absence of a direct threat"
politico.com/news/2021/01/0…
Now this is very interesting. "A senior military official stressed on Friday that troops have been taught to recognize and disobey illegal orders, particularly those at U.S. Strategic Command, which oversees America’s nuclear arsenal" politico.com/news/2021/01/0… cc @wellerstein
Read 8 tweets
8 Jan
No 25A. "Vice President Mike Pence privately ruled out invoking the disability clause of the 25th Amendment to sideline the president, as many had urged that he and the cabinet do, according to officials." nytimes.com/2021/01/07/us/…
Last night's video was to avoid prosecution. "Mr. Trump initially resisted taping the video, agreeing to do it only after aides pressed him and he appeared to suddenly realize he could face legal risk for prodding the mob" nytimes.com/2021/01/07/us/…
"Even when the vice president had to be evacuated during the siege on Wednesday, the president never checked with him personally to make sure he was OK. The Secret Service agents wanted the vice president to leave the building, but he refused" nytimes.com/2021/01/07/us/…
Read 4 tweets
8 Jan
Washington mayor Bowser: "There was some concern from the Army of what it would look like to have armed military personnel on the grounds of the Capitol" WaPo: "One concern was whether the Army had been invited by Congress" washingtonpost.com/politics/capit…
So army slow-rolled request: "A US defense official said the Army general on the call didn’t formally deny the request but rather reinforced the negative optics of having uniformed personnel inside the Capitol...and later checked with the chain of command" washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
Among all security forces, seems fairly clear that the biggest failure was by the Capitol police. "Capitol Police had not asked other law enforcement agencies for help until their building was surrounded by a mob seeking to overturn the election results." washingtonpost.com/politics/capit…
Read 5 tweets
7 Jan
"No president has pardoned himself, so the legitimacy of prospective self-clemency has never been tested in the justice system and legal scholars are divided about whether the courts would recognize it"
You get a pardon, and you get a pardon, and you get a pardon! nyti.ms/2LblSds Image
😂 "He has also offered pre-emptive pardons to advisers and administration officials. Many were taken aback because they did not believe they were in legal jeopardy and thought that accepting his offer would be seen as an admission of guilt, according to the two people"
Read 4 tweets
11 Nov 20
Very interesting speech by @ciaranmartinoxf. "Cyber as a domain of military and national security operations co-exists with cyber as a domain of everyday life. It’s the same domain ... We are talking about, for the most part, the same technology." s26304.pcdn.co/wp-content/upl…
'When I started out, I raised the UK’s cyber objectives with one senior figure in Government and I got the reply “Where’s the red button?”. I was struck that I wasn’t asked if there was a red button, and if there was, what purpose it served.' s26304.pcdn.co/wp-content/upl…
'if cyber is an environment, are cyber weapons more akin to biological and chemical weapons, at least to digital infrastructure if not to humans? ... Would we ever hear anyone argue “we should have the best biochemical capabilities in the world?”.' s26304.pcdn.co/wp-content/upl…
Read 7 tweets
15 Oct 20
Our cover leader this week. "The persecution of the Uyghurs is a crime against humanity ... If liberals say nothing about today’s single worst violation outside a war zone, how can anyone believe their criticism of other, lesser crimes?"
And @gadyepstein: "attempt to erase Uyghurs’...cultural identity & crush their Islamic faith has not only caused immense suffering for the more than 1-in-10 Uyghurs who have been sent to camps, bt also blighted lives of their 100s of thousands of children" economist.com/china/2020/10/…
Truly shocking. "These data, if extrapolated across Xinjiang, imply that around 250,000 of the region’s ~3m Uyghurs under the age of 15 have had one or both parents interned ... 880,500 children had been placed in boarding facilities by the end of 2019" economist.com/china/2020/10/…
Read 5 tweets

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