kain.eth Profile picture
19 Jan, 13 tweets, 3 min read
It appears that “you are just a VC project” might become this cycle’s “no token, no ICO” both of these statements are just counterproductive virtue signalling imo. The no token mantra alone probably set us all back 18 months due to overcorrecting for ICO scams.
I said many times through 2018 and 2019 you actually want scams and other fuckery, not having them is a sign of underinvestment, which is far worse than the alternative.
The market can solve these problems and it clearly has already to a large extent, deal structures are now much clearer and incentive aligned than they were in 2017. Does that mean we won’t see vaporware raise tons of money this cycle? Of course not! But again that’s a good sign.
Now let’s talk about “VC investors” firstly not all institutional capital is the same. A16Z is not Multicoin is not Polychain is not Paradigm is not Framework. They are all very different entities with different approaches to the market.
Hedge funds with no lockup’s are a pretty unmitigated disaster typically. The number of “funds” that’s dumped HAV into the ground in 2018 because they had zero conviction or understanding is amazing. Thankfully their punishment is to be eternally haunted by those sell orders.
Venture style funds like @hiFramework and @paraficapital stepped in in 2019 and picked up the pieces alongside mega chads like @Arthur_0x and @DegenSpartan. Safe to say without these high conviction bets DeFi would be in a very different place!
The lesson is don’t overcorrect and get blinded by simple heuristics and narratives. Most likely whoever is peddling them has an angle. Put the effort in to assess each situation on its merits, it will pay off...
Market structures are maturing in crypto, things have changed from 2017 ICO style discount rounds being dumped on retail. High conviction, long biased pools of capital, regardless of what they call themselves are a net benefit to the space.
As long as they are strongly incentive aligned with long lockup’s they provide initial capital at high risk stages and ensure we are over-investing in DeFi not under-investing.
All of that said I believe we should try to avoid creating privileged positions and need to find ways to have more open funding mechanisms, that’s why projects allocating large pools to yield farming is so effective IMO. It allows price discovery to be market driven.
Lots of projects are still finding price floors at multiples of their most recent private raises though. Much like the IPO pops in TradFi we probably need to examine this from a market efficiency perspective.
Open auctions for locked tokens initiated by project DAO’s could potentially replace these closed private rounds but there are regulatory headwinds to say the least...
Ultimately the market will decide and while it may take longer than we would like for market structures to mature and efficiencies to kick in, it will happen eventually. In the meantime it’s up to everyone to collectively push things forward through investment in experimentation.

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More from @kaiynne

12 Jan
I just published Synthetix 2021. Which is nothing more than a veiled attempt to cling to a sense of power in this ever more decentralized world. blog.synthetix.io/synthetix-2021/
I will do a quick run through of the highlights for those that don’t want to wade through a 2500 word post. Most critically, as I jokingly alluded to above, this is all just my opinion I have no power to enforce any of these changes, they must go through community governance.
Scaling is coming, the launch of Optimistic Ethereum will enable Synthetix to deliver on its promise of taking on both CeFi and TradFi.
Read 12 tweets
11 Jan
For those who were trading in 2017 or earlier bull markets this may be obvious, but these kinds of corrections are typically driven by overleveraged longs, not whales dumping on you. That hasn’t started yet. Let me break down why it happens and why it is worse on the weekends.
I should probably have data to back this up, but I haven’t kept up to date with the latest trading data so much of this is based on intuition and experience trading through 2016-2018. If you have data that invalidates this please provide it, happy to be wrong here!
Firstly in an early bull market you have some OG holders taking profit around previous ATH, they have “learned their lesson” and are trying to not get rekt like last time. Once they finish taking some profits or hedging they are riding this up to multiples of previous ATH.
Read 14 tweets
28 Dec 20
Here’s my list:

1. L2 migrations and attempts to consolidate around a solution will take up most of the year, fragmentation and forks will ensue across different scaling solutions. Basically what a lot of VC’s imagined in 2016/17 but their L1 bags will still end up worthless.
2. 1559 will be a game changer for the Ethereum community. The wealth effect will dwarf that of Bitcoin and since many ETH holders are builders we will see a mass proliferation of new projects as these gains are reinvested in the ecosystem.
3. UX will improve massively, we have the components but they are just now being stitched together. @austingriffith will keep being a mega-chad single handedly pushing us forward.
Read 13 tweets
14 Dec 20
I voted yes on @compoundfinance proposal 032. This proposal would distribute COMP to offset losses incurred by liquidated DAI positions. etherscan.io/tx/0x2dc20d2e5… I thought about this a lot over the weekend, and while I expect the proposal to fail here is my reasoning regardless.
Factoring in all risk @compoundfinance is probably the defi platform I trust most. Excluding SNX there have been times when 50% of my crypoassets have been on deposit there. I think it is one of the safest places in DeFi you can put your funds.
However, there are risks, and liquidations due to anomalous prices are foremost among these. The reason I voted yes is that I want to ensure there is skin in the game for all COMP holders, so they are hyper aware that the funds on deposit are at risk, and they are responsible.
Read 6 tweets
25 Oct 20
Been ruminating on this for a while, but few events really drilled it home recently. I’ve been lucky to have had input into the design process with some early stage projects lately. It’s one of my favourite things. But it has also reinforced why crypto is hard.
We are so early that the solution space is still massively unexplored. It feels a little like after the App Store launched and all of the sudden startups had access to this incredible platform on which to build. Ethereum is like that but amplified 100x.
You can do anything, and that is both incredible and petrifying. Because the freedom comes at a cost, it is really easy to drive off a cliff without even realising it. So many people try to optimise for certainty in planning.
Read 14 tweets
19 Oct 20
Do you like weird origin stories? You do? Good here is great one.
Early August I get an unsolicited email from a purported SNX holder. This happens pretty regularly, no idea how they get my email, probably @garthtravers’s fault…
So I was thinking it was a pitch, which it kind of was, but with a twist, it was pitching Synthetix to take an idea for tranching risk in the debt pool. I had actually been thinking a lot about risk swaps at the time. Probably withdrawals from @matt_levine being MIA.
Thus the concept was super interesting to me and I was confident it could be taken and rolled out in a generalised fashion for a bunch of projects, my response “I have negative infinity bandwidth right now lol, but if someone pitched me this idea I would 100% fund it…”
Read 14 tweets

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